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re: Is it too much to expect LSU football to be in the 12 team playoff every year?

Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:22 pm to
Posted by J2thaROC
Member since May 2018
14677 posts
Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

So based on your assessment and LSU's final rankings every year since 1936, every coach at LSU has been a failure. Miles (45.4%) has the highest percentage of finishing in the top 12 followed by Paul Deitzel (42.9%). Only twice in the last 10 years (thank Joey B). Interesting.


Or maybe he’s pointing out that it’s unrealistic to expect to be in the playoffs every year.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
41783 posts
Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

Or maybe he’s pointing out that it’s unrealistic to expect to be in the playoffs every year.



Look at his post history, he is not.
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
65705 posts
Posted on 12/5/24 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

We WERE that program for most of Miles' coaching career, but at the time only the top 2 teams would make it. So people got frustrated that we were dipping down into maybe 8th overall or so, and demanded he be fired. 


Revisionist history, Miles would've only made the playoff once out of his last 4 seasons.

2012 - #9
2013 - #14
2014 - #22
2015 - #22
Posted by wesman21
Youngsville
Member since Jun 2009
3470 posts
Posted on 12/5/24 at 11:57 pm to
Eh, when we are paying the coaching staff a top 5 salary, no.

I still think we are one of about ten programs that should always be in the top 25. Beat USC or Florida and we are 23rd right now.
Posted by L82TheGame
San Jose, CA
Member since Oct 2020
30 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 12:02 am to
I'd say 7 or 8 out of 10 years we should be. 0-1 for now.
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
65705 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 12:13 am to
quote:

I'd say 7 or 8 out of 10 years we should be


What is this based on?

This program was arguably its strongest under Miles and he only makes it in half of his seasons.

Why do we suddenly think we can be there in 8 of 10 seasons?
Posted by Mats86
Member since Mar 2021
5272 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 4:50 am to
I think it’s more reasonable to expect that the team is playoff caliber can when the season starts. We have finished top 12 like maybe 30% of the time in modern football history, and even if you only count the 2000’s it’s still less than half of the time. So just going by that, it seems to me that it’s unreasonable expectation that the result of the season is not playoffs since that isn’t traditionally who we are.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 5:06 am to
quote:

Just wait till next year


as of now, LSU has won more NC's and played for more championships THIS CENTURY than any other team not named Alabama.

I think you believe it sound cute when you say things like that, but it is far from the truth. That saying implies you are Tenn or OM, or teams like that, who haven't sniffed a NC this century. Not a team that has won more titles than every other team but one. I do hope to god that you weren't born in 1976 or heaven forbid, graduated in 1976....that would make you an old loser. At least if you are late teens or early 20s you still have a chance to grow up.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 5:08 am to
Entitled young people, that's why. There are more than 12 other teams out there that have fans that believe the same way.
Posted by Mandtgr47
Member since Aug 2024
7918 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 5:09 am to
quote:

Revisionist history, Miles would've only made the playoff once out of his last 4 seasons.

2012 - #9
2013 - #14
2014 - #22
2015 - #22


may as well add 2016...I think he was 2-2 out of the gate before being fired?
Posted by HurricaneCamille
Member since Oct 2024
1735 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 8:12 am to
Absolutely not. In my opinion, there are some schools that are practically preordained to be in that position.
Michigan, Ohio State, Penn State, Notre Dame, Oregon, Alabama, LSU, Texas, Georgia, Texas A&M, Tennessee, Clemson, Boise State. Perhaps I am missing a few but, in general, these teams should be in the playoff, or in the conversation, every year. No question.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22697 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 9:44 am to
quote:

Revisionist history, Miles would've only made the playoff once out of his last 4 seasons.
Then that makes the point even more.

That point being, to expect LSU in the 12 team playoff every year is unrealistic.
Posted by Clark W Griswold
THE USA
Member since Sep 2012
10816 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 9:45 am to
Based on our ability to recruit, maintain, and build a program over the last 3 years I’d say it’s not an expectation. We aren’t going in the right direction.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
22697 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:10 am to
quote:

This program was arguably its strongest under Miles and he only makes it in half of his seasons.

Why do we suddenly think we can be there in 8 of 10 seasons?
LSU's a weird team with regards to that.

We would only make the playoff half the time, but the years we get in we'd make deep runs, and win it all a number of times.
Whereas a team like Penn State would always get in, and never get to the finals.
Therefore, we all think of LSU as the better program. But reality is, they probably AVERAGE about the same over time.

Now with a new system, we don't know how that will work out. If Penn State goes every year, recruits may say "hey we go there, we have a shot", and their classes get stronger.
Posted by MetArl15
Washington, DC
Member since Apr 2007
12535 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:16 am to
It should be at least 3/5 years.
Posted by Bulldog55
Member since Nov 2023
214 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Lose one less SEC game and we are in

Hell. How about winning an opener once in a while.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
86192 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 10:55 am to
quote:

I don't think it is.
How many SEC fanbases should think this and which ones?
Posted by Supermoto Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2010
10457 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Personally, each season moving forward under the 12 team playoff format, is a failure if we are not at the very least 9-3 and be in the playoff discussion.

The coach can paint it however he wants, but not making the 12 team playoff is a failure.

I love how Mulkey refers to the seeding:
As long as we are relevant. Meaning, seed us how ever you see fit - we are going in to win it all.
Posted by WhoDatNC
NC
Member since Dec 2013
13808 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:28 am to
No- not with 12 teams getting in.
Posted by EyeOfTheTiger311
Lafayette, LA
Member since Aug 2005
4593 posts
Posted on 12/6/24 at 11:54 am to
I mean really it's just a numbers game. You have to look at how many teams have a strong pedigree and are usually top few teams in their conference year in and year out and consistently bring in top recruiting classes.

Let's think about how many teams right now in this landscape can say with their program history, resources, and recruiting can "expect" to be in the 12 team playoff every year.

I'm not going to include non-power 4 conference champions because I don't think any of those would be considered the "best" 12 teams every year.

Alabama
Georgia
Texas
Ohio State
Oregon
Michigan
Penn State
Notre Dame
Tennessee
LSU
Texas A&M
Auburn
Florida
USC
Clemson
Florida State
Miami
Oklahoma
Ole Miss

So that's 19 legit teams competing for 11 spots (removing 1 non-P4 conference champion)
4 of these 19 will get the auto bid for conf champion
So now it's roughly 15 teams competing for 7 spots year in and year out. LSU should probably expect to be competing for a playoff spot 1 out of every 2 to 3 years. IMO.
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