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re: Dave Ramsey's advice to pay off a car loan, rather than invest

Posted on 1/8/20 at 3:46 pm to
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37024 posts
Posted on 1/8/20 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

but it gets back to someone previous’s point: MATHEMATICALLY Dave is wrong. Realistically, with a human element and other factors, he is right for tons of people who do t care or know about the math. But to say “well there’s two sets of MATH and it depends”, no there isn’t.


Just so we are all clear:

If you were to compare the math outcome of paying off high interest debt first, compared to small balance first, the high interest debt first method will always come out ahead. Period. Hard stop.

What some (or at least one) posters are saying is that Dave's method is terrible and wrong, and a lot of us think that's not the right way to look at it.
Posted by Engineer
Member since Dec 2015
277 posts
Posted on 1/8/20 at 4:22 pm to
Maybe it’s just me, but the people I’ve steered toward’s Dave Ramsey’s advice are people who will likely never make it past step 1. One has filed bankruptcy at least twice that I know of.

It’s not my hope that they pay off debt the fastest. It’s my hope that they read testimonials from people who were in impossible situations and managed to get out and that they finally come to a decision to change their lives. I lose a lot of sleep when I have a family member that calls and tells me if I don’t pay their utility bill they’ll be in the dark.

I come off as an a-hole but I will never give them a dime. I have an open offer that whenever they are ready I will sit down and help them manage their finances. My offer has never been accepted. I’d consider it a great success if I could help them just live paycheck to paycheck and I could live without the guilt of watching someone live miserably.

I want them to be afraid of debt, to not take it on, but they love it. Credit to them is free money that they don’t plan on paying back. Can you imagine how difficult it is to deal with someone like that? They’re not used to seeing a positive account balance.

They’d be rich beyond their wildest dreams if they could only save $1,000 and complete step 1. I would hope that would be enough motivation to continue the steps.

Lastly, these types of people are not trying to make the decisions of paying off a car note at 3% vs a student loan at 5%. They’re dealing with late fees and reconnect fee payday loans with three digit interest rates. That’s where starting small to get your head above water can give you room to breathe.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 1/8/20 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

When you are developing a budget, or negotiating a pay raise, or balancing a checkbook, or figuring out the best credit card to use... when are you using the topics you learned in freshman algebra?


You aren’t. I’m saying if your smart enough to pass freshman algebra, you’re smart enough to do all of those other things.

You are however using freshman algebra when you’re calculating the interest charged over time, which if you do correctly, you’ll realize that following Dave’s advice will leave you worse off and with more interest paid. That fact alone makes his advice bad.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37024 posts
Posted on 1/8/20 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

You are however using freshman algebra when you’re calculating the interest charged over time, which if you do correctly, you’ll realize that following Dave’s advice will leave you worse off and with more interest paid. That fact alone makes his advice bad.


If you understood the time value of money / interest expense issues, you wouldn't be in that much debt in the first place.

His advice is not "bad". It is "realistic". These people can't afford to let perfect be the enemy of good.

We've spelled this out for you several ways. You may think another path is "better" but there is more than one way to skin a cat, etc.

Reality, the "right" path is the one that gets you out of debt that you have rung up on depreciable purchases.
Posted by stewie
Member since Jan 2006
3948 posts
Posted on 1/8/20 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

Engineer


This guy gets it ...

quote:

Lastly, these types of people are not trying to make the decisions of paying off a car note at 3% vs a student loan at 5%. They’re dealing with late fees and reconnect fee payday loans with three digit interest rates. That’s where starting small to get your head above water can give you room to breathe.


It’s sad to say but this is the truth for many Americans...
What gets to me are the posters that criticize a method that actually provides a concrete program for those most in need of guidance. And it works.
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 1/8/20 at 8:38 pm to
Some people will never get it, yes, simple math shows that paying off high interest debt first will cause a person to pay less in interest, but human behavior has demonstrated that without the positive reinforcement of achieving small goals such as paying off a small debt first regardless of interest rate most people are unlikely to stick with a plan. So which really results in a person paying more interest, a plan they will never stick to causing them to remain in debt continuing to pay interest with no clear end in sight, or the plan that actually gets them out of debt with the cost of praying slightly more interest over a fixed period of time.
This post was edited on 1/8/20 at 8:40 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37024 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 8:56 am to
quote:

but human behavior has demonstrated that without the positive reinforcement of achieving small goals such as paying off a small debt first regardless of interest rate most people are unlikely to stick with a plan.


It's like weight loss. If you set a goal to lose 80 pounds, even if that's what you "need" to lose, you will likely never get there. But if you set a goal to lose 5 pounds, you are likely to hit it, then set a goal to lose 10 pounds, hit that, etc.

It's 100 percent human behavior and psychology.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

It's like weight loss. If you set a goal to lose 80 pounds, even if that's what you "need" to lose, you will likely never get there. But if you set a goal to lose 5 pounds, you are likely to hit it, then set a goal to lose 10 pounds, hit that, etc.



except you don't get fatter by losing a little bit of weight before you lose a lot of weight
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37024 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

except you don't get fatter by losing a little bit of weight before you lose a lot of weight


But you do lose weight more slowly, compared to say, going on an all-water diet or taking pills.

At this point, I'm just going to say you refuse to admit you are wrong, and move on.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

At this point, I'm just going to say you refuse to admit you are wrong, and move on.



well the math says I'm not wrong soooooooo at this point, I'm just going to say you refuse to admit you are wrong, and move on.


Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37024 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

well the math says I'm not wrong soooooooo at this point, I'm just going to say you refuse to admit you are wrong, and move on.


You are blaming a guy who helps people get out of debt, because he does it in a way that you don't agree with. You are latching on to 1 point in your favor, and ignoring the 99 points against you.

Your trolling is impressive, I'll say that.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

You are blaming a guy who helps people get out of debt, because he does it in a way that you don't agree with.


It's not that I don't agree with it...it's that it's mathematically proven to be an inferior method.

I'm not trolling anything or anyone, just pointing out how his system is flawed.

BTW...what happened to

quote:

I'm just going to say you refuse to admit you are wrong, and move on.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37024 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

I'm not trolling anything or anyone, just pointing out how his system is flawed.


It achieves the intended result, therefore, it is not flawed. You continue to ignore the non-financial issues at play here.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

It achieves the intended result, therefore, it is not flawed.


over a longer that necessary timeline
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17954 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

over a longer that necessary timeline


Assuming a perfect world with no curveballs during that time period.

Again, the math only works if you don't consider that inputs and variables are different for different people.
Posted by BestBanker
Member since Nov 2011
17474 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

You are blaming a guy who helps people get out of debt,

OK. I've read too much of this thread to sit out any longer.
It's all emotional up in here.
quote:

You are latching on to 1 point in your favor, and ignoring the 99 points against you.

And some here think kettle. You're doing the same thing, just only focused on the guy marketing his plans and books to those who have debt. I know he sells his other concepts too, and I take issue with those as well. If anyone finds joy in listening to anyone who seems to be offering value, it's all good. I'm not getting in their way.
quote:

Your trolling is impressive, I'll say that.

I may be wrong, but I don't think he's trolling. Facts vs. emotion. Dave sells his emotions and many of his followers are happy to subsidize him. Debt is a 4 letter word; so is Dave.
That was funny there! Don't downvote my joke!



eta: downvoter in my junk!
This post was edited on 1/9/20 at 3:36 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37024 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

You're doing the same thing, just only focused on the guy marketing his plans and books to those who have debt. I know he sells his other concepts too, and I take issue with those as well.


No doubt DR is making a ton of money off of these people. It's why I cringe when he gets into his Jesus-mode.

But I know enough people, both personally and through my career, that struggled to get out of debt doing things such as "pay the highest interest rate first", and then when they started doing this program, they suceeded.

The difference between me and the other poster, is that if someone does a method such as "pay the highest interest rate first" and they succeed, I am very happy for that person. It's all about doing what is best for each person, what will work for each person.

Also, I think we are talking about his debt advice here. Dave's other advice, when it comes to investments especially, is really not his strong suit. In fact, it's pretty bad.

And his trusted local adviser program or whatever he calls it, is an absolute sham.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

Again, the math only works if you don't consider that inputs and variables are different for different people.



False...the math works in my favor no matter how you slice it.
Posted by stewie
Member since Jan 2006
3948 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 11:39 pm to
quote:

False...the math works in my favor no matter how you slice it.



Not if they fall off the wagon ...

...you aren’t wrong, just have to realize what/who you are working with.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 6:17 am to
quote:

Not if they fall off the wagon ...


Then show me the math because you are flat-out, 100% wrong.

There is no way that paying off low interest debts before high interest debt gets you out of debt faster than paying of high interest debt before low. If you can show me math that proves otherwise, I’ll retract everything I’ve said and admit I was wrong.
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