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Message

re: The Next Recession Will Destroy Millennials

Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:55 am to
Posted by fillmoregandt
OTM
Member since Nov 2009
14368 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:55 am to
quote:

I'd wager a recession will suck the worst for the economic illiterates in their 50s and 60s who have less than $100,000 in retirement savings. Like the last time, they'll get wiped out and have to add 15 years to their working lives to recover.





Exactly.

Person A is 61 with $85k in retirement. Person B is 29 with $34k I’m retirement. If it gets wiped out, Person B has plenty of time to bounce back. Person A, not so much
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425740 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:55 am to
quote:

very few people are working in their 70's because they want to


about 1/3 are

the vast majority of the rest are doing it b/c of their financial situation (primarily house debt and medical expenses)

Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
22710 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:57 am to
quote:

more vulnerable than other, older age cohorts.





My cohort will kick their cohort's vulnerable little asses. So I've got that going for me.
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
5698 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:57 am to
whocares1
quote:

Those programs are not entitlement programs, or weren't intended to be. Both were programs that an employee paid into for future retirement benefits. Allowing funds to be redirected to other programs and systemic abuse of the programs has turned them into something else.


To a large extent this is true. However, it just goes to show that EVERY program run by the government is bad. What if they, instead of controlling it, allowed for a uniform retirement system to be set up, apart from government, where your employer would contribute directly into that account and you would direct its investment (limited like a 401K) And, you could contribute additional as well.
Posted by LSUBanker
Gonzales, La
Member since Sep 2003
2555 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:57 am to
quote:

I'd be more concerned about being in extreme debt during a recession. The prolonged 0% interest rates encouraged people to load up on credit rather than save. Now when a recession hits and these people lose their jobs in debt, that'll be bad.


Our firm's reports show the exact opposite. Overall consumer debt is lower now than pre-2008. Granted it doesn't show by age bracket, but the next recession will be mild compared to 2008.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425740 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:57 am to
quote:

It'll be interesting to see how the population reacts to austerity. Will millenials and Gen Zs figure out that massive public spending isn't a net benefit to young people? Or are they going to go full retard and double down on wanting a larger public "support net?" My guess is the later unfortunately. Right now their idea of how government should operate will absolutely crush the dollar and make consumption way more expensive. Should be interesting next few decades.

i agree i think there is going to be volatility from shifting policies back and forth. i also agree this will make life more expensive (the transactional costs along will be staggering) and the generation that is supposed to be building wealth 40-60 will be cast with propping this sinking ship up. that's what i fear for those around my age
Posted by NikolaiJakov
Moscow
Member since Mar 2014
2803 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:58 am to
quote:

economy was really build to handle)


There's your problem. Our economy wasn't "built". It is constantly evolving, because liberty allows it to. If it were "built" and controlled ala communist USSR, it would be MUCH MUCH worse.

Fortunately, the opportunity is there for people to think outside the box and pursue those other avenues (we don't need another silicon valley, ideas that aren't rooted in technology are money makers too). But to do that, they have to stop playing the victim card and start taking responsibility for their own futures.
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
5698 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 8:59 am to
SlowFlowPro

quote:

about 1/3 are

the vast majority of the rest are doing it b/c of their financial situation (primarily house debt and medical expenses)



There are so many available jobs right now, in every sector, it does not matter how many older people are still working.
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
14922 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:01 am to
It's interesting.

First, I thought studies demonstrated that work life balance was more important to millennials than working really hard. This is a change from prior generations.

Also, millennials are saving less than prior generations. Vacations rank very high on their list and home ownership is not very high. They think about the now rather than the future.

These two things have screwed millennials as much as other things have. Of course done things are outside of their control, but many things that have fricked them are due to their own designs.
Posted by sodcutterjones
Member since May 2018
1252 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:04 am to
This generational fighting is stupid. Every generation has their useful idiots, as every generation also has their bright and productive citizens.

Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
49158 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:07 am to
I'm 38 and completely reject the millenial label, 100% gen X
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425740 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:10 am to
quote:

Also, millennials are saving less than prior generations

not shocking considering the change in economy

quote:

Vacations rank very high on their list and home ownership is not very high. They think about the now rather than the future.

not buying a home right now is very good future-oriented thinking
Posted by Roberteaux
mandeville
Member since Sep 2009
5826 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:10 am to
If Bill Maher / Democrats can cheer on a recession to destroy Trump, I can sure as hell cheer on a recession to destroy millenials.
Posted by bmy
Nashville
Member since Oct 2007
48203 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:12 am to
quote:


You’re telling me $1000 a month in rent will crush economically a single millennial?


A large percentage.. specifically those with student loans. Average millenial makes 35-40k. They'll be fine in the long run but an economic downturn will be a dagger for millenials in an unprecedented way.. they need to be able to discharge student loans.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
141454 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:15 am to
I get it that thieves like you would love to not live up to their commitments. It's sad what some of you have become.
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 9:20 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425740 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:18 am to
quote:

A large percentage.. specifically those with student loans. Average millenial makes 35-40k. They'll be fine in the long run but an economic downturn will be a dagger for millenials in an unprecedented way.. they need to be able to discharge student loans.

well the loan debt will remain somewhat constant, but if a recession does hit those rents will go down in time
Posted by PickupAutist
Member since Sep 2018
3022 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:18 am to
Boomers genuinely hate their own children (and everyone except for themselves, really).
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
141454 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:19 am to
Link?
Posted by OleWarSkuleAlum
Huntsville, AL
Member since Dec 2013
10293 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:22 am to
quote:

A large percentage.. specifically those with student loans. Average millenial makes 35-40k. They'll be fine in the long run but an economic downturn will be a dagger for millenials in an unprecedented way.. they need to be able to discharge student loans.


Join the Army you’ll be able to pay $1000 a month in rent, free undergraduate education, free Graduate degree, and you’ll still have the entire post 9/11 GI Bill once you’re out...
This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 9:23 am
Posted by parrothead
big salty ham
Member since Mar 2010
4474 posts
Posted on 8/27/19 at 9:23 am to
I think it’s some sort of parody. I’m 31, and while the early and mid 20’s were pretty rough, economically speaking, my peers and I seem to have crawled through the muck and made it to the other side. Sure, I’m paying off student loans but for the time being it’s not stopping me from doing too much, except maybe buy a new car but that’s a want not a need.
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