re: Portnoy bet Vandy $212K

If you take away sellers two picks and south Carolina’s 9 pre snap penalties, the game could’ve easily been closer than it was.

See how that works? You can play the what if game all day long and spin it however you want.

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Sharp money is on Vandy. It is what it is. Just have to go win the game.

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I promise you don’t know this

For those that don’t understand sharp money or how betting works. All this being said, LSU just has to go win the game. Sharp money loses sometimes too.

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This line opened with Vanderbilt listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.

The public thinks “the wrong team is favored” and 57% of spread bets at DraftKings are taking the points with LSU, who has a higher ranking.

However, despite LSU receiving a majority of tickets we’ve actually seen this line move further toward Vanderbilt -1.5 to -2.5.

Why would the oddsmakers hand out a better number to public LSU bettors when they’re already taking the points to begin with? Because respected smart money has sided with the home team, triggering wiseguy “fade the trendy dog” reverse line movement in favor of Vanderbilt.

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Just because you look like you have a pulse on offense against bottom tier sec schools doesn’t mean you’re improving … i mean we looked much improved against southeastern too … I mean I hope your right but this much improved game you speak of we won 20-10 at home on Saturday night .. wouldn’t say we lit it up .. the same team Vandy beat 31-7 on the road

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You may want to look deeper into what Vandy has done. Their schedule outside Alabama has been a joke.

They beat USC 31-7 because USC's backup QB turned the ball over 3-4 times in the redzone. Vandy actually didn't move the ball great on them, and Alabama absolutely shut them down in the second half. Vandy is the most overrated team in the country. Their wins are against an FCS team, 1-5 GA State, a terrible Va Tech team, 3-3 Utah St, and South Carolina.

Pavia, as a 6th year senior last year was shut down by our putrid defense. Yet, I'm supposed to believe that we should be scared of Vandy this year against a much, much better defense? Ok

I’m sure he’ll get another sex tape leaked then accuse someone of being antisemitic

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For those that don’t understand sharp money or how betting works

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If you follow it that close, then you are aware that HFA is typically b/w 3-4 points, but Vandy also typically has more away fans in their stadium.

And you probably are also aware that Vandy hasn't been favored in a conference game since 2018, damn near 7 years.

I'm as pessimistic as they come when it involves my rooting interests, but I can safely say that "smart" money in this game is definitely on the UNDER.

This game is as close to a coin toss as it gets. Early kickoff and the unusual nature of expectations between these two schools with Vandy expected to win all play huge factors.

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Sharp money hasn’t even started. What are you talking about?

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He’s talking about the line moving 3 points in two hours. The public doesn’t move this.

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Defense is getting thin and without Weeks, a lot of plays that would be stopped for 2-3 yards will get 7-10 yards with the safeties having to make the stops.

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That’s wild that we won’t be allowed to put in the guy that had 10+ tackles against Florida and we just have to play with 10 on defense.

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smart money is on Vandy

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Smart money is very subjective. And whatever one’s definition of “smart money” is, it’s never 100% distributed to one side, and certainly isn’t in this particular game. There’s always “smart money” on both sides, albeit unequally distributed sometimes.

In this particular game between LSU and Vandy, money is all over the place. Most people, smart money and otherwise, aren’t sure what to think of the matchup. It’s not an easy game to bet on.

Exactly right. The offense lies moribund on the field.