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Started By
Message
re: Louisiana up to 763 today, goes on lockdown by March 30
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:36 pm to TigerAxeOK
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:36 pm to TigerAxeOK
quote:
So it will be 1 million cases in the USA alone in 6 weeks, when it has been on those other continents since November and the worldwide total in that 4 months is only 300,000?
Makes sense.
I am NOT defending his conclusion, but FWIW you are off base on the debunking of it. These are exponential functions, not linear. It accelerates dramatically. How many months it took to get to 300k?
Because it’s going to be past 600k in less than a month.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 7:36 pm
0
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:38 pm to Chad504boy
Yeah I don’t think you understand what happens in the bad cases of covid. The results of this isn’t seen in your typical non flu virus and if it was occuring in January people would have noticed and not just chalked it up to oh I dunno it’s something weird
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:39 pm to oilattorney4lsu
quote:
Look at the computer models and read
Garbage in, garbage out.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:40 pm to Adam Banks
quote:
Yeah I don’t think you understand what happens in the bad cases of covid. The results of this isn’t seen in your typical non flu virus and if it was occuring in January people would have noticed and not just chalked it up to oh I dunno it’s something weird
They documented a case in the time period you’re arguing. None of these other “cases” of people carrying strange viruses were tested for it. You think they caught the first case huh...? Lol
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:40 pm to oilattorney4lsu
quote:
New cases today are 763.
Holy shite! That's 0.01% of the population! We have to shut everything down immediately!!
quote:
It should be 100,000 in Louisiana and conservatively 1,000,000 cases in the USA by the end of April
So, you think Louisiana will have 10% of the CV cases when we only have 1.4% of the population? I guess it's possible. The idiots here did just reelect someone because he kept us from falling from 49th to 50th in a few categories.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:41 pm to Weekend Warrior79
quote:
Intentionally, trying to manipulate data? That's 763 total, less than 200 new.
quote:
Oilattorney4lsu
Checks out.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:42 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
They documented a case in the time period you’re arguing. None of these other “cases” of people carrying strange viruses were tested for it. You think they caught the first case huh...? Lol
Link?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:42 pm to Chad504boy
Vulva and Adam are dumbasses... we caught the very first case of Wu Flu coming into the US... No WAY any carriers came in before that or Wu Flu was introduced into the general population prior to February. Give me a break.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:43 pm to Hat Tricks
I've been saying, shut down the Twin Span and Causeway. We on the Northshore don't want anymore of that shite.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:44 pm to oilattorney4lsu
The best parT was ‘rancid’. 
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 7:48 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:45 pm to Adam Banks
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:46 pm to oilattorney4lsu
quote:
It should be 100,000 in Louisiana and conservatively 1,000,000 cases in the USA by the end of April. Models are predicting at least that for the US.
None of this is happening.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:52 pm to BayBengal9
quote:
Vulva and Adam are dumbasses... we caught the very first case of Wu Flu coming into the US... No WAY any carriers came in before that or Wu Flu was introduced into the general population prior to February. Give me a break.
I'll take that opinion with a grain of salt given I never said we caught the first case, and I even explicitly said it started community level spread in multiple places prior to February.
In those places, we were clued in by clinical presentation changing from seasonal flu.
I'd break out the graph showing how genetically its proven the earliest it could have physically been in the US was around Jan 15th....but even as you haven't even read even one or two line posts of mine before forming an opinion I'd save us both the time.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 8:19 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:54 pm to Chad504boy
So a guy from Washington state travels to Wuhan and is sick in January 20th so that means that in Louisiana there was a large number of mild cases in December and January as purported by this board but no severe icu cases.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 7:56 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:57 pm to Hat Tricks
quote:
Orleans and Jefferson parish account for 75% of the positive cases. Quarantine those parishes away from the rest of us!
FTR I have been in favor of quarantining NOLA from the rest of the state since long before coronavirus.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:03 pm to Adam Banks
quote:
By this board.
Haven’t seen legitimate reason other than “yeah I felt bad around January-I had the covid!!”
We know it was in the US in January, so weeks before then it was here. We then had mardis gras. So it doesn't make sense it showed up weeks after that. New cases doesn't necessarily mean it's spread that fast since last Thursday.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:04 pm to Adam Banks
quote:
but no severe icu cases.
Link?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:07 pm to oilattorney4lsu
If I'm not mistaken, the number of cases should continue to grow at a rapid pace until we reach the 10-14 day mark of government intervention. The hope is by Wednesday-Saturday or next week we'll see a decrease in the upward slope.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:12 pm to hendersonshands
increased testing can do a lot of harm to numbers
Posted on 3/21/20 at 8:16 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
quote:
but no severe icu cases.
Link?
Not sure why I’m the one having to back anything up.
I’m not the one trying to call the medical community of Louisiana idiots with absolutely zero evidence other than having the sniffles in January. If there was a rash of ards without any explanation I’d hope at least someone would notice and look into it.
The nursing home of death in Washington would be a common story if it was here as far back as people want to believe without any precautions
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