Page 1
Page 1
Started By
Message
locked post

Interesting coin toss data, wonder if our staff knows this.

Posted on 10/12/23 at 2:27 pm
Posted by Tiger987
Member since Nov 2021
1082 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 2:27 pm
Do the captains even know what side is up from the start...lol

quote:

Diaconis found, from a smaller ideal number of coin tosses recorded and analyzed, that coins land on the same side they were tossed from around 51 percent of the time.
LINK

This post was edited on 10/12/23 at 2:32 pm
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
164996 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 2:29 pm to
It's not worth knowing to be honest
Posted by One Arm Steve
Peach State
Member since Sep 2022
571 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 2:30 pm to
Tails never fails everyone knows this
Posted by MrWalkingMan
Republic of West Florida
Member since Aug 2010
7196 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

that coins land on the same side they were tossed from around 51 percent of the time.

Posted by Le Tenia
Member since Feb 2015
4875 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 2:36 pm to
So half the time it works all the time?

Interdasting:gif

Flipping a coin showing heads lands on heads 51% of the time. Unbelievable. Who would have guessed it?
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
55648 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 2:59 pm to
So it's never landed on an edge?

I find that hard to believe
Posted by LSUTitan99
Member since Jun 2023
1479 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 3:17 pm to
Kelly needs to stop asking for the ball first
Posted by DrEdgeLSU
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2006
8406 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 4:07 pm to
So let's say that this comes in to play a total of 4 times this year (we have four true road games).

.508 * 4 = 2.032

So just calling heads four times in a row gives you an expected outcome of 2 wins and 2 losses.

Seeing what it's starting on and calling that four times in a row gives you an expected outcome of... 2 wins and 2 losses.

You'd have to have 30+ opportunities to call the coin flip before this difference would matter, and even then you may get 16 wins and 14 losses.
Posted by Nexus of the Univers
New York City
Member since Feb 2018
323 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 4:17 pm to
It's 2023

Shouldn't we let the coin choose what side is heads or tails
Posted by Homer Pelican
Homer la
Member since Dec 2021
1937 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 4:30 pm to
What ever side u put up usually falls heads on top its heads vice versa
Posted by JPLSU1981
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
26928 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 4:34 pm to
Don’t care…. ALWAYS defer if you win the toss

More info, more data, more knowledge of what type of game it is, 3rd qtr more important than 1st, etc etc etc

And specifically for this LSU team, we don’t start fast anyway, so why waste a possession when we know it’s probably gonna be a slow start again

Whether I’m behind at the half or ahead at the half…. I want the ball to start the second half. I don’t give a shite who has the ball to start the game.
This post was edited on 10/13/23 at 12:42 am
Posted by ColdTurkey
Where the Buffalo roam...
Member since Nov 2019
7698 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

Don’t care…. ALWAYS defer if you win the toss

More info, more data, more knowledge of what type of game it is, 3rd qtr more important than 1st, etc etc etc

And specifically for this LSU team, we don’t start fast anyway, so why waste a possession when we know it’s probably gonna be a slow start again



Yup. Drives me up a wall when we don't defer.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
19142 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Kelly needs to stop asking for the ball first
why? Our offense is the best in the country and our and is the worst.

Put your best unit on the field first. Why the hell would we put our D out there knowing we’ll probably give up a score?

Take the ball, score, and take the momentum.
Posted by bengalmd
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2021
4893 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 5:38 pm to
Because we have been slow starters on offense more often than not. Rather have more possessions in second half of games than first half if given the choice.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
86611 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 7:56 pm to
With heads, you get head after the game
Posted by LSUTitan99
Member since Jun 2023
1479 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 9:38 pm to
Because then the other team gets it after the half moron
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
29326 posts
Posted on 10/12/23 at 10:04 pm to
Electing to receive Saturday was a stupid, stupid decision by the Tigers. And this team predictably started with a three-&-out. I fealt a real spasm of quease when that happened
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram