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Dave Ramsey's advice to pay off a car loan, rather than invest

Posted on 12/31/19 at 1:49 pm
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10223 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 1:49 pm
So basically the idea is that, sure, you can beat the 4% interest on the loan with 8-10% investing in the market, but you have to account for the risk that your market investments could return less than 4%, or even go down.

Is that basically the gist of it? And if so, wouldn't a high-yielding dividend fund (or basket of high-yielding dividend stocks) drastically reduce that risk while still returning 6-10%?
Posted by PearlJam
NotBeardEaves
Member since Aug 2014
13908 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

So basically the idea is that, sure, you can beat the 4% interest on the loan with 8-10% investing in the market, but you have to account for the risk that your market investments could return less than 4%, or even go down.
No. It's based on human behavior, not mathematical calculations.
Posted by sacrathetic
Member since May 2019
618 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 2:06 pm to
nm
This post was edited on 5/21/20 at 2:00 pm
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11487 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 2:07 pm to
I don't know about Dave Ramsey but I also base it on you having a highly depreciating asset. So in an emergency there is no guarantee you could sell your vehicle for what you owe on it. Also, you will always need a vehicle so you wouldn't even want to lose it in an emergency.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89613 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Is that basically the gist of it?


No. The "gist" of it is that it is a psychological advantage to not be in consumer debt. That is the correct advice for 90+% of Americans.

If you are investing and exceeding your debt service with returns, with liquid reserves to pay off all your consumer debt at any moment and you are strategically doing all this for this reason, Ramsey's advice is not particularly your cup of tea.

But for most Americans living paycheck-to-paycheck, it is brilliant, life changing advice.
This post was edited on 12/31/19 at 2:22 pm
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10223 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

No. It's based on human behavior, not mathematical calculations.

Makes sense.

quote:

It's so frustrating reading financial message boards (not just this one, most of them are like this) because the hive mind in them usually dismisses the human nature aspect of financial decisions.

So let's delve into that a bit... if someone owes $10k on a car loan at 4%, and has the cash to pay it off, taking into account the human behavior side of things, you'd pay it off because there's a good chance you'll screw up the $10k investment if you don't.

And if I was giving advice to the general public, I'd say the same thing Dave says.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89613 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

if someone owes $10k on a car loan at 4%, and has the cash to pay it off, taking into account the human behavior side of things, you'd pay it off because there's a good chance you'll screw up the $10k investment if you don't.


Right - and once you're out of debt and have a budget down to the penny, he certainly encourages saving that debt service. So, instead of investing the cash and paying the car note, you pay off the car and invest/save the car note.

The roads lead to the same place. In one situation you're leveraged, in another you're not. And "leveraged" into a private automobile is bad debt, IMHO.
This post was edited on 12/31/19 at 2:27 pm
Posted by sacrathetic
Member since May 2019
618 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 2:27 pm to
nm
This post was edited on 5/21/20 at 2:00 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80801 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 2:59 pm to
Ramsey's advice is for people that don't make good financial decisions. Following his advice will be more likely to keep you out of trouble instead of maximizing your investment potential.
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4541 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

That statement can't be proven mathematically, but those with wisdom know in their hearts that it's true.


Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119446 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

But for most Americans living paycheck-to-paycheck, it is brilliant, life changing advice.


Yep, and if 90% of American's would follow it, they would be in overall better financial shape, the MT gurus notwithstanding.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75264 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 5:05 pm to
It’s good advice for debtaholics, not someone with a high financial acumen.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
30606 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 5:10 pm to
This is the most reasonable DR thread I’ve seen on this board. He does a lot more good than recommending all the ways the money board would maximize their money to the general public
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119446 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 5:31 pm to
Last day of the year softening I guess
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17967 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

So basically the idea is that, sure, you can beat the 4% interest on the loan with 8-10% investing in the market, but you have to account for the risk that your market investments could return less than 4%, or even go down.

Is that basically the gist of it? And if so, wouldn't a high-yielding dividend fund (or basket of high-yielding dividend stocks) drastically reduce that risk while still returning 6-10%?





No he just wants you to get rid of debt plain and simple has nothing to do with investing and getting a better return
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 3:50 am to
nm, not getting into this pissing contest again
This post was edited on 1/1/20 at 3:53 am
Posted by UltimaParadox
Huntsville
Member since Nov 2008
40885 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

And if so, wouldn't a high-yielding dividend fund (or basket of high-yielding dividend stocks) drastically reduce that risk while still returning 6-10%?


Point me in the direction that returns 6-10%, with drastically reduced risk.

If anything high yiekding stocks are inherently more risky than typical indexing
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35554 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

So let's delve into that a bit... if someone owes $10k on a car loan at 4%, and has the cash to pay it off, taking into account the human behavior side of things, you'd pay it off because there's a good chance you'll screw up the $10k investment if you don't.


I think it's more of if a person has the 10k to pay off the car, they probably wouldn't actually invest it, they'd blow it on random shite instead.

Investing is the rational thing to do, but people are irrational. Paying off the debt if better than keeping it in cash or just spending it, which is what the vast majority of people would do.
Posted by LatinTiger30
New Orleans
Member since Oct 2007
4430 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 3:41 pm to
The paid off mortgage has replaced the BMW as the status symbol in America. Dave Ramsey’s financial advice is based on human behavior, not math. The finances after all debts have been paid off.

I’m 12 months from being 100% debt free.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119446 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

I’m 12 months from being 100% debt free.


You'll love it when you get there! Congrats!
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