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re: Looks like a decent amount of betting recently is on Clemson

Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:54 am to
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
130595 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:54 am to
quote:

One call is all it takes in a close game.


When is the last close game we’ve had? Auburn? Auburn would beat Clemson
Posted by JohnnyU
Florida
Member since Nov 2006
12350 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 5:21 am to
The few youtube bettors vids I’ve watched keep saying the line is too big. The one thing that stands out is the panelists really don’t seem to know much about either team. One of them said something to the effect “ LSU has not been challenged so we don’t how they’ll respond if punched in the mouth.”

Posted by Bigkat80
VicksBurg MS Originally Bossier Cit
Member since Jun 2011
271 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 6:38 am to
Well I operate 2 William Hill Sports books in MS Casino's and thats Will Hills play....Get it as close to even as possible. The Vig or juice when you taking Millions is pretty damn good My friend. This isnt a neighborhood bookie bud.
Posted by Bigkat80
VicksBurg MS Originally Bossier Cit
Member since Jun 2011
271 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 6:44 am to
Also the Sharp money will come in way late and pound the Clemson side of a Moneyline if its still close to +190 as risk reward is on the bettors favor in that scenario.
Posted by Tigrdynasty
19th hole
Member since Jun 2018
2958 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 6:51 am to
They're simply hedging, in this particular case. Lots and lots of money was bet before the season on Clemson to win the NC at around 25-1.
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
27015 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 6:51 am to
quote:

Vegas’s goal is not to get the betting on both sides to 50/50.



Meh. In general, the smart people that run the corporations that own the big books want max profit with minimal risk.

While you are correct... it’s not necessarily 100% the “goal” to get exactly equal money on both sides necessarily, it absolutely is the goal to get max profit with minimum risk. Bettors gamble, the books most certainly do not. It’s a business, not a hobby or a game, at least for the good books that know what they’re doing.
This post was edited on 1/11/20 at 7:09 am
Posted by Tigerbiscuits
Mid-City
Member since Nov 2011
1061 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 6:52 am to
It is true that a book will sometimes take the opposite side of public money, rather than try to even it out. One example I remember recently was the Pels Lakers game in which heavy money and bets were on the Lakers spread, anf rather than adjust the line to get money on the pels they dropped the spread to entice even more money on the Lakers.

LINK

This post was edited on 1/11/20 at 6:58 am
Posted by coachw
Member since Jun 2017
1872 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 6:53 am to
Aranda, and the defense, is the weak link. Afraid Aranda will once again be exposed. However, I think we out score them.
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
27015 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 6:54 am to
quote:

Aranda, and the defense, is the weak link. Afraid Aranda will once again be exposed.


I totally disagree.

On Tuesday, people will be saying “wow, that LSU defense, damn they’re good. There’s a lot of NFL talent on that defense”

Watch and see!
This post was edited on 1/11/20 at 6:56 am
Posted by Clempson12
Member since Sep 2018
102 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 7:08 am to
quote:

Auburn would beat Clemson


This is a joke, right?
Posted by Jabontik
Houston
Member since Dec 2016
3655 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 7:16 am to
quote:

Aranda, and the defense, is the weak link. Afraid Aranda will once again be exposed. However, I think we out score them.


Clemson will come out doing something they have not all year, which is line up with 4 WR and throw it every down. They know they are in a shootout, they know they will need to score over 30 to win. Go look at how Clemson came out the last time they got scared, which was after the UNC game.

Posted by TigerSaint1
Member since Apr 2014
1479 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 8:19 am to
And if they do that it would make getting Divinity back that much of a bigger deal. If you let Chaisson, Divinity, Brooks, Stevens pin their ears back and rush the passer with Shelvin, Lawrence, Logan pushing the pocket, they will absolutely create pressure and get to Lawrence. It’s also about switching up looks and disguising who’s coming and who isn’t. You also have to throw some zone coverage in there, otherwise Clemson will eventually find a favorable matchup.
Posted by deuceiswild
South La
Member since Nov 2007
4312 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 8:23 am to
I’m betting that the Clempson QB was in that band Hansen as a child. MMMMBOP!
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
36951 posts
Posted on 1/11/20 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

Auburn would beat Clemson


This is a joke, right?


Can you prove him wrong?
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