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Karen at the CDC releases memo projecting 3,000 Covid deaths per day in June
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:09 pm
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:09 pm
It's fake fear-mongering model showing a big increase in deaths if we end the shut downs.
quote:
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is projecting the U.S. coronavirus daily death toll to reach about 3,000 people by June 1, with 200,000 new cases per day by the same date, the New York Times reported on Monday.
The projections were compiled into charts currently used by the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
Data and modeling from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) show that the federal government is expecting the number of cases and deaths associated with the pandemic to continue mounting, even as President Trump and other officials push for states to lift restrictions meant to slow the spread of the virus in favor of reopening businesses.
The Times posted the documents, which show the CDC and Federal Emergency Management Agency forecast a steady increase in the number of new cases per day. The projections show the U.S. reaching 200,000 new cases daily by June 1 with a daily death toll of roughly 3,000. The current daily death toll varies, but typically falls between 1,500 and 2,000.
20
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:11 pm to The Boat
quote:
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is projecting the U.S. coronavirus daily death toll to reach about 3,000 people by June 1, with 200,000 new cases per day by the same date, the New York Times reported on Monday.
Karen is horrifically bad at stats while serving in a position that sort of should require she not be that bad at it.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:13 pm to The Boat
We need to shite down the cdc.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:18 pm to The Boat
Even if true.....99.8% will survive and about 95% will recover without needing any medical intervention at all.
We are acting like this is fricking Ebola.
This virus is some weak arse shite and we know who the most vulnerable are so that's where the focus should be.
Literally 99.99% of healthy people under 65 have absolutely nothing to fear from the Wuhan China Kung Flu.
We are acting like this is fricking Ebola.
This virus is some weak arse shite and we know who the most vulnerable are so that's where the focus should be.
Literally 99.99% of healthy people under 65 have absolutely nothing to fear from the Wuhan China Kung Flu.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:21 pm to Tiger985
If this was an Ebola out break I could understand the precautions and I’d be right there actually following. Ebola is a real threat while Kung flu ain’t shite
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:22 pm to The Boat
quote:
Karen at the CDC releases memo projecting 3,000 Covid deaths per day in June
Was that before or after they halved the amount of deaths attributed to it?
Let's not start pretending like they are suddenly competent and truthful here folks.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:26 pm to ShoeBang
200,000 new cases per day for 30 days of June would be 6,000,000 new cases in just one month. The math doesn't make realistic sense.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:29 pm to The Boat
Wish it would be policy to tag the members of the CDC who are stating this fearmongering BS.
That way when this 3k deaths/day shows false, we know who to cut in the next cycle. Go chicken little somewhere else.
That way when this 3k deaths/day shows false, we know who to cut in the next cycle. Go chicken little somewhere else.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:29 pm to The Boat
quote:3,000 on June 1st does not seem reasonable.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is projecting the U.S. coronavirus daily death toll to reach about 3,000 people by June 1, with 200,000 new cases per day by the same date, the New York Times reported on Monday.
AI Covid Projections
This site has been quite good at projecting deaths, and it’s predicting 1,042 deaths on June 1st with a 95% CI between 324 and 2049. So 3,000 would be 46.4% greater than the 97.5th percentile projection, which is around the 99.993rd percentile.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:30 pm to The Boat
Did CDC Karen ever bother to substantiate the "overrun hospitals" line on the original flat v. steep curve "model" (MS Paint pictograph)? (You know that purdy picture that was the sole basis for all the shutdowns?)
Where are "we" (as if every population center is the same) in relation to that dotted line? I'm not sure anyone has ever been able to tell me that without just making up shite.
Where are "we" (as if every population center is the same) in relation to that dotted line? I'm not sure anyone has ever been able to tell me that without just making up shite.
This post was edited on 5/4/20 at 12:32 pm
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:32 pm to The Boat
Why did they choose 3k? Why not 4K or hell make it 10k? They should say that it will all stop in November if Biden is elected.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:33 pm to The Boat
But this time the model will be right. No really.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:33 pm to The Boat
They refuse to let the Wu Hoo Doo die.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:34 pm to ShoeBang
quote:That never happened.
Was that before or after they halved the amount of deaths attributed to it?
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:35 pm to McLemore
quote:
Did CDC Karen ever bother to substantiate the "overrun hospitals" line on the original flat v. steep curve "model" (MS Paint pictograph)? (You know that purdy picture that was the sole basis for all the shutdowns?)
Shhh. People weren't supposed to notice that.
The idea that the "healthcare system" line referred to the whole fricking United States was such a horrible narrative as to be embarrassing.
There was NEVER...……….repeat...……...NEVER a chance of overwhelming out system because it was merely a logistics problem.
NYC might have technically gotten "overwhelmed" but, it's not a fricking walled off island in the Pacific.
Nurses
Ventilators
Doctors
Patients
ARE ALL frickING MOBILE!
Unless COVID was going to hit the entire fricking US at the same time, the "flatten the curve" shite was poppycock that everyone should be embarrassed at buying.
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:38 pm to The Boat
So Texas has no more than what it has had even with being open for the first 6 weeks of it but it is going to get a zillion cases now when it is approaching 90 degrees daily.
got it
got it
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:44 pm to The Boat
quote:
According to the latest CDC COVIDView report, increases in hospitalization rates for COVID-19, which are cumulative, have started to level off. The hospitalization rate is highest among adults 65 and older and similar to what has been seen during a comparable time period during a recent high severity flu season
Which is it going to be Karen.
This post was edited on 5/4/20 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:46 pm to The Boat
CDC gotta come up with some damn narrative to keep America's citizens under House Arrest.
Really scary stat projections worked before!
Really scary stat projections worked before!
This post was edited on 5/4/20 at 12:51 pm
Posted on 5/4/20 at 12:47 pm to The Boat
quote:
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is projecting the U.S. coronavirus daily death toll to reach about 3,000 people by June 1, with 200,000 new cases per day by the same date, the New York Times reported on Monday.
This might come as a shock to some people but the Admin has requested that a lot of different scenarios be modeled and isn't hugging any one particular model. Some of the results are bleak and some are more promising but I guess we see which type are getting leaked.
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