re: Guys chill out we can still make the playoff

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Bama beats Clemson LSU beats OSU LSU vs. Bama for the NC. LSU wins 22-0

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If were going to mess around with this scenario honestly itd most likely be us matching up with Bama in the NC by the following scenario:

1.) Clemson 13-0 Lose to LSU; in semifinal
2.) OSU 13-0; Lose to Bama in Semifinal
3.) Alabama 12-1 Win SECCG
4.) LSU 10-1 Take extra week during the "Mulligan II" to prepare for Clemson before having to play Bama in the NC again

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Choctaw

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#1 miles cheerleader

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2 things, just in my own opinion:

- The committee is going to be reluctant to put a team in the playoff that didn't even make their own conference championship. We only make the title game if Bama loses again and we win out.

- The committee is going to be reluctant to put two teams from the same conference in the playoff unless they overwhelmingly cannot ignore both teams. A really bad loss like the one we had to the other team in contention is not going to score us points.

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I agree. IMO it would have to be almost a 2007 scenario for LSU to get in without winning or even appearing in the SECCG.

1. Any and all undefeated power conf champs is/are getting in. Right now that's still in play for the Big 12, Big 10 and ACC

2. I just can't see LSU getting in ahead of a one loss conf champ

3. Notre Dame is still out there. I'm not saying they will, but if they finish with only one loss (to Clemson nonetheless), book it, they're in. Period!!

4. What if UF wins the SEC? What if they do it with 2 losses (they still have FSU to play)? I just can't see the committee keeping the SEC champ out and letting a team that didn't even win their division, in.

Just my .02 on the pecking order....


Playoff Order:



Four of these five are IN if they happen.

Clemson (as undefeated ACC Champ)

Alabama (as 1-loss SEC Champ, Florida or LSU in as well, but likely lower seeded)

Undefeated Big Ten Champ (Ohio State or Iowa)

Undefeated Big 12 Champ (Okie State or Baylor)

1-loss Pac Ten Champ (if Stanford ) OR Notre Dame)

Now here’s where it becomes a real complicated case…You know, a lot of ins, a lot of outs, a lot of what-have yous.

1-loss Big 12 Champ (if Baylor or Oklahoma State)

1-loss non-champion LSU

1-loss Big Ten Champ (if Ohio State)

1-loss Pac-12 Champ (If Utah)

1-loss Big 12 Champ (if TCU or Oklahoma)

1-loss ACC Champ (Clemson or UNC) …team would have likely lost to South Carolina!

1-loss Big Ten Champ (Iowa, Michigan State)

2-loss Pac 12 Champ (Stanford, Utah)

2-loss Notre Dame

2-loss Big 10 Champ (Michigan)



No doubt- the committee will probably not want two teams for the same conference. Based on that and the fact that the Big 12 got left out last year, I think one-loss Baylor or Okie State with a “quality loss” would get in over 1-loss LSU…though there always could be some pro-LSU sentiment because of 2011. Ohio State could also be in the discussion based on the manner of loss – although the overall weakness of their schedule hurts them.

Assuming Bama wins out, LSU’s loss (#2 Bama) would be much better than Utah’s (18 to USC) Oklahoma’s (Texas) or TCUs (20 points to Okie State, who would obviously fall in rankings). 1-loss ACC Champs would be UNC (South Carolina) beats Clemson in title game or Clemson loses to South Carolina the week before. 1-loss Iowa as Big 10 Champ most likely is loss to Nebraska, which would also be 1-loss Michigan State’s.

If there is a rematch.... You really think lsu wins????? I don't. But yes I still think lsu is one of the 4 best teams in the country.

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If we are 5-7 with 4 weeks of games left we can get to 4 regardless of bama

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No. The only way is if Bama loses and we win out and win the SECCG. Then we're in the playoff.

But if Bama wins the West, we have ZERO chance of getting in. The committee isn't going to put in two SEC teams this year, and our loss to Bama was terrible.

I would agree if we had played a close game. The committee will not forget we were stopped dead, and really were not on the same level as AL.

The only way I see us getting consideration is if we went on a tare and annihilated the rest of the competition and we need one of the top four to falter

If we continue to play close and run trick plays or back into wins- we will not see the final four

You think LSU would get in over Florida who would win the SEC? The team that beat the team that beat LSU by 2 TDs would be left out? The committee would not allow that to happen regardless of the fact LSU won by a TD over Florida. Only way for LSU to get into CFP is to win out and Bama lose to State or AU and LSU goes to Champ Game and beats UF again. Until the committee chooses to expand to 8 teams of you don't win your conference, you will not be selected to the CFP.

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1-loss Pac Ten Champ (if Stanford ) OR Notre Dame)

Now here’s where it becomes a real complicated case…You know, a lot of ins, a lot of outs, a lot of what-have yous.

1-loss Big 12 Champ (if Baylor or Oklahoma State)

1-loss non-champion LSU

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Why would a 1 loss Notre Dame have priority over a 1 loss non SEC champ LSU or a 1 loss Big 12 champion?

The best scenario would be for Bama to lose to one of their remaining SEC games (LSU beat both teams) and for LSU to win out and beat FLorida (again) in the SECCG.

One Loss SEC champ (LSU) is in, 2 Loss Bama is out. The lamentations and gnashing of teeth on the part of the Gumps would be too delicious to endure!

Geaux, Clanga!