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re: Beware of Florida next year (week3 game)

Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:03 am to
Posted by PureBlood
The Motherland
Member since Oct 2021
5021 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:03 am to
quote:

It's 4am when you posted this man. Get some sleep



He cant. He's got data to pull
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
32067 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:14 am to
Everybody kneaux Florida will be an epic slugfest
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
32067 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:17 am to
When was the last time LSU -- Florida wasn't a highly competitive game? I like our chances as we almost never lose to them in Death Valley
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:19 am to
This post might make sense if we beat them last year…
Posted by mtntiger
Asheville, NC
Member since Oct 2003
29726 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:32 am to
I am taking nothing for granted.

Until Kelly proves that he can have LSU ready for a season opener, I will be nervous going into every game.

Until the defense proves that it can stop the run, give consistent pressure and cover receivers, I will be nervous going into every game.

Until the offensive line proves that it can bust a grape in the run game and give Nuss time to throw, I will be nervous going into every game.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
18694 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:32 am to
quote:


We lost to Florida because we couldn't block them up front due to poor center play, and having BOTH our starting Guards out (where they couldn't cover for the Center mistakes).



Yes, that was huge in that loss for sure.

For me it's funny the things you can't get over but if Keys had not dropped the first quarter interception the game may have been very different. It was in Florida territory and we likely score at least a field goal if not a touchdown off that and instead they go on to score a TD on that drive. Big play in that game, though I suppose you can do that with most any game.
This post was edited on 7/8/25 at 7:50 am
Posted by Broken Arrow
Member since Dec 2007
8431 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 7:51 am to
The fact that you think you want us to believe you have an algorithm and that Manning at Texas (the Vegas Heisman front runner) isn’t in your top four qb’s in the SEC is laughable.
Posted by lsu for the win
Member since Jun 2022
1589 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:03 am to
LSU Fans = Doom and Gloom forever.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91078 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Ebridg3


Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:06 am to
I hope our guys realize that we play Florida in week 3 and they are ready..
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26833 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:10 am to
quote:

He's a top 3 QB in the SEC, in all honesty, its probably him and Nuss competing for the top spot unless UGAs or Alabama's QB ends up being a stud this year.


Look, I think Arch Manning is overrated, but to not even include him in this discussion is pretty suspect lol
Posted by DeathByTossDive225
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2019
8244 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:15 am to
I didn’t even know what sport you were talking about until Lagway lol
Posted by SouthernInsanity
Shadows of Death Valley
Member since Nov 2012
27020 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:30 am to
quote:

Long story short, I'm pulling a lot of data around recruiting rankings, current talent on roster, depth, etc.


Is that what bored people do?
Posted by mcspufftiger7
Member since Oct 2020
3475 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:40 am to
FL plays Long Island and South FL their first 2 games. They will know nothing about their team when they come to TS.
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
20149 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Beware of Florida next year (week3 game)
play the game, then we'll know.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93623 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 8:53 am to
quote:

if you take position groups and weigh them appropriately


What metrics are you using in your algo in order to get this weighted measurement? Where is that data sourced from?
Posted by tiger81
Brentwood, TN.
Member since Jan 2008
21239 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 9:00 am to
Most important game on the schedule.... if we don't beat Clemson, UF game will set the tone for the rest of the season.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
35606 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 9:02 am to
Florida was 4-5 going into the LSU game last year with their four wins being Samford, UCF, and the two worst teams in the SEC (Kentucky and Miss. St). They caught a little bit of a heater to upset LSU and Ole Miss (AT HOME) before beating a terrible FSU team and Tulane in the bowl game. Before the LSU game Napier was 15-19 (8-14). So the question is was the 4 game stretch to end the season the start of something great? Or was it an anomaly? The data suggest the later.

Now, as for the OP's algorithm, the "gold standard" in terms of looking at returning production has generally been Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings. In those, LSU is 9th...Florida is 14th. Isolated to the SEC LSU is 4th. Florida is 7th.

Will Florida be an "easy out"? Not likely. They rarely are. But I'm not quite ready to anoint them a great team based almost entirely on a 2 game sample size which is the complete outlier of Bill Napier's 3 year tenure.
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
40491 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 9:06 am to
Posted by Cadello
Eunice
Member since Dec 2007
48920 posts
Posted on 7/8/25 at 9:12 am to
Shut up
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