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re: Odds are Milazzo is going to hit .150 again

Posted on 2/16/23 at 3:46 am to
Posted by DMY13
Denham Springs
Member since Nov 2022
8 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 3:46 am to
Bad defense behind the plate can cost you runs. Just might have to deal with below average BA.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290832 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:04 am to
Hitting .135 can cost you runs too
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
81227 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:08 am to
quote:

Hitting .135 can cost you runs too



If it's out of the 8 or 9 hole, I'd say a bad catcher probably costs more.
Posted by WigSplitta22
The Bottom
Member since Apr 2014
2393 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:09 am to
quote:

If it's out of the 8 or 9 hole, I'd say a bad catcher probably costs more.





Is Neal a bad catcher?
Posted by beauchristopher
Member since Jan 2008
73716 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:20 am to
I understand Milazzo is regarded as a great defensive catcher, but is it possible we (as fans) are not as receptive to the possibility other catchers can get the job done defensively, because of how bad the previous catchers were?

In other words, could Neal be a pretty solid defensive catcher in his own right?
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290832 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:21 am to
If he were some type of unicorn defensively I’d entertain that idea but he’s not.

Even a guy like McManus (or the catcher spot as a whole : 16hr 585 Slg) last year, who wasn’t great defensively, more than made up for it offensively. Especially on a team that lacked offense

They likely created more runs than milazzo would have saved & created combined
This post was edited on 2/16/23 at 8:23 am
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
81227 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:21 am to
quote:

In other words, could Neal be a pretty solid defensive catcher in his own right?



He could be, but it remains to be seen.

Regardless, it's always better to not have a catcher catch 3 straight days.
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46861 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:36 am to
quote:

Hitting .135 can cost you runs too


Costing a run is way worse than not scoring a run. A C gives up 1 run, something we saw in multiple games last year, you have to score 2 to overcome it.

The defensive problem outweighs the offensive problem probably by a factor of 4.
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46861 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:38 am to
Holy shite LE.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290832 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 8:56 am to
In a vacuum the defensive numbers on the catchers last year were bad. But they circumvented many of the issues. The worked around the passed balls for the most part, and opponents did not run on LSU much at all.

Optically it looked bad because they did not handle pitches well but overall did not bury the team like it could have.


The catchers afer Milazzo got hurt hit

16HR
45 RBI
.585 SLG %
46 R
121 TB

they basically gave you the production of Cade Doughty
Posted by fastlane
Member since Jul 2014
4529 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 9:27 am to
Gosh I created a monster.

And to think people said this wasn't a concern or question.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290832 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 9:59 am to
Nah, there are a lot of people brainwashed when it comes to milazzo. They’ve invented the idea that he can hit a productive .180
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Savannah, GA
Member since Mar 2014
13467 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 10:55 am to
There are going to be three catchers that are going to play. Milazzo, Neal, and Travinski. Milazzo is going to get a lot of playing time because of his defense. He will either be a late sub for defense in close games or he will be subbed out in games he starts where we need offense before his 3 appearance.

Johnson is going to find the right combination once the season is playing itself out. I still want to see him be the best bunter on the team to move people over and/or squeeze bunt for some runs.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
18917 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 11:10 am to
quote:

They likely created more runs than milazzo would have saved & created combined

There’s not really a way to calculate this in a meaningful way. If McManus were to hit a 3 run bomb in a 12-1 win then later in the week allow a pass ball that leads to a run or 2 in a game that ends as a 3-2 loss, technically he created more runs than he cost but one was meaningful and one wasn’t. It’s also difficult to account for an inning that is extending because a pitcher is scared to throw a ball in the dirt with a runner on 3rd because the catcher can’t block it.

Both will play in different situations and I don’t know why everyone can’t just accept that.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290832 posts
Posted on 2/16/23 at 12:07 pm to
There is a way to quantify it, it just isn’t tabulated in the college game and is not nearly as specific as your poor example. The data needs time to correct & is simply not as situational as that.

We do know from more comprehensive mlb data that elite defensive catchers that do not hit are barely worth 1 win above replacement during a good season.
This post was edited on 2/16/23 at 12:08 pm
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46861 posts
Posted on 2/17/23 at 2:25 pm to
war lol
Posted by fastlane
Member since Jul 2014
4529 posts
Posted on 2/17/23 at 2:33 pm to
I know Milazzo is good behind the plate. He will certainly play big innings and in big games this year...but the lineup today is my point.

Neal is going to be the workhorse with Milazzo being the fill guy and late inning guy.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
79426 posts
Posted on 2/17/23 at 2:35 pm to
I bet You Milazzo plays tomorrow vs their lefty.
Posted by fastlane
Member since Jul 2014
4529 posts
Posted on 2/17/23 at 2:38 pm to
I bet he will.
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