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re: Man, I wish we were playing BAMA at home this year - % Chance LSU beats Bama this year

Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:41 pm to
Posted by wds
Northshore
Member since Mar 2007
705 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 2:41 pm to
Day game in Tuscaloosa is actually a good thing historically for us.
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10849 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:14 pm to
We've beaten Alabama 15 times since 1982. 11 of those 15 wins were either in Birmingham or Tuscaloosa. We are 8-7 in the last 15 games in Tuscaloosa.
Posted by TenMan
WACO, TX
Member since Nov 2006
1959 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

We've beaten Alabama 15 times since 1982. 11 of those 15 wins were either in Birmingham or Tuscaloosa. We are 8-7 in the last 15 games in Tuscaloosa.



That is so counterintuitive. Funny the Juggernaut offense that is Burrow and Co. would be a huge advantage for us. I feel like if we were close, home-field ad would be the "winning edge."
Posted by ctb504
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2007
379 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:22 pm to
To me it takes some of the pressure off playing them on the road. I think this team and its leadership will thrive in that environment.
Posted by WaterLink
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2015
20581 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:23 pm to
2 of the 3 wins against Saban while at Bama were at Tuscaloosa, including our last one. Overall we've fared significantly better away from Baton Rouge than at home in this series.

I will grant you that during this streak the two closest times we've come to beating them (2012, 2014) were at home, but still ended in losses. I'm honestly not sure being at home matters as much as you think
Posted by ELVIS U
Member since Feb 2007
11579 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:29 pm to
40 to 50% is about right
Posted by dagrippa
Saigon
Member since Nov 2004
11958 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:31 pm to
25
Posted by bobad
Eunice, LA
Member since Aug 2007
393 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:32 pm to
10%
Posted by LSUFanMizeWay
Picayune MS
Member since Sep 2014
6497 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 3:43 pm to
100
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
38885 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 4:20 pm to
Yeah LSU isn’t losing this game if it was in Baton Rouge. No chance




On the road will be tough but we’ll see
Posted by Metariemobtiger
Mobile
Member since Aug 2019
589 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 4:27 pm to
If lsu can’t beat them this year, regardless of where they play, it won’t happen in a long time.

Bama can and will lose. Nobody is stoping this offense!
Geaux tigers !
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
55426 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 4:43 pm to
First time: 20% with our current defense.

IF we beat them, we will have to play them again, most likely.

Second time: 10%
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
295801 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 4:44 pm to
We played Texas well on the road, we will do fine in BD
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33887 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 4:47 pm to
I don't know about percentage. It's about whether or not you have enough to beat them, as in do we cross the threshold in talent and coaching to get it done. The answer is yes. They have to get it done this season.

We simply didn't have the ability to beat them these past few seasons. We have the ability now.
This post was edited on 10/18/19 at 4:48 pm
Posted by majoredinwhitehorse
lower alabama
Member since Nov 2016
813 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 4:53 pm to
Since we quit playing in Birmingham and started playing in Tuscaloosa, LSU has 8 wins in Tuscaloosa compared to 4 in Baton Rouge.

I like our chances there better than at home.
Posted by DRTiger67
Member since Apr 2013
670 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 4:55 pm to
Cant. Stand. Gumps.
Posted by GeauxLSUBengalTigers
Member since Sep 2016
423 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 5:08 pm to
You're stupid. LSU has a less than 40% chance of winning that game. I don't like it, but from all the predictors(hard numbers not talking heads) I've looked at that is the hard truth.

Does that mean they can't win? Absolutely not.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
52016 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 5:29 pm to
In my gut I feel like LSU has this one. I’m calling it 65% for LSU, and I’m betting no money.
Posted by Jenar Boy
Elsewhere
Member since Aug 2013
14173 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 5:43 pm to
I think pretty close to 50/50. If it was neutral site I’d say 60/40 LSU.

If we can jam Juedy & co at the LOS to disrupt their timing the sky is the limit.
Posted by TenMan
WACO, TX
Member since Nov 2006
1959 posts
Posted on 10/18/19 at 5:47 pm to
We will have to stop any YAC bleeding when a reception is made
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