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re: Judging & evaluating QBs is one of the hardest things in sports. . .

Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:24 am to
Posted by wadewilson
Member since Sep 2009
36531 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:24 am to
quote:


Burrow certainly was not a finished product his 1st year as a tiger, but he could always go through progressions and could anticipate when a receiver would come open. He was also running a very antiquated offensive scheme.

Daniels locks on to one receiver at the snap, and only throws to him if he is wide open. He very seldom goes through progressions and he does not anticipate when the receiver will come open. He very seldom makes a throw on time.


Thank you
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422407 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:24 am to
quote:

JD5 has had one year with this offense and coaching staff. One would think improvement is possible given the circumstances. Or so you hope.

Well, as I posted in the other thread, if JD isn't starting I don't know if he can be on the team next year.

That variable has to be weighed in the decision-making.
Posted by wadewilson
Member since Sep 2009
36531 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:27 am to
quote:


I agree and it's going to send this board into chaos in 6 months. Denbrock/Kelly went out and hand-picked JD


Pretty sure JD contacted LSU first.
Posted by TaderSalad
mudbug territory
Member since Jul 2014
24656 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:29 am to
The biggest difference is that Burrow had never started a game till LSU.


JD has a well documented resume. He’s an excellent rusher and serviceable passer against weaker teams. He’s inferior against talented SEC teams. Scheme could help, but we ain’t moving on from Denbrock.

At this point, I just hope CBK can do something Les could not, and adapt.

JD was the best option at LSU for this season. I do not think he’s earned the auto-start status for next year though. You HAVE to pass the ball effectively to be unbeatable.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18136 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Had Brady not been brought in Burrow probably has a marginally better 2019 compared to 2018. It was the complete change in philosophy, approach and play design that made all the difference.

this is correct. Burrow had all the 2019 talent on that 2018 team, but it was under Ensminger's pedestrian offensive scheme.

Only when Brady arrived was all that talent unlocked.

Posted by TaderSalad
mudbug territory
Member since Jul 2014
24656 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:37 am to
quote:

Only when Brady arrived was all that talent unlocked.



It’s one of the few things I liked about O. He could adapt and recognized where Ensminger was lacking.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278337 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:39 am to
quote:

The biggest difference is that Burrow had never started a game till LSU.


I think you kind of have to treat Daniels the same way tbh
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28337 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Different OC can’t make jd5 read a d. JFC man. Wake up.


A good OC puts a QB in position to succeed based upon the QB's strengths. A bad OC continues to try to jam a square peg in a round hole.

Burrow was a sub 60% (completion %) passer in 2018 with only 16 TDs. Essentially he was Danny Etling in Ensminger's antiquated offensive approach. A year later, with a new OC (and you're incredibly naïve or willfully disingenuous if you don't think that was Brady's offense) he turns in one of the best season's ever. Now, did Joe suddenly become that good over the course of one offseason? Or did his new OC put he and the offense in great positions to have success?

Dropping Daniel's back and having him try to hit long developing routes is not his strength. That has been evident all season. So you try to find an offense that suits him. Hendon Hooker is a marginal player at Virginia Tech for 3 season. He then transfers to Tennessee, plays in an offense that extenuates his strengths and suddenly becomes one of the top QBs in the country.

I'm not saying Daniels is Burrow...or even Hooker. But his OC is doing him absolutely no favors. We have 12 games of data now. The current offensive approach does not fit Daniels.
Posted by Bring Da Wood
Texas
Member since Dec 2006
1577 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:43 am to
I could be wrong but I don’t think JD is going anywhere this offseason. I hope an offseason with his WR’s can build the trust and familiarity for him to let the ball go. It helped JB but I think they have different issues. JD doesn’t have the confidence that JB has and that’s concerning. Hopefully BK does let Howard have a legitimate opportunity to compete with JD. Howard needs some game reps at some point if he is as good as everyone says.
Posted by TaderSalad
mudbug territory
Member since Jul 2014
24656 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:46 am to
quote:

I think you kind of have to treat Daniels the same way tbh


Why?

Genuinely curious.

One had thousands of reps with their teams best talent, the other had hundreds of reps with 2’s and 3’s.

One came in to an archaic offense that was resistant to change and the other came into an offense catered to their skill set.

JD5 had every advantage. Biggest question mark was that Sloan re-worked JD’s footwork. At the time I didn’t mind bc I figured he’d be backup, but now I question the decision.
Posted by jimbeaux82
Natchitoches, La
Member since Oct 2008
1337 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:48 am to
I agree 100% with Sport Tiger. When he does throw the ball his accuracy is decent albeit usually late. He will only throw to completely open receivers. Even when the game circumstances clearly dictate that our only chance to win is to throw the ball downfield he is hesitant to do so. As a 4th year player this is not good. I do not know how his confidence or ability can be improved at this point. His running has definitely helped us win a couple games but his hesitation to throw the ball has likewise cost us a couple games. If you are looking at the big picture, ie undefeated season national championship, this will not get it. I understand that these are college kids and no one is perfect despite us wanting them to be, JD had a glaring weakness for all but the most biased to see
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278337 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:55 am to
quote:

Genuinely curious.

One had thousands of reps with their teams best talent, the other had hundreds of reps with 2’s and 3’s.


Because he’s been in a toxic situation the last few years where he hasn’t been able to grow. I don’t think it’s by chance that he has improved overnight with some stability. That’s why I’d bet on another jump with an offseason together with everyone
Posted by doctatigah
Member since Oct 2016
686 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 8:57 am to
quote:

But his OC is doing him absolutely no favors. We have 12 games of data now. The current offensive approach does not fit Daniels.



I agree that you can’t divorce the offensive scheme from the outcomes. That said, JD5 has missed a lot of reads on (sometimes very) open receivers. The problem is probably threefold: (1) you simply cannot deploy late breaking routes with this kid, (2) you have to help him understand making reads, and (3) you need to develop his trust in his WRs such that he slings the damn ball.

Scheme is always king, but there’s a lot of player development that also has to happen for that to really be all that effective.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18136 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 9:03 am to
quote:

But his OC is doing him absolutely no favors. We have 12 games of data now. The current offensive approach does not fit Daniels.
Agreed, and I'm shocked that we haven't seen more (or any) designed roll outs for Daniels. Get him on the move with a run or pass option.
This post was edited on 11/29/22 at 3:24 pm
Posted by J2thaROC
Member since May 2018
13020 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 9:08 am to
quote:

He not going to all of a sudden be able to read the field. He isn't even trying to stretch the field. But sure. He's good enough to keep you losing 2-3 games a year.



You do realize that compared to where we were before BK took over, only losing 2-3 games a year is damn good. Most people who know football said it would be at least 2024 at best before we were competing for any kind of championship again. Orgeron fricked us over bad.

Daniels is not a superior QB by any means. He’s also not the worst QB we’ve ever had by a long shot. In fact, you’d be hard pressed to find more than maybe 3 QBs better than him that LSU has had in the last 20 years. Off the top of my head, there was Burrow (obviously) and Mettenberger (arguably).

If JD is going to be the starter next year, the entire offseason needs to be about him working on read progression, Trusting receivers, and to stop thinking that running is his best option.

I’m not 100% read up on his history, but I’d be willing to bet that throughout his career until now, he was probably the best athlete on his team. He WAS the offense until now. That’s hard to overcome for a lot of players once they’ve had that responsibility (and attention as well though I don’t think JD is intentionally trying to be selfish with the ball, I think he’s just used to it because of his history).

Bottom line, Nuss is probably not our answer unless he gets a lot better than he’s been. Our other options are Howard (who is supposed to be really good but we’ve had plenty of QBs who were “supposed to be good” that really weren’t) or find another in the portal (which may not be a terrible idea).
Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
12830 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 9:15 am to
Hey, thanks for that advice. I will get right on it.

Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35391 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 9:27 am to
quote:

Because he’s been in a toxic situation the last few years where he hasn’t been able to grow. I don’t think it’s by chance that he has improved overnight with some stability. That’s why I’d bet on another jump with an offseason together with everyone
Do you think CBK will send all of the receivers out to Cali to play catch on the beach with him again?
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278337 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 9:29 am to
Or they can just do it in Baton Rouge
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72618 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 9:36 am to
that is why he lets him throw short shite because he can

he can call intermediate to deep all day it does not matter he cannot execute it.

so only call short shite? see where that gets us. roll him out more? ok. it still will not fix the intermediate to deep passes. have you seen him throw on run? at feet and high and behind guys? he is not consistent at that either.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35391 posts
Posted on 11/28/22 at 9:39 am to
quote:

Or they can just do it in Baton Rouge
And risk having them practice with one of the other QB's? Nah.
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