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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:24 pm to TigerCruise
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:24 pm to TigerCruise
Down some, but still higher than last week this time. Still thinking 800.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:56 pm to Crimsonians
Last Friday was a holiday for many people
Was artificially low
Was artificially low
Posted on 7/10/20 at 1:57 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
True. 93 is still high for Florida regardless.
This post was edited on 7/10/20 at 1:58 pm
Posted on 7/10/20 at 2:15 pm to Crimsonians
Yet pales in comparison when you look at New York's 32k deaths, you have to wonder just how negligent those people were.
This post was edited on 7/10/20 at 2:15 pm
Posted on 7/10/20 at 2:51 pm to TigerCruise
Yep. Still thinking 800 today, depending on what crazy NJ decides to do.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 4:58 pm to Crimsonians
Looks like 854.
Cases have risen up to 3 times as many recorded cases per day since June 15th without deaths getting too crazy in proportion right?
Actual infections are probably multiples of that recorded. Once this increase passes and if hospitals all retain bed space, we have to be in good shape for any seasonality if it exists you would think.
Cases have risen up to 3 times as many recorded cases per day since June 15th without deaths getting too crazy in proportion right?
Actual infections are probably multiples of that recorded. Once this increase passes and if hospitals all retain bed space, we have to be in good shape for any seasonality if it exists you would think.
This post was edited on 7/10/20 at 5:06 pm
Posted on 7/10/20 at 5:37 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
WOM is only showing 698 in the death column
Posted on 7/10/20 at 5:55 pm to Volsfan82169
Now 726. Might stay under 800.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 6:28 pm to Volsfan82169
Ya COVID 19 project has it higher. Not sure what the difference is.
Just refreshed WoM and saw that lower number.
In any event, seems like it's in the range that should be expected.
WoM is catching up, 823 now.
Just refreshed WoM and saw that lower number.
In any event, seems like it's in the range that should be expected.
WoM is catching up, 823 now.
This post was edited on 7/10/20 at 7:00 pm
Posted on 7/10/20 at 7:57 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
Just got home, gotta unload the vehicle, cook and eat dinner then I will update the tracker.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 8:01 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
Actual infections are probably multiples of that recorded.
if testing ramped up then probably not as much as initally estimated on weak testing to begin with.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 8:40 pm to oklahogjr
quote:
if testing ramped up then probably not as much as initally estimated on weak testing to begin with
All I've seen are estimates starting at about 150k infections a day.
Can you link me to anyone who thinks it's much lower than that? Curious to see their thoughts that testing is catching more than half of infections.
This post was edited on 7/10/20 at 8:41 pm
Posted on 7/10/20 at 9:02 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 7/10/20 at 9:20 pm to Chromdome35
I've been unable to look at the numbers for a couple of days now, where the heck did all these deaths come from??? We were showing a steady decline and then Boom we are averaging 885 over the last 4 days.
I would have expected a ramp up to that size of number, not an overnight sustained increase.
I would have expected a ramp up to that size of number, not an overnight sustained increase.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 9:27 pm to Chromdome35
Because you have been gone .
Now that you are back things will come back down .
Please hold off on your next vacation
Now that you are back things will come back down .
Please hold off on your next vacation
Posted on 7/10/20 at 9:37 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:This site has been quite accurate with their deaths projections and their R and infection estimates seem logical. They actually estimate infections as much higher, with an estimate of about 269,000 today, 3.8 times the case totals.
Can you link me to anyone who thinks it's much lower than that? Curious to see their thoughts that testing is catching more than half of infections.
That’s also about 6% higher than their first peak estimate (257,000) which is 11 times higher than the cases on that day. But since they’re estimating infections, that’s also 5 days before the case peak and that might mean they’re accounting for a lag between infection and case reporting. It also seems reasonable that given more cases but lower positivity, that we’ve been catching more infections but now the case totals are rising so much and I believe positivity has started to rise (at least stopped falling) so now we’re actually surpassing the peak.
So if they are accounting for a 5 day lag, then in July 5th they estimated about 249,000 infections, which is 3.5 times today’s totals. They’re also projecting a peak of around 310,000 infections at the end of the month, but of course infections have to be estimated from case and testing data (and maybe some other parameters like deaths) so projections are especially difficult.
AI Covid 19
Posted on 7/10/20 at 9:37 pm to Chromdome35
I got an email from our PCP's group that said NW Arkansas was going to start being picky about who got tested. Due to a shortage of test components
Email said the following:
Email said the following:
quote:
Due to increased testing demand and a national shortage of the COVID-19 testing reagent and supplies, the NWA healthcare community needs to prioritize COVID-19 viral testing for people who meet certain criteria.
MANA Clinics will offer COVID-19 viral testing according to the new criteria outlined below:
Symptomatic individuals
cough,
shortness of breath or difficulty breathing,
or two of the following:
fever,
chills,
muscle aches,
sore throat,
headache,
new taste or smell disorder
or quick variation in temperature.
Household contacts of confirmed positive COVID-19 individuals (small children are not encouraged to be tested unless they are symptomatic).
Asymptomatic health care workers with exposure or possible exposure.
Any individual by request of the Arkansas Department of Health for exposure.
Pre-operative – having surgical procedures, including scheduled induction and C-section, and pulmonary function testing.
Posted on 7/10/20 at 9:47 pm to Chromdome35
823k tests.
Wow.
Will we break a million per day?
Wow.
Will we break a million per day?
Posted on 7/10/20 at 9:50 pm to crazyatthecamp
Massive number of tests and the positivty rate was still high. That is not a good sign.
The more testing we do, the lower the positivity rate show go; however 1 of 2 possibilities exist 1) if the health systems are starting to limit testing to only symptomatic people, then the positivity rate will naturally increase or 2) more people have the virus.
Thats the blind spot of the numbers, it could be either of the above scenarios and we don't know which it is.
The more testing we do, the lower the positivity rate show go; however 1 of 2 possibilities exist 1) if the health systems are starting to limit testing to only symptomatic people, then the positivity rate will naturally increase or 2) more people have the virus.
Thats the blind spot of the numbers, it could be either of the above scenarios and we don't know which it is.
This post was edited on 7/10/20 at 10:00 pm
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