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Started By
Message
Louisiana up to 763 today, goes on lockdown by March 30
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:58 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:58 pm
New cases today are 763.
We should exponentially increase by doubling the number of cases approximately every 4 days with a R0 of 2.
My opinion, by the time it hits 3,000 cases by close of next week, I think they’ll start a state wide “shelter in place” initiative.
It should be 100,000 in Louisiana and conservatively 1,000,000 cases in the USA by the end of April. Models are predicting at least that for the US.
Come on hydrochloroquine!!
We should exponentially increase by doubling the number of cases approximately every 4 days with a R0 of 2.
My opinion, by the time it hits 3,000 cases by close of next week, I think they’ll start a state wide “shelter in place” initiative.
It should be 100,000 in Louisiana and conservatively 1,000,000 cases in the USA by the end of April. Models are predicting at least that for the US.
Come on hydrochloroquine!!
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 6:59 pm
32
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:00 pm to oilattorney4lsu
Not good
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:00 pm to udtiger
Face the facts a-hole. Look at the computer models and read. It’s not ok to put your head in the sand you ignorant fool.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:00 pm to oilattorney4lsu
The generational doubling rate was never 4 days, and that value only applies if the population is “proceeding as normal”
The school closures and social distancing has already widened that gap, limiting the utility in the metric to estimate future case counts.
The school closures and social distancing has already widened that gap, limiting the utility in the metric to estimate future case counts.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 7:01 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:01 pm to oilattorney4lsu
Orleans and Jefferson parish account for 75% of the positive cases. Quarantine those parishes away from the rest of us!
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:03 pm to oilattorney4lsu
quote:
New cases today are 763.
Intentionally, trying to manipulate data? That's 763 total, less than 200 new.
quote:
We should exponentially increase by doubling the number of cases approximately every 4 days with a R0 of 2.
That would be an inaccurate way to do it in an area that just started mass testing. We are seeing a large uptick because it's believed to have been in the area since January and we are just able to test. If this is accurate, then that would also imply there are thousands of people who had it and had minimal symptoms and are no longer at risk. They also won't be tested
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:04 pm to oilattorney4lsu
quote:
We should
quote:
My opinion
quote:
I think
quote:
It should be
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:04 pm to oilattorney4lsu
delete. hiccup.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 7:06 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:04 pm to oilattorney4lsu
delete hiccup.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 7:05 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:04 pm to Volvagia
I hope your right but the current R0 is estimated between 1.5-3.5. 2 is on the lower end. An R0 under 2 is good news but still highly contagious.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:05 pm to oilattorney4lsu
quote:Wrong. I stopped reading there.
New cases today are 763.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:05 pm to oilattorney4lsu
Do you have a breakdown by parish?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:06 pm to Weekend Warrior79
quote:
t's believed to have been in the area since January and we are just able to test. If
By this board.
Haven’t seen legitimate reason other than “yeah I felt bad around January-I had the covid!!”
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:07 pm to Weekend Warrior79
quote:
We are seeing a large uptick because it's believed to have been in the area since January and we are just able to test.
FWIW, the only people who believes it’s been in the area since January are posters on TD who thinks every sore throat or case of the sniffles they got was corona.
It doesn’t make sense clinically, and it doesn’t make sense genetically.
It was only just starting it’s spread on the West coast and New York by LATE January.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 7:08 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:07 pm to oilattorney4lsu
It means only that they have increased testing shite head
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:07 pm to oilattorney4lsu
Are there any smart attorneys who post here?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:09 pm to Volvagia
quote:
the only people who believes it’s been in the area since January are posters on TD who thinks every sore throat or case of the sniffles they got was corona.
It doesn’t make sense clinically, and it doesn’t make sense genetically.
Clinically “oh you definitely got strep throat”
Next day “strep came back negative, must be just some sort of virus.... good luck w that”
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:09 pm to oilattorney4lsu
quote:
Notamathematician4lsu
Fixed it for you
Posted on 3/21/20 at 7:09 pm to Jrv2damac
No. This one doesn’t even know the difference between “you’re” and “your.” Matlock he ain’t...
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