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re: Predict LSU ranking in 1st CFP poll Tuesday election night.

Posted on 11/3/24 at 10:52 am to
Posted by DamnStrong
NOLA Til I Die!
Member since Aug 2008
4730 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 10:52 am to
Prior to today’s updated AP top 25, LSU (6-2) was ranked 16th.

This weekend's teams that lost were:

#3 Penn St (7-1)
#10 Texas A&M (7-2)
#11 Clemson (6-2)
#11 Iowa St (7-1)
16 ——————————(LSU 6-2 - Idle)
#17 Kansas St (7-2)
#18 Pittsburg (7-1)
#24 Illinois (6-3)

I think we only move up to 15, or maybe 14. Penn St & probably A&M will still be ahead of the Tigers. Clemson will probably drop below us & Iowa St only has 1 loss, so they may still be ahead of LSU. With 17 & 18 losing, I don’t see anyone behind the Tigers jumping ahead this week in the AP.

No clue if the CFP committee will mirror the AP, but it will probably be close.

This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 10:54 am
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
104446 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 11:14 am to
quote:

Nope. You’re going to have to include the top team that's not ACC / SEC / B1G / Big 12 champions plus Notre Dame (if they don't implode). So that leaves 6 team slots are available if LSU wins out, but doesn't win the SEC Championship Game.
Dude. At worst 1 of the auto 5 conf champs won’t be top 12

So top 11 will guarantee make the playoff
Posted by AkronTiger
Rubber City
Member since May 2021
2333 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 11:42 am to
Clemson, Iowa State and Aggie losses were absolutely massive.
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 11:43 am
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
38337 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:54 pm to
13 I think
Posted by moock blackjack
Member since Apr 2008
106282 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:56 pm to
16
Posted by turnpiketiger
Lone Star State
Member since May 2020
11289 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:02 pm to
Don’t care. Win out and they are in
Posted by grizzlylongcut
Member since Sep 2021
12651 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:04 pm to
18
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
11903 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

Dude. At worst 1 of the auto 5 conf champs won’t be top 12

That’s not “worst case.” That’s the most likely outcome. The 5th-ranked champion is not likely to be in the top 12.

The “worst case” scenario is that you get upsets in the Big 12 and/or ACC championship games, such as a 2-3 loss Kansas State ranked around #15-20 beating 12-0 BYU.
Posted by TommyDaTiger
Nawlins
Member since Dec 2015
11131 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:33 pm to
12
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
11903 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

No clue if the CFP committee will mirror the AP, but it will probably be close.

I really hope it doesn’t mirror the AP. If it does, CFB is now (more than ever) a battle for the easiest schedule.

There are 3 teams in the top 8 right now without a single win over a ranked team. 2/3 of the way through the season.

One doesn’t have a single ranked team on their schedule all year. One already lost the only game on their schedule against a ranked team. One doesn’t play their first ranked team until 3 weeks from now.

None are deserving of top-8 CFP rankings IMO.
Posted by billfish21
Louisiana
Member since Jan 2009
1635 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:45 pm to
#14...

I am certainly 'all for' LSU making the inaugural 12 team invitational AND would love to see LSU host a tournament 'quarterfinal'

A true quarterfinal would mean a 16-team tournament
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
36530 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

wins out, not only will we be in the SEC Championship game
I’m not sure we’re guaranteed a title berth just by winning out. Think we still need help from Georgia and Texas since they have better overall records and there’s no head to head between us and them. We’d need aggy to have another loss if they were to beat Texas at the end as well.
Posted by 1947LSUFreshman
SE of Raleigh
Member since Nov 2022
378 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 8:07 pm to
hey idiot, if LSU comes in at 14 or 15 this week, and wins out, not only will we be in the SEC Championship game, but we will be in the top 12. Where do you idiots come from, as if we aren't rank there now means we wont be ranked there in the end.
___________________________________________________________________________________

Just curious where’s the running game coming from to facilitate the four provisos?
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
21900 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Just curious where’s the running game coming from to facilitate the four provisos?

We've had a bye week to scheme for Not Saban's Bama, as well as 2 weeks to stew on the fact that we lost a game we were dominating at the half. Bama will be tough, but we have to hope that some Saturday Night In Death Valley magic can pull us through.

After that, it's a home game against a decent/not great Vandy, a road game against a Florida that's been rough and just lost their QB, and a home finale against an Oklahoma team that's offense-optional.

We have one game, at night in Tiger Stadium against a beatable nemesis, to set up for a run to the playoffs. Could you ask for any more?
Posted by gizmothepug
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2015
8103 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:48 pm to
After Saturday night, win out and it doesn’t matter.
Posted by turnpiketiger
Lone Star State
Member since May 2020
11289 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 5:29 am to
quote:

There are 3 teams in the top 8 right now without a single win over a ranked team. 2/3 of the way through the season.


Our win over ole miss will carry a lot of weight. They value top 10 wins. If ole miss beats Georgia it’ll really help us too.

Lincoln Riley is screwing us even worse week by week. All they have to do is not be awful. Like be ranked in the top 20 with 2 losses that’s it.
Posted by turnpiketiger
Lone Star State
Member since May 2020
11289 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 5:31 am to
quote:

We have one game, at night in Tiger Stadium against a beatable nemesis, to set up for a run to the playoffs. Could you ask for any more?


I wouldn’t write off that game at Florida quite yet. They’re better than their record shows.

But if lagway is out that’s different
Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
6239 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 7:31 am to
I predict a Trump win.
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
21709 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 7:50 am to
out
Posted by pitchandcatch27
Huntsville,AL
Member since Jul 2018
3155 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 11:14 am to
12.1
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