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Anyone wanting to see a graph that shows how far ahead JD is from every QB should see this

Posted on 11/20/23 at 1:45 pm
Posted by Geaux Piggins Geaux
Member since Aug 2015
851 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 1:45 pm
Posted by tigerfan84
Member since Dec 2003
23396 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 1:46 pm to
lol at Iowa
Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
3019 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 1:51 pm to
is this efficiency unheard of? I don't remember even Joe Burrow having efficiency on this level.
Posted by TheDeathValley
New Orleans, LA
Member since Sep 2010
18920 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

lol at Iowa



Somehow that performance got them into the B1G Title game. Go figure.
Posted by Geaux Piggins Geaux
Member since Aug 2015
851 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Somehow that performance got them into the B1G Title game. Go figure.


They are like the reverse LSU. They have an elite D and special teams with the worst offense in the P5. They're offense is even worse than Les Miles's offenses.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22273 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 2:21 pm to
What metric is EPA/play? Link doesn’t say. Haven’t heard of that one.

Daniels is around .27, next closest is Bo Nix around .18 which seems like quite the gap. There’s only a few players below 0.0
This post was edited on 11/20/23 at 2:26 pm
Posted by J2thaROC
Member since May 2018
14364 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

lol at Iowa



That was our QB rating under Les Miles.
Posted by TheDeathValley
New Orleans, LA
Member since Sep 2010
18920 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

They are like the reverse LSU. They have an elite D and special teams with the worst offense in the P5. They're offense is even worse than Les Miles's offenses.



I saw there was a PPG tracker on if the OC would be fired or not. I think he needed like 24 ppg or something and they didn't hit it
Posted by Morpheus
In your Dreams
Member since Apr 2022
6104 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 2:39 pm to
I like me some Graphs
Posted by jbird7
Central FL
Member since Jul 2020
5606 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

lol at Iowa


That’s where we were from 2008-2017
Posted by 6R12
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2005
10432 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 3:10 pm to
That's a great graph. Now can the East-West coast guys open their eyes and vote with integrity?????????????
Posted by Havoc
Member since Nov 2015
34098 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

What metric is EPA/play? Link doesn’t say. Haven’t heard of that one.

I googled and found this but still not clear:
quote:

Expected Points Added (EPA) is a commonly used advanced statistic in football. In short, this stat measures how well a team performs compared to their expectation on a play-by-play basis

Also:
quote:

There are six steps to building QBR: Each QB "action play" (passes, rushes, sacks, scrambles, or penalties attributable to the QB) is measured in terms of the expected points added (EPA) Adjust for the difficulty of each play. EPA is adjusted based on the type and depth of a pass, and whether the QB was pressured.
This post was edited on 11/20/23 at 3:21 pm
Posted by sabbertooth
A Distant Planet
Member since Sep 2006
5647 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

is this efficiency unheard of? I don't remember even Joe Burrow having efficiency on this level.


Joe Burrow was at his best against elite teams.
Signed
Alabama
UGA
Oklahoma
Clemson
This post was edited on 11/20/23 at 3:34 pm
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
21774 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

Somehow that performance got them into the B1G Title game. Go figure.



Their being in the title game is on the defense. They are pretty much the exact opposite of LSU.

Their OC was told he wasn't coming back a few weeks ago. The OC is also the HCs son and has been a nutter since he played at Iowa. Imagine being the kid of a D1 head coach and living in section 8 housing because off of dad's tax returns you qualify.


This post was edited on 11/20/23 at 3:37 pm
Posted by MSTiger33
Member since Oct 2007
20978 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 3:44 pm to
It’s the Monte Carlo analysis for QBs. Can clearly see the tails of the bell curve. Yes, I am a nerd.
Posted by TaderSalad
mudbug territory
Member since Jul 2014
25102 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 3:56 pm to
That’s the FAFO rubric
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89569 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

What metric is EPA/play? Link doesn’t say. Haven’t heard of that one.


How much better do you improve the expected points added on any given play.



For example, let’s say you have first and goal from the 1. The Expected Points are basically 7. You throw a pick-6, which is now -7 points (EP ignores XPs). That’s -14 expected points added. Alternatively, if you throw a 99 yard TD on 4th down from your own 1 yard line, you’ve grown from -3 EPs to 7 EPs, for an EPA of +10.

It is designed to adjust for the fact that not all yards, turnovers, TDs, etc are created equal. Some are more harmful/helpful than others.
Posted by WDAIII
Member since Aug 2020
4205 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 4:44 pm to
I have 3 degrees. I can't read this shite
Posted by crossfire
Alabama
Member since Oct 2010
2651 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

is this efficiency unheard of? I don't remember even Joe Burrow having efficiency on this level.


I think Daniels is a bit more efficient, even though Joe was having a season that has never happened.

The whole key to Daniels being so great is, he’s one of the most efficient and accurate deep ball qbs in college (equal to Burrow), then you add in his running skills. There will never be a qb as talented as Daniels and if he doesn’t win the Heisman it should be considered a crime.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
24478 posts
Posted on 11/20/23 at 5:15 pm to
Looks like JD5 is in the date zone of the crazy hot matrix.
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