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Our Win Probability for each Remaining Game according to ESPN

Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:14 am
Posted by NickC
Lafayette La
Member since Sep 2022
257 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:14 am
What do you think about the OLE MISS %


Date Opponent Win Probability (%)
Sept 6 Louisiana Tech 97.2%
Sept 13 Florida 59.6%
Sept 20 Southeastern Louisiana 99.0%
Sept 27 at Ole Miss 29.2%
Oct 11 South Carolina 57.2%
Oct 18 at Vanderbilt 71.7%
Oct 25 Texas A&M 59.8%
Nov 8 at Alabama 46.7%
Nov 15 Arkansas 72.4%
Nov 22 Western Kentucky 95.4%
Nov 29 at Oklahoma 58.8%
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
79561 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:16 am to
I'm just not buying that the black bears/landsharks are that superior.
This post was edited on 9/3/25 at 11:18 am
Posted by LSUButt
Lowcountry
Member since Jan 2006
15763 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:18 am to
Florida/USCe/Texas A&M at less than 60% is laughable at best
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:18 am to
quote:

I'm just not buying that the black bears are that superior.


They aren’t. At all. It’s their dumb FPI… we will be favored to win by Vegas
Posted by saturday
Pronoun (Baw)
Member since Feb 2007
7737 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:19 am to
quote:

What do you think about the OLE MISS %




I think someone tried to type a 5 but fat-fingered it and hit the 2
Posted by Pikes Peak Tiger
Colorado Springs
Member since Jun 2023
8999 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Sept 27 at Ole Miss 29.2%


I get that Ole Miss is favored but having us less than 30% shite at winning is surprising
Posted by tigerbait1.6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2013
4514 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:22 am to
Ole miss is truly laughable
Posted by Raoul Stimulato
Hale Bopp Comet
Member since Sep 2022
1981 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:22 am to
Yea that’s a garbage number.

LSU is better than everyone on that schedule.
Posted by redfishfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2015
5294 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:27 am to
quote:

I get that Ole Miss is favored but having us less than 30% shite at winning is surprising


I have a feeling by game week Ole Miss will not be favored. LSU -2.5.
Posted by CynicalTiger08
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2018
2726 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:30 am to
If there's one thing for certain, it's that ESPN has no clue what the frick they're talking about these days.
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
16239 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:33 am to
Thise win probabilities are dumb, but at 10-2, LSU is a top 8 seed.

I think they go 11-1, but don't ask me where the loss is. They'll get a bye.
Posted by pitchandcatch27
Huntsville,AL
Member since Jul 2018
3899 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:33 am to
Defense wins championships and LSU has one with a very good offense. If the Tigers stay focused and avoid injuries. With this defense and depth I do not see a lost in the schedule. OM and BAMA maybe. But our defense is what BB calls the BAYOU BANDITS!
This post was edited on 9/3/25 at 11:35 am
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
32722 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:35 am to
Ole Miss is laughable


@Bama and @OU will be our two toughest games IMO.

OU will be fighting for a playoff spot at night in cold Norman. That wont be a cakewalk
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
18531 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:37 am to
I think we spank Florida at home
Posted by jbraua
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Oct 2007
7488 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:41 am to
So Southeastern LA has a 1% chance eh?
Posted by Harry Boutte
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2024
3329 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:41 am to
That's funny because SDS posted this yesterday:

quote:

Here’s a look at how likely LSU is to win each of its remaining games according to FPI:

Sept. 6: vs. Louisiana Tech – 97.2%
Sept. 13: vs. Florida – 59.6%
Sept. 20 vs. SE Louisiana – 99%
Sept. 27: at Ole Miss – 70.2%
Oct. 11: vs. South Carolina – 57.2%
Oct. 18: at Vanderbilt – 71.7%
Oct. 25: vs. Texas A&M – 59.8%
Nov. 8: at Alabama – 46.7%
Nov. 15: vs. Arkansas – 72.4%
Nov. 22: vs. Western Kentucky – 95.4%
Nov. 29: at Oklahoma – 58.8%


ESPN’s FPI updates projections for every remaining game on LSU’s schedule
Posted by Pikes Peak Tiger
Colorado Springs
Member since Jun 2023
8999 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:45 am to
quote:

I think we spank Florida at home


I think Florida is better than they were a years ago but I put ZERO stock in their win over Long Island.

There are probable 20 or more high school teams in Florida that could have won they game.
Posted by Jtigerfan454
Member since Dec 2022
321 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 11:50 am to
Yeah, they just came out with the new one from after week one. Everyone is looking at the first one from before we beat Clemson. Thank you.
Posted by 4LSUinSC
South Carolina
Member since Nov 2004
515 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 12:15 pm to
Agree with TrueTiger, I’m not fearful of Ole Piss. Bring it on gentlemen.
Geaux fighting tigers
Posted by SA4LSU
AZ
Member since Sep 2005
4755 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Florida/USCe/Texas A&M at less than 60% is laughable at best


USCE going to be a tough out, not sure we win last year if Sellers does not get hurt. The defense looks greatly improved but I still would like to see them stuff a true dual threat running qb. I am sure it is much more likely with Perkins at the star position. But how frustrating was that last year when Milroe ran for career rushing yards all over the defense and coaching staff had forever to prepare and knew it was coming. SMH still at that.
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