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Started By
Message
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:57 pm to bakersman
quote:
We sold our souls to have a video game type of LSU season last year.
Don’t say we. . .
This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 12:18 am
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 pm to Nicky Parrish
For Christmas this year I think I'll find a generator ornament.
Maybe make another one out of a blue piece of tarp and write 2020 on it
Haven't figured out how to make a chlorine cloud one...that was fun too.
Maybe make another one out of a blue piece of tarp and write 2020 on it
Haven't figured out how to make a chlorine cloud one...that was fun too.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 9:19 pm
Posted on 10/31/20 at 12:22 am to thejudge
quote:
Maybe make another one out of a blue piece of tarp and write 2020 on it
If you’d have a little house ornament to put the blue tarp on that would be awesome.
I may steal that idea.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 4:10 am to Kjun Tiger
quote:
Since Louisiana keeps voting for idiots, God has decided to wipe it clean and start over.
Oh yeah, destroy Lake Charles because of the idiots in Baton Rouge and New Orleans.
Some of the "logic" used around here is Latoya bad.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 4:34 am to rds dc
quote:
Possibly. It's really hard to keep a system moving W for an extended period of time this late in the season. One trend we have seen the last couple of months is that whenever the models show a ridge axis centered over the Mountain West they almost always miss a s/w undercutting the ridge. There are signs that this could happen again but not worth splitting hairs over at this point. Also, have to watch the EC trough, if it is deeper or slower to lift out then that could let the system drift northward in a few days. A farther north track misses Honduras/Nicaragua and then more readily feels any weakness coming under the Western ridge.
key charlie browns teacher voice.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:32 am to rds dc
Models starting to come into a bit better agreement on the stall and lift north solution. Still a lot to be worked out but one theme in the overnight data is that a system that stalls offshore of CA lifts north as a more compact system. A system that moves on shore spins down and kind of gets absorbed into the background flow, which is broadly cyclonic this time of year.
The 00z GFS with the stall just offshore possibility.
The 00z Euro drives the system into CA.
And then it gets absorbed into the larger background flow.
This broader cyclonic circulation is a gyre and these can give models fits. It takes a lot longer for a system to spin up and often times models consolidate the wrong vorts that are imbedded in the larger circulation. The Euro lifts the whole area NE with a system embedded in the larger circulation. This type of solution typically results in a sloppy storm.
The 00z GFS with the stall just offshore possibility.
![](https://i.ibb.co/g7cQQ9g/gfs-mslp-wind-watl-fh114-240.gif)
The 00z Euro drives the system into CA.
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2020103100/ecmwf_uv850_vort_watl_4.png)
And then it gets absorbed into the larger background flow.
![](https://i.ibb.co/wL94Sh8/ecmwf-uv850-vort-watl-7.png)
This broader cyclonic circulation is a gyre and these can give models fits. It takes a lot longer for a system to spin up and often times models consolidate the wrong vorts that are imbedded in the larger circulation. The Euro lifts the whole area NE with a system embedded in the larger circulation. This type of solution typically results in a sloppy storm.
![](https://i.ibb.co/0JxhtsG/ecmwf-uv850-vort-watl-11.png)
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:35 am to rds dc
quote:
Models starting to come into a bit better agreement on the stall and lift north solution. Still a lot to be worked out but one theme in the overnight data is that a system that stalls offshore of CA lifts north as a more compact system. A system that moves on shore spins down and kind of gets absorbed into the background flow, which is broadly cyclonic this time of year.
The 00z GFS with the stall just offshore possibility.
The 00z Euro drives the system into CA.
And then it gets absorbed into the larger background flow.
This broader cyclonic circulation is a gyre and these can give models fits. It takes a lot longer for a system to spin up and often times models consolidate the wrong vorts that are imbedded in the larger circulation. The Euro lifts the whole area NE with a system embedded in the larger circulation. This type of solution typically results in a sloppy storm.
![](https://media1.giphy.com/media/26xBI73gWquCBBCDe/200_d.gif)
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:36 am to rds dc
Lets just pull for the deep penetration into CA and slow death
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:44 am to Cosmo
quote:
Lets just pull for the deep penetration into CA and slow death
12z Early Cycle tracks look about split b/w over CA and out over water by Day 5.
![](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/96L_tracks_latest.png)
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:53 am to rds dc
What happens if we run out of Greek letters?
Serious question
Serious question
Posted on 10/31/20 at 9:53 am to East Coast Band
Hurricane Batman symbol
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:00 am to rds dc
Can't comment on the lower levels but this now has a very healthy looking mid-level circulation.
![](https://i.ibb.co/0BdQG6B/35756971.gif)
![](https://i.ibb.co/0BdQG6B/35756971.gif)
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:04 am to rds dc
2020 = 666, the mark of the beast. ![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconbanghead.gif)
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconbanghead.gif)
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:06 am to rds dc
Do not like that green one.
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:16 am to East Coast Band
quote:
What happens if we run out of Greek letters?
Roman numerals???
Posted on 10/31/20 at 10:17 am to doubleb
They're not going to run out. They have too many left for that many named storms to happen though it does feel like the way this season is going we'll be getting slammed into Xmas.
You'd need 18 more named storms?
You'd need 18 more named storms?
This post was edited on 10/31/20 at 10:21 am
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