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re: Hurricane Iota - No Más! No Más! - Gulf Finally Closed?

Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:48 pm to
Posted by Mouth
Member since Jan 2008
21018 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Season - 96L NHC 80% - No Más!


Nope. Already ran the remaining gas out of the generator and bagged and stacked all the sticks. Seasons closed baw.
Posted by Nicky Parrish
Member since Apr 2016
7098 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

We sold our souls to have a video game type of LSU season last year.

Don’t say we. . .
This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 12:18 am
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
14143 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 pm to
For Christmas this year I think I'll find a generator ornament.

Maybe make another one out of a blue piece of tarp and write 2020 on it

Haven't figured out how to make a chlorine cloud one...that was fun too.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 9:19 pm
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25808 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:54 pm to
Spann
Posted by Nicky Parrish
Member since Apr 2016
7098 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:22 am to
quote:

Maybe make another one out of a blue piece of tarp and write 2020 on it

If you’d have a little house ornament to put the blue tarp on that would be awesome.
I may steal that idea.
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12747 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 4:10 am to
quote:

Since Louisiana keeps voting for idiots, God has decided to wipe it clean and start over.

Oh yeah, destroy Lake Charles because of the idiots in Baton Rouge and New Orleans.

Some of the "logic" used around here is Latoya bad.
Posted by Armymann50
Playing with my
Member since Sep 2011
17272 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 4:34 am to
quote:


Possibly. It's really hard to keep a system moving W for an extended period of time this late in the season. One trend we have seen the last couple of months is that whenever the models show a ridge axis centered over the Mountain West they almost always miss a s/w undercutting the ridge. There are signs that this could happen again but not worth splitting hairs over at this point. Also, have to watch the EC trough, if it is deeper or slower to lift out then that could let the system drift northward in a few days. A farther north track misses Honduras/Nicaragua and then more readily feels any weakness coming under the Western ridge.




key charlie browns teacher voice.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:32 am to
Models starting to come into a bit better agreement on the stall and lift north solution. Still a lot to be worked out but one theme in the overnight data is that a system that stalls offshore of CA lifts north as a more compact system. A system that moves on shore spins down and kind of gets absorbed into the background flow, which is broadly cyclonic this time of year.

The 00z GFS with the stall just offshore possibility.



The 00z Euro drives the system into CA.



And then it gets absorbed into the larger background flow.



This broader cyclonic circulation is a gyre and these can give models fits. It takes a lot longer for a system to spin up and often times models consolidate the wrong vorts that are imbedded in the larger circulation. The Euro lifts the whole area NE with a system embedded in the larger circulation. This type of solution typically results in a sloppy storm.






Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17901 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Models starting to come into a bit better agreement on the stall and lift north solution. Still a lot to be worked out but one theme in the overnight data is that a system that stalls offshore of CA lifts north as a more compact system. A system that moves on shore spins down and kind of gets absorbed into the background flow, which is broadly cyclonic this time of year.

The 00z GFS with the stall just offshore possibility.



The 00z Euro drives the system into CA.



And then it gets absorbed into the larger background flow.



This broader cyclonic circulation is a gyre and these can give models fits. It takes a lot longer for a system to spin up and often times models consolidate the wrong vorts that are imbedded in the larger circulation. The Euro lifts the whole area NE with a system embedded in the larger circulation. This type of solution typically results in a sloppy storm.





Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120804 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:36 am to
Lets just pull for the deep penetration into CA and slow death
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:44 am to
quote:

Lets just pull for the deep penetration into CA and slow death


12z Early Cycle tracks look about split b/w over CA and out over water by Day 5.

Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
63045 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:53 am to
What happens if we run out of Greek letters?

Serious question
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
17901 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:53 am to
Hurricane Batman symbol
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:55 am to
Check Please. Time to go.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:00 am to
Can't comment on the lower levels but this now has a very healthy looking mid-level circulation.

Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:04 am to
2020 = 666, the mark of the beast.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98770 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:06 am to
Do not like that green one.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:13 am to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36627 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:16 am to
quote:

What happens if we run out of Greek letters?


Roman numerals???
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:17 am to
They're not going to run out. They have too many left for that many named storms to happen though it does feel like the way this season is going we'll be getting slammed into Xmas.

You'd need 18 more named storms?
This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 10:21 am
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