Don't understand why Ole Miss is favored

Every book I've seen has Ole Miss -1.5 and almost every national pundit is picking Ole Miss. I know we're all biased on here, but I just can't objectively figure out why Ole Miss is the hot pick.

On defense, Baker is going to throw things at Chambliss that he's never seen on the football field. He's going from high school geometry at D2 directly into multi-variable calculus against this Blake Baker defense. Perkins is impossible to gameplan for because of how many different ways he lines up and how many roles they have him in. Not to mention the ELITE secondary, both Weeks brothers, and a veteran D-line.

On offense, yes we need to play better. Running game needs to show improvement and we can't regress into needing Nuss to throw it 50 times a game to have a shot. But last week showed that it was possible. I know, SELU, but still. I think now that Nuss is healthy, they'll open up the playbook and really unleash this offense.

Finally, home field advantage is real, especially in the SEC, but let's not pretend Vaught is among the elite places to play. This team marched into Clemson while they still believed and cared and passed that test in a tough environment.

Being as objective as I can, I see this being a low scoring game where the defense smothers them and the offense gets the job done. Something like a 24-10 or 28-14. But then again maybe I'm just an optimistic homer.