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Message
re: College Baseball Top 8 National Seed Picture
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:29 am to Hold That Tiger 10
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:29 am to Hold That Tiger 10
That’s why I think LSU should schedule 1 marquee series a season. It would improve their sos. And with this record and a top 10 sos, a top 8 national seed would be a lock right now
3
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:30 am to ell_13
quote:
Will be 5 with 2 ACC schools and Oregon State.
Depending on what happens with FSU/UNC this weekend, along with Clemson in the ACCT you could end up with 2 teams in the top 8 that will have FAR worse resumes than 2-3 teams you leave out.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:31 am to ell_13
Number of teams from SEC, or any conference, shouldn’t matter if they are picking top 8 national seeds. If most are SEC then it is, what it is. You can’t penalize a team just because they already have “too many” teams from that conference. Just take top eight, period.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:31 am to Tiger2tiga
quote:
That’s why I think LSU should schedule 1 marquee series a season. It would improve their sos. And with this record and a top 10 sos, a top 8 national seed would be a lock right now
Nothing about our schedule is keeping us out. If you are a good team and take care of business, it all comes down to SEC play.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:32 am to Hold That Tiger 10
Good stuff.
But FSU doesn’t have 10 Q4 losses.
I suspect 0 for math to work for overall losses.
But FSU doesn’t have 10 Q4 losses.
I suspect 0 for math to work for overall losses.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:33 am to ell_13
quote:
Can’t see the committee giving the SEC 6 super hosts even though it would be deserved. Will be 5 with 2 ACC schools and Oregon State. Have to have a west coast team. Oregon and UCLA are jokes.
Is there any evidence that they would do this from prior years? It's seems that rewarding a top 8 seed due to geography rather than merit is pure corruption.
That's for the West coast teams to figure out the logistics of traveling across the country
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 8:35 am
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:34 am to GeismarGeauxer
quote:
But FSU doesn’t have 10 Q4 losses.
I suspect 0 for math to work for overall losses
Correct, it's 0. Fat fingered a 1 before it. Thanks for catching.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:35 am to lsuson
Big Ben said as much.. the LSU-ARK series winner in his view
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:49 am to Hold That Tiger 10
I think the SEC gets 4 seeds
The ACC gets (at least) 2
A West coast team (Oregon St, UCLA, etc) will get 1 or 2
IMO, Texas and Arkansas are locked in from the SEC
LSU is on the brink of being a lock. A win yesterday probably would have locked LSU (because of the opponent). Looking ahead to this week 1 win would probably lock LSU in (~70% chance). 2 wins put the likelihood at 90+%. 3 wins locks it completely.
Then you have the group of Georgia, Auburn, Vandy, Tennessee, Alabama that are all right behind LSU trying to grab the final 1 or 2 top 8 seeds.
LSU doesn't have to sweep this weekend....but they can't pull an A&M and get swept by a really bad team.
The ACC gets (at least) 2
A West coast team (Oregon St, UCLA, etc) will get 1 or 2
IMO, Texas and Arkansas are locked in from the SEC
LSU is on the brink of being a lock. A win yesterday probably would have locked LSU (because of the opponent). Looking ahead to this week 1 win would probably lock LSU in (~70% chance). 2 wins put the likelihood at 90+%. 3 wins locks it completely.
Then you have the group of Georgia, Auburn, Vandy, Tennessee, Alabama that are all right behind LSU trying to grab the final 1 or 2 top 8 seeds.
LSU doesn't have to sweep this weekend....but they can't pull an A&M and get swept by a really bad team.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:53 am to BMTiger
that's fair.
but, I'd like to see us as a top 4...
but, I'd like to see us as a top 4...
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 8:54 am
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:54 am to Yeti_Chaser
The most was 5 teams. Happened last year. And the sec is way stronger than last year.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:55 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
GEORGIA
40-10 (16-11)
Incredible that Georgia has lost more SEC games than they have overall.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:55 am to Alt26
quote:
I think the SEC gets 4 seeds
quote:
Texas and Arkansas are locked in from the SEC
LSU is on the brink of being a lock
If that's the case you think the committee is going to leave out 2 of the top 3 teams in RPI?
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:55 am to Alt26
quote:SEC will get 5 imo. ACC will get 2 and one of the west coast teams will get the last remaining one.
I think the SEC gets 4 seeds The ACC gets (at least) 2 A West coast team (Oregon St, UCLA, etc) will get 1 or 2
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:03 am to Jim Hopper
Do you think Missouri finally winning a series has any effect on how the committee views SEC standings? Previously they could argue the teams that played Mizzou (LSU, Texas, Arkansas, and UGA) got 3 free SEC wins and you could argue that a team with a better RPI that didn't play Mizzou (Auburn or Vandy) should get in before a team above them with more SEC wins
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 9:04 am
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:11 am to Hold That Tiger 10
I just see someone starting a post debating on top 8 seed like it’s not a lock. So I assume only thing that keeping lsu from being a lock right now was the sos.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:16 am to liquid rabbit
quote:
GEORGIA 40-10 (16-11) Incredible that Georgia has lost more SEC games than they have overall
It goes to show you just how tough the SEC is this year
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:24 am to Hold That Tiger 10
LSU sweeps SC this weekend they’ll be the #1 overall seed.
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:30 am to Bacon84
quote:
LSU needs to sweep SC…
That’s all we can control!
I think 2 gets us a top 8 seed, and a sweep virtually ensures it.
You way off.
1 gets us a Top 8 seed
2 gets us a Top 4
a sweep might get you a Top 2
Hell if we get swept i think we get a Top 8
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:31 am to Tiger2tiga
quote:
That’s why I think LSU should schedule 1 marquee series a season. It would improve their sos. And with this record and a top 10 sos, a top 8 national seed would be a lock right now
It’s not the lack of top end opponents that’s hurting LSU’s RPI. It’s the weakness of the W/L record of a couple of the non-conference opponents early and especially the midweek opponents. Auburn, Georgia, and Vandy all have teams with better records in close proximity for midweek games making the difference in RPI and putting pressure on LSU for the Top 8.
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