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Our Win Probability for each Remaining Game according to ESPN
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:14 am
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:14 am
What do you think about the OLE MISS %
Date Opponent Win Probability (%)
Sept 6 Louisiana Tech 97.2%
Sept 13 Florida 59.6%
Sept 20 Southeastern Louisiana 99.0%
Sept 27 at Ole Miss 29.2%
Oct 11 South Carolina 57.2%
Oct 18 at Vanderbilt 71.7%
Oct 25 Texas A&M 59.8%
Nov 8 at Alabama 46.7%
Nov 15 Arkansas 72.4%
Nov 22 Western Kentucky 95.4%
Nov 29 at Oklahoma 58.8%
Date Opponent Win Probability (%)
Sept 6 Louisiana Tech 97.2%
Sept 13 Florida 59.6%
Sept 20 Southeastern Louisiana 99.0%
Sept 27 at Ole Miss 29.2%
Oct 11 South Carolina 57.2%
Oct 18 at Vanderbilt 71.7%
Oct 25 Texas A&M 59.8%
Nov 8 at Alabama 46.7%
Nov 15 Arkansas 72.4%
Nov 22 Western Kentucky 95.4%
Nov 29 at Oklahoma 58.8%
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:16 am to NickC
I'm just not buying that the black bears/landsharks are that superior.
This post was edited on 9/3/25 at 11:18 am
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:18 am to NickC
Florida/USCe/Texas A&M at less than 60% is laughable at best
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:18 am to TrueTiger
quote:
I'm just not buying that the black bears are that superior.
They aren’t. At all. It’s their dumb FPI… we will be favored to win by Vegas
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:19 am to NickC
quote:
What do you think about the OLE MISS %
I think someone tried to type a 5 but fat-fingered it and hit the 2
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:20 am to NickC
quote:
Sept 27 at Ole Miss 29.2%
I get that Ole Miss is favored but having us less than 30% shite at winning is surprising
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:22 am to Pikes Peak Tiger
Yea that’s a garbage number.
LSU is better than everyone on that schedule.
LSU is better than everyone on that schedule.
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:27 am to Pikes Peak Tiger
quote:
I get that Ole Miss is favored but having us less than 30% shite at winning is surprising
I have a feeling by game week Ole Miss will not be favored. LSU -2.5.
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:30 am to NickC
If there's one thing for certain, it's that ESPN has no clue what the frick they're talking about these days.
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:33 am to NickC
Thise win probabilities are dumb, but at 10-2, LSU is a top 8 seed.
I think they go 11-1, but don't ask me where the loss is. They'll get a bye.
I think they go 11-1, but don't ask me where the loss is. They'll get a bye.
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:33 am to NickC
Defense wins championships and LSU has one with a very good offense. If the Tigers stay focused and avoid injuries. With this defense and depth I do not see a lost in the schedule. OM and BAMA maybe. But our defense is what BB calls the BAYOU BANDITS!

This post was edited on 9/3/25 at 11:35 am
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:35 am to pitchandcatch27
Ole Miss is laughable
@Bama and @OU will be our two toughest games IMO.
OU will be fighting for a playoff spot at night in cold Norman. That wont be a cakewalk
@Bama and @OU will be our two toughest games IMO.
OU will be fighting for a playoff spot at night in cold Norman. That wont be a cakewalk
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:37 am to NickC
I think we spank Florida at home
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:41 am to NickC
So Southeastern LA has a 1% chance eh?
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:41 am to NickC
That's funny because SDS posted this yesterday:
ESPN’s FPI updates projections for every remaining game on LSU’s schedule
quote:
Here’s a look at how likely LSU is to win each of its remaining games according to FPI:
Sept. 6: vs. Louisiana Tech – 97.2%
Sept. 13: vs. Florida – 59.6%
Sept. 20 vs. SE Louisiana – 99%
Sept. 27: at Ole Miss – 70.2%
Oct. 11: vs. South Carolina – 57.2%
Oct. 18: at Vanderbilt – 71.7%
Oct. 25: vs. Texas A&M – 59.8%
Nov. 8: at Alabama – 46.7%
Nov. 15: vs. Arkansas – 72.4%
Nov. 22: vs. Western Kentucky – 95.4%
Nov. 29: at Oklahoma – 58.8%
ESPN’s FPI updates projections for every remaining game on LSU’s schedule
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:45 am to CatfishJohn
quote:
I think we spank Florida at home
I think Florida is better than they were a years ago but I put ZERO stock in their win over Long Island.
There are probable 20 or more high school teams in Florida that could have won they game.
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:50 am to Harry Boutte
Yeah, they just came out with the new one from after week one. Everyone is looking at the first one from before we beat Clemson. Thank you.
Posted on 9/3/25 at 12:15 pm to TrueTiger
Agree with TrueTiger, I’m not fearful of Ole Piss. Bring it on gentlemen.
Geaux fighting tigers
Geaux fighting tigers
Posted on 9/3/25 at 12:21 pm to LSUButt
quote:
Florida/USCe/Texas A&M at less than 60% is laughable at best
USCE going to be a tough out, not sure we win last year if Sellers does not get hurt. The defense looks greatly improved but I still would like to see them stuff a true dual threat running qb. I am sure it is much more likely with Perkins at the star position. But how frustrating was that last year when Milroe ran for career rushing yards all over the defense and coaching staff had forever to prepare and knew it was coming. SMH still at that.
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