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re: Omaha Team Comparison - Runs Scored and Allowed
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:29 am to josh336
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:29 am to josh336
LSU's bracket is tough.
Wake Forest has been the best team over the course of the entire season (LSU had a better argument until they had an "average" month of May).
LSU may be the most talented team overall with arguably the two best players in the CWS on their roster.
Tennessee is not the juggernaut they were last season. But they have a good and deep pitching staff. In a park that can somewhat mitigate slugging, that is a big advantage.
Stanford is a national seed for a reason....though they haven't really looked like one of the 8 best teams in the country thus far in the playoffs.
It sounds obvious, but LSU's path through the finals has to be through the winner's bracket. I think Wake and Tennessee have the pitching depth to survive coming out of the losers bracket if need be. For LSU, the pitching if "iffy" after Skenes.
On the other side it appears Florida has the advantage. But Virginia is a good team and TCU has arguably been the best team in the posteason thus far.
Wake Forest has been the best team over the course of the entire season (LSU had a better argument until they had an "average" month of May).
LSU may be the most talented team overall with arguably the two best players in the CWS on their roster.
Tennessee is not the juggernaut they were last season. But they have a good and deep pitching staff. In a park that can somewhat mitigate slugging, that is a big advantage.
Stanford is a national seed for a reason....though they haven't really looked like one of the 8 best teams in the country thus far in the playoffs.
It sounds obvious, but LSU's path through the finals has to be through the winner's bracket. I think Wake and Tennessee have the pitching depth to survive coming out of the losers bracket if need be. For LSU, the pitching if "iffy" after Skenes.
On the other side it appears Florida has the advantage. But Virginia is a good team and TCU has arguably been the best team in the posteason thus far.
1
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:29 am to SouthEndzoneTiger
Brain fart. I forgot we were in the same bracket.
This post was edited on 6/13/23 at 9:30 am
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:30 am to Alt26
Hurd to start vs Tennessee.
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:31 am to ell_13
Your guess? Or you know that?
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:33 am to JperiodCperiod
quote:
How many runs scored/allowed per nine innings
Good question.
LSU 513 1/3 innings batting and 588 runs = 10.31 runs per 9 innings
Wake 518 2/3 innings batting and 583 runs = 10.12 runs per 9 innings
So yes, Tigers score more per inning.
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:34 am to josh336
Troll/Joke.
I’m not going to pretend to know what Jay will do. Starting Skenes vs Tulane was an odd move to gaurantee us getting off to a good start and lessening our chances vs a better team. I would not be at all shocked if he held Skenes for game 2 especially considering the side of the bracket we are on and not getting that extra day of rest meaning he’s almost certainly not going a third game.
I’m not going to pretend to know what Jay will do. Starting Skenes vs Tulane was an odd move to gaurantee us getting off to a good start and lessening our chances vs a better team. I would not be at all shocked if he held Skenes for game 2 especially considering the side of the bracket we are on and not getting that extra day of rest meaning he’s almost certainly not going a third game.
Posted on 6/13/23 at 9:40 am to NorthEndZone
Let's give those numbers a little more context.
Warren Nolan RPI SOS - opponent win%
LSU 14th 59.9%
Florida 15th 58.3%
Tennessee 17th 59%
TCU 19th 58.3%
Wake Forest 32nd 56.6%
Stanford 33rd 56.4%
Virginia 46th 54.6%
Oral Roberts 238 47.2%
D1 Baseball SOS - record vs RPI top 25
LSU 12th 14-5
Tennessee 21st 12-11
TCU 22nd 12-6
Florida 24th 16-8
Stanford 35th 2-1
Wake Forest 37th 13-4
Virginia 58th 6-3
Oral Roberts 250th 3-3
all that being said, i think it's obvious that we are the most talented team in Omaha. Doesn't mean we'll win it.
I would not want to play TCU or Oral Roberts right now. They are very hot, and teams that get hot like that can do something special, like Ole Piss last year.
Tennessee is a sneaky good candidate to win it all as well, as they are a team full of players that feel they have unfinished business to complete. They probably aren't better than any of the teams in Omaha on paper other than Oral Roberts, but they probably have the most motivation to win it.
Warren Nolan RPI SOS - opponent win%
LSU 14th 59.9%
Florida 15th 58.3%
Tennessee 17th 59%
TCU 19th 58.3%
Wake Forest 32nd 56.6%
Stanford 33rd 56.4%
Virginia 46th 54.6%
Oral Roberts 238 47.2%
D1 Baseball SOS - record vs RPI top 25
LSU 12th 14-5
Tennessee 21st 12-11
TCU 22nd 12-6
Florida 24th 16-8
Stanford 35th 2-1
Wake Forest 37th 13-4
Virginia 58th 6-3
Oral Roberts 250th 3-3
all that being said, i think it's obvious that we are the most talented team in Omaha. Doesn't mean we'll win it.
I would not want to play TCU or Oral Roberts right now. They are very hot, and teams that get hot like that can do something special, like Ole Piss last year.
Tennessee is a sneaky good candidate to win it all as well, as they are a team full of players that feel they have unfinished business to complete. They probably aren't better than any of the teams in Omaha on paper other than Oral Roberts, but they probably have the most motivation to win it.
This post was edited on 6/13/23 at 9:46 am
Posted on 6/13/23 at 10:31 am to SMD
quote:Possibly. Their record wasnt as awesome when you look at conference v non conference.
Which means the teams era is quite impressive
Additionally, they batted a grand total of 13 players all year. 13. Tell me you were not trying to run up scores without telling me that. We batted about 19-20 I would think.
Look, they pitch well, but they are not going to produce offensively like they did in that postage stamp. Lets get by Tennessee then lets take our chances.
Posted on 6/13/23 at 10:59 am to SMD
Yes and no. It’s less field for outfielders to cover, too.
Posted on 6/13/23 at 11:01 am to tigerfoot
quote:
but they are not going to produce offensively like they did in that postage stamp
I tend to agree with you here. Looking at their RPI and park size, it seems as if there are some shadows propping up their record....still I believe they have good arms.
Posted on 6/13/23 at 11:25 am to Quatrepot
quote:
Which is why all this is meaningless.
Is it though?
Did they score and give up all those runs on only home runs? A base hit is still a base hit no matter what the dimensions of the field are
Posted on 6/13/23 at 11:55 am to ell_13
Skenes will start
No doubt about it
No doubt about it
Posted on 6/13/23 at 1:29 pm to ell_13
quote:
Hurd to start vs Tennessee.
Posted on 6/13/23 at 1:33 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Runs scored per game
1 Wake Forest 9.40
2 LSU 9.33
quote:
Run differential per game
1 Wake Forest 6.40
2 Virginia 4.95
3 LSU 4.55
Those are the two most telling stats to me. I am very much looking forward to the CWS. I love this team! If they play up to their potential they are going to have a very good showing in Omaha.
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