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re: LSU's odds to win the football NC on Kalshi just crashed from 5% to 2%.

Posted on 2/24/25 at 11:54 am to
Posted by justjoe906
Member since Oct 2013
1749 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 11:54 am to
quote:

LSU's odds to win the football NC on Kalshi just crashed from 5% to 2%.

I'm surprised it's even that high.
Posted by Beessnax
Member since Nov 2015
10135 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 11:55 am to
quote:

Did I miss something


Yes, a lot. Like everything possible relevant to your question
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
11371 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 11:58 am to
quote:

I loaded up $400 worth of shares at 2% odds (as that seems to be better odds than at any sports site). So if LSU wins the NC I'll take home $20K


It sounds like you don’t understand what you’re betting on
Posted by cbtullis
Atlanta
Member since Apr 2004
6695 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 12:03 pm to
Seems really low considering the real Vegas odds that matter
Posted by MasterKnight
Louisiana
Member since Jan 2016
1982 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 12:29 pm to
You missed that the month is February and the college football season starts in August. 6 months from now.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
44375 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 12:31 pm to
Maybe no one was taking LSU so they moved the line?
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
11371 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

$400 on lsu to win the natty pays $4000 on Kalshi

It pays out almost $9400
quote:

$400 on lsu to win the natty pays $8000 on FanDuel/Draftkings


this is accurate
This post was edited on 2/24/25 at 10:43 pm
Posted by R11
Member since Aug 2017
4294 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

BK still coach and Nuss still QB


Clearly what's holding us back.


I swear, , some of you people are
Literally too fking stupid to insult.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
46620 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

5% to 2%? Holy shite what a massive crash.

You don’t think a 60% drop is a lot?
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
14743 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 1:28 pm to
If it started at 5%, that is not very high to crash from.
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
1324 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 3:30 pm to
Isn’t Nuss the favorite to win the Heisman but he’d still not good enough for some?? Some of yall have a short memory
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
25982 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 7:12 pm to
Is this a paid advertisement for Kalshi?
Posted by TigerBite
Dallas
Member since Feb 2004
2584 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

Not going to lie the odds of an asteroid hitting the earth being higher than LSU winning a NC next year makes me nervous for the earth.


underrated comment
Posted by Jajofl
Member since Sep 2015
22 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 9:03 pm to
Omg, one of the absolute best responses ever. Wish I could give you more upvotes!
Posted by NotaStarGazer
Member since Dec 2023
2054 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 9:09 pm to
First, I don't call that important and not even worth a post since I and apparently some others here have no idea who or what Kalshi is. But hey I guess LSU needs to just cancel their football season.
Posted by Dalosaqy
I can't quite re
Member since Dec 2007
12729 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

from 5% to 2%.

The horror.
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
11371 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

So if LSU wins the NC I'll take home $20K


The 2% isn’t actual odds, it says a $400 bet pays about $9400 so it’s around +2300.

That is better than the +2000 you will find on most sportsbooks
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
11371 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 10:40 pm to
quote:

You don’t think a 60% drop is a lot?


OP thought it was a shift from +2000 to +5000. It’s not, but that would be a pretty big shift.

I could be wrong but it seems like the % isn’t attached to the odds. Is it just the number of bets?

Kalshi odds:
(16%) Ohio State +590
(15%) Texas +620
(13%) UGA +725
(12%) Oregon +875

(7%) Ole Miss +2000
(6%) Clemson +1700
(5%) A&M +2500
(4%) South Carolina +2400
(3%) Tennessee +1600
(3%) Florida +2600
(2%) LSU +2300
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
61053 posts
Posted on 2/24/25 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

So he will avg over 315 yards per game 


Not really that absurd.

He averaged 312 this past season.

Posted by WhySoSerious
No.
Member since Jan 2014
880 posts
Posted on 2/25/25 at 7:25 am to
quote:

Wins and losses aside

Shut the frick up
quote:

some of y'all are going to look so fricking dumb at the end of 2025 after Nuss throws for 5,000 yards and works his way to being a 1st rounder

Works his way huh? Y’all told me he was a 1st rounder last year. Now he needs to throw for 5,000 to work himself into the first
quote:

To act as spoiled as y'all do about QB play is astounding and gross.

He doesn’t get half of the criticism that our actual Heisman, actual 1st round pick QB that came before him did. He gets excuses from dickheads like you. In fact, some of wanted him to play during Jayden’s Heisman season. He gets on the field, drops his draft stock to the point that he had to stay in school, and he’s still defended by half the fan base. Y’all are about as bad as the McManiacs. Shut the frick up you stupid bitch
This post was edited on 2/25/25 at 7:29 am
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