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1
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:32 pm to Jackie Daytona
quote:
Jackie Daytona
quote:
Strengthened a lot more than they were predicting.
Models actually did pretty well on Zeta but the human mets might have been a little slow to up the forecast. The NHC stayed on the high end of all guidance at least but yeah that was a bit of a surprise yesterday. Seems like they all surprise to the high end this year.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:33 pm to rds dc
quote:
Possibly. It's really hard to keep a system moving W for an extended period of time this late in the season. One trend we have seen the last couple of months is that whenever the models show a ridge axis centered over the Mountain West they almost always miss a s/w undercutting the ridge. There are signs that this could happen again but not worth splitting hairs over at this point. Also, have to watch the EC trough, if it is deeper or slower to lift out then that could let the system drift northward in a few days. A farther north track misses Honduras/Nicaragua and then more readily feels any weakness coming under the Western ridge.
One more time for the slow kids in class, please.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:41 pm to rds dc
quote:
One trend we have seen the last couple of months is that whenever the models show a ridge axis centered over the Mountain West they almost always miss a s/w undercutting the ridge.
*scribbles in notebook*
Worth remembering when model watching.
quote:
Also, have to watch the EC trough, if it is deeper or slower to lift out then that could let the system drift northward in a few days.
That I did see to watch for. Earlier organization would probably pull it farther north too even if it doesn't deepen much vs modeling.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:44 pm to rds dc
quote:
Possibly. It's really hard to keep a system moving W for an extended period of time this late in the season. One trend we have seen the last couple of months is that whenever the models show a ridge axis centered over the Mountain West they almost always miss a s/w undercutting the ridge. There are signs that this could happen again but not worth splitting hairs over at this point. Also, have to watch the EC trough, if it is deeper or slower to lift out then that could let the system drift northward in a few days. A farther north track misses Honduras/Nicaragua and then more readily feels any weakness coming under the Western ridge.
This must be how my wife feels when I get to talking technical IT shite about work. I try to dumb it down to normal English but the blank stares I get indicate that she must feel like I do when I read rds posts
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 7:45 pm
Posted on 10/30/20 at 6:49 am to Hulkklogan
Bump
Posted on 10/30/20 at 6:56 am to Hulkklogan
I think he means it’s possible we could have another hurricane despite it being November and feeling cool temperatures.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 6:56 am to X123F45
quote:
Bump
Frick you. Latest GFS does show a cane in the Gulf tho. MID NOVEMBER LOL
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:02 am to questionable
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:16 am to questionable
LSU-Alabama game getting moved to Tuscaloosa
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:38 am to Costanza
quote:
Christmas snowmageddon.
My body is ready
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:59 am to questionable
quote:
Latest GFS does show a cane in the Gulf tho. MID NOVEMBER LOL
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:18 am to questionable
check out this Friday the 13th run
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 am to rds dc
updated consensus models:
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:18 am to DomincDecoco
There's no way.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:52 am to OysterPoBoy
Levi
quote:
A new disturbance in the eastern Caribbean, labeled "Invest #96L", is likely to develop into a tropical storm during the weekend as it moves westward. It could be a threat to Honduras and Nicaragua as soon as Monday. It's too early to know if the storm will threaten other areas.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 6:59 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Is this real life?
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:05 pm to SprintFun
quote:
Who the frick did Louisiana and the gulf coast piss off?
We sold our souls to have a video game type of LSU season last year.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:31 pm to bakersman
quote:
We sold our souls to have a video game type of LSU season last year.
Add in the Hard Rock Curse, and you have the 2020 Hurricane Season.
Someone needs to find some pig knuckles, chicken feet, and eye of newt, stat.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 7:35 pm to 225Tyga
quote:
Bring it on. These storms have been over hyped. Nothings happened here in Baton Rouge
Think of the children
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