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LSU outlook for hosting a regional
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:28 pm
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:28 pm
I would love to be talking about what LSU has to do to get a national seed in this year's installment, but that's not the case. Hosting a regional is still a possibility though, so we will compare LSU against the rest of the field.
Locks to host a regional
I think these teams are going to be national seeds/have a host spot already locked up, so I'm not going to bother breaking down their resume.
1. Vandy
2. UCLA
3. Arkansas
4. Mississippi St
5. Georgia
6. ECU
7. Louisville
8. Texas Tech
9. Stanford
10. Georgia Tech
11. Oklahoma St.
Legit Hosting Opportunities
If my above projections are correct, that leaves 5 host spots up for grabs.
LSU
36-23
17-13
RPI- 21
SOS- 6
Quad 1- 20-15
Quad 2- 5-5
Quad 3- 4-2
Quad 4- 7-1
W vs SC, L vs Miss St, W vs Auburn, Fri vs MSU
Miami
39-17
18-12
RPI- 16
SOS- 30
Quad 1- 13-13
Quad 2- 7-2
Quad 3- 3-0
Quad 4- 16-2
Thur vs Virginia, Fri vs UNC
Miami vs UNC winner advances to semis
Oregon St
35-17-1
20-7
RPI- 14
SOS- 17
Quad 1- 16-9
Quad 2- 10-5-1
Quad 3- 0-2
Quad 4- 9-1
1-1 vs Stanford last weekend (2nd game was rained out) Thur-Sat vs USC- down 0-1
UC Santa Barbara
44-8
18-4
RPI- 15
SOS- 160
Quad 1- 3-0
Quad 2- 11-2
Quad 3- 6-4
Quad 4- 24-2
3 game set vs Cal Poly Thu-Sat - Drops game 1. Down 0-1
UNC
39-17
17-13
RPI- 19
SOS- 33
Quad 1- 11-11
Quad 2- 11-3
Quad 3- 8-1
Quad 4- 9-2
W vs Virginia, Fri vs Miami
West Virginia
36-18
13-11
RPI- 11
SOS- 27
Quad 1- 8-9
Quad 2- 15-8
Quad 3- 3-0
Quad 4- 10-1
W vs Kansas, W vs Texas Tech, Fri vs Texas Tech/Kansas winner
NC State -
42-15
18-12
RPI - 18
SOS- 52
Quad 1- 9-6
Quad 2- 11-7
Quad 3- 7-2
Quad 4- 15-0
Thur vs Wake, Fri vs FSU - NC State advances to semis
Texas A&M
37-21-1
16-13-1
RPI- 17
SOS- 8
Quad 1- 17-16-1
Quad 2- 8-3
Quad 3- 4-1
Quad 4- 8-1
W vs UF, L vs UGA, L vs Ole Miss 1-2 ELIMINATED
Ole Miss
35-24
16-14
RPI- 25
SOS- 12
Quad 1- 18-19
Quad 2- 5-3
Quad 3- 5-0
Quad 4- 7-2
W vs Mizzou, L vs Arkansas, W vs aTm, Fri vs Arky
Creighton
36-11
14-4
RPI- 22
SOS- 109
Quad 1- 5-1
Quad 2- 13-8
Quad 3- 2-1
Quad 4- 16-1
W vs Seton Hall, Fri vs St. John
So, as you can see by stacking LSU up against everybody else, all of these teams have some things that are also holding them down. As always, it comes down to what the committee favors over other things. If they put heavy emphasis on SOS and Q1 wins, LSU is a lock already. If RPI weighs heavily, LSU is squarely on the bubble and needs another win or two. Overall record also has LSU lagging behind. So, unless LSU makes a super deep run we won't really know for sure until next Monday if they are a lock to host.
I'll keep up with what everybody on this list is doing as they play during the week.
Locks to host a regional
I think these teams are going to be national seeds/have a host spot already locked up, so I'm not going to bother breaking down their resume.
1. Vandy
2. UCLA
3. Arkansas
4. Mississippi St
5. Georgia
6. ECU
7. Louisville
8. Texas Tech
9. Stanford
10. Georgia Tech
11. Oklahoma St.
Legit Hosting Opportunities
If my above projections are correct, that leaves 5 host spots up for grabs.
LSU
36-23
17-13
RPI- 21
SOS- 6
Quad 1- 20-15
Quad 2- 5-5
Quad 3- 4-2
Quad 4- 7-1
W vs SC, L vs Miss St, W vs Auburn, Fri vs MSU
Miami
39-17
18-12
RPI- 16
SOS- 30
Quad 1- 13-13
Quad 2- 7-2
Quad 3- 3-0
Quad 4- 16-2
Thur vs Virginia, Fri vs UNC
Miami vs UNC winner advances to semis
Oregon St
35-17-1
20-7
RPI- 14
SOS- 17
Quad 1- 16-9
Quad 2- 10-5-1
Quad 3- 0-2
Quad 4- 9-1
1-1 vs Stanford last weekend (2nd game was rained out) Thur-Sat vs USC- down 0-1
UC Santa Barbara
44-8
18-4
RPI- 15
SOS- 160
Quad 1- 3-0
Quad 2- 11-2
Quad 3- 6-4
Quad 4- 24-2
3 game set vs Cal Poly Thu-Sat - Drops game 1. Down 0-1
UNC
39-17
17-13
RPI- 19
SOS- 33
Quad 1- 11-11
Quad 2- 11-3
Quad 3- 8-1
Quad 4- 9-2
W vs Virginia, Fri vs Miami
West Virginia
36-18
13-11
RPI- 11
SOS- 27
Quad 1- 8-9
Quad 2- 15-8
Quad 3- 3-0
Quad 4- 10-1
W vs Kansas, W vs Texas Tech, Fri vs Texas Tech/Kansas winner
NC State -
42-15
18-12
RPI - 18
SOS- 52
Quad 1- 9-6
Quad 2- 11-7
Quad 3- 7-2
Quad 4- 15-0
Thur vs Wake, Fri vs FSU - NC State advances to semis
Texas A&M
37-21-1
16-13-1
RPI- 17
SOS- 8
Quad 1- 17-16-1
Quad 2- 8-3
Quad 3- 4-1
Quad 4- 8-1
W vs UF, L vs UGA, L vs Ole Miss 1-2 ELIMINATED
Ole Miss
35-24
16-14
RPI- 25
SOS- 12
Quad 1- 18-19
Quad 2- 5-3
Quad 3- 5-0
Quad 4- 7-2
W vs Mizzou, L vs Arkansas, W vs aTm, Fri vs Arky
Creighton
36-11
14-4
RPI- 22
SOS- 109
Quad 1- 5-1
Quad 2- 13-8
Quad 3- 2-1
Quad 4- 16-1
W vs Seton Hall, Fri vs St. John
So, as you can see by stacking LSU up against everybody else, all of these teams have some things that are also holding them down. As always, it comes down to what the committee favors over other things. If they put heavy emphasis on SOS and Q1 wins, LSU is a lock already. If RPI weighs heavily, LSU is squarely on the bubble and needs another win or two. Overall record also has LSU lagging behind. So, unless LSU makes a super deep run we won't really know for sure until next Monday if they are a lock to host.
I'll keep up with what everybody on this list is doing as they play during the week.
This post was edited on 5/24/19 at 9:19 am
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:35 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I feel like oregon st is a lock as well. But nice work
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 12:36 pm
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:40 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I think LSU needs to beat State on Wednesday to get one. Committee will look for an excuse to spread regionals around other geographical areas.
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:46 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I just don’t see how they can keep us out with 19 Q1 wins and 7th SOS. We just need to beat the cocks Tuesday night.
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:49 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Pretty sure UCSB doesn’t have a conference tournament as well. Good breakdown btw.
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 12:51 pm
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:54 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I think 34-22 is not host worthy...I hope the committee doesn’t agree with me. If we do host we will likely be paired with Vandy or UCLA
Posted on 5/19/19 at 12:55 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Good stuff right here. But I would agree with josh336 that Oregon st is a lock
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:00 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
If I had to guess right now, and obviously things can change
1. Vandy
2. UCLA
3. Arkansas
4. Mississippi State
5. ECU
6. Louisville
7. Georgia
8. Texas Tech
9. Stanford
10. Oklahoma State
11. Georgia Tech
12. Oregon State
13. LSU
14. A&M
15. Miami
16. NC State
1. Vandy
2. UCLA
3. Arkansas
4. Mississippi State
5. ECU
6. Louisville
7. Georgia
8. Texas Tech
9. Stanford
10. Oklahoma State
11. Georgia Tech
12. Oregon State
13. LSU
14. A&M
15. Miami
16. NC State
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:01 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Great info.; thank you for providing.
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:20 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
For those midweek games don’t matter people... this is the perfect example of how winning a few of those midweek games would really help out.
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:30 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I think Oregon State is a lock too bringing the number to 12, leaving 4 spots.
Right now, I think the final 4 are:
13. N.C. State
14. Miami
15. LSU
16/17. Texas A&M/Baylor (depending on whether the committee values overall resume or conference resume more... I think the one that doesn't host will be the 2 seed in the other's regional anyway...)
18. North Carolina (17-13 ACC record, RPI of 20, big name, good facilities... could easily play into a host spot in the ACC tournament)
---------------------------------------------------------
I think Tennessee and Auburn would need to win the SEC tournament (or at least make the final) due to their 14-16 SEC records.
I don't think UC-Santa Barbara will be viewed very favorably due to having played 0 games against top 50 teams.
I think West Virginia would need to win the Big 12 tournament. 13-11 Big 12 conference record, 7-9 record vs. the top 50, no tradition, and poor hosting facilities make a combination that has little chance.
---------------------------------------------------------
Basically, LSU needs to win on Tuesday and not have A&M, Baylor, and/or North Carolina pass them in the pecking order...
Right now, I think the final 4 are:
13. N.C. State
14. Miami
15. LSU
16/17. Texas A&M/Baylor (depending on whether the committee values overall resume or conference resume more... I think the one that doesn't host will be the 2 seed in the other's regional anyway...)
18. North Carolina (17-13 ACC record, RPI of 20, big name, good facilities... could easily play into a host spot in the ACC tournament)
---------------------------------------------------------
I think Tennessee and Auburn would need to win the SEC tournament (or at least make the final) due to their 14-16 SEC records.
I don't think UC-Santa Barbara will be viewed very favorably due to having played 0 games against top 50 teams.
I think West Virginia would need to win the Big 12 tournament. 13-11 Big 12 conference record, 7-9 record vs. the top 50, no tradition, and poor hosting facilities make a combination that has little chance.
---------------------------------------------------------
Basically, LSU needs to win on Tuesday and not have A&M, Baylor, and/or North Carolina pass them in the pecking order...
This post was edited on 5/19/19 at 8:36 pm
Posted on 5/19/19 at 1:56 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
They have a better record, conference record, and rpi, it wouldnt be crazy at all
Posted on 5/19/19 at 2:45 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I see us hosting and winning a regional. My outlook on the super regional will depend on how we look in winning the regional and where we have to go.
Posted on 5/19/19 at 3:24 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Information like this is what I come to the rant to read, thanks!
Posted on 5/19/19 at 3:56 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Damn fine work, HTT 10!
I can remember one year LSU didn't make the tournament and Mainieri said he was told by someone on the committee it was because our RPI was weaker than the teams who got in over us.
Then a few years later we didn't get in when our RPI was in the top 10 but Mainieri was told our record wasn't good enough. (I may have the order of those two years reversed.)
So, wtf knows what the committee will think is important this year?!?
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconbow.gif)
I can remember one year LSU didn't make the tournament and Mainieri said he was told by someone on the committee it was because our RPI was weaker than the teams who got in over us.
Then a few years later we didn't get in when our RPI was in the top 10 but Mainieri was told our record wasn't good enough. (I may have the order of those two years reversed.)
So, wtf knows what the committee will think is important this year?!?
Posted on 5/19/19 at 6:12 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Oregon St went 1-1 against Stanford this weekend. The game yesterday was rained out, and apparently they aren't playing a DH today.
Posted on 5/19/19 at 10:08 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
I think LSU needs at least one win in the SEC, maybe 2 or 3 to be a comfortable host pick. It looks like A&M, heaven forbid, may have a leg up on the Tigers as it currently stands. I had no idea they were RPI 14. And they had a great weekend effort vs Arky.
Posted on 5/19/19 at 10:48 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
Another positive is that you don’t have to be a #1 seed in the Regional to be a host.
Unless things have changed, they’re have been #2 seeds that have hosted a Regional. And everyone on the committee should be well aware of who LSU is historically.
Unless things have changed, they’re have been #2 seeds that have hosted a Regional. And everyone on the committee should be well aware of who LSU is historically.
Posted on 5/20/19 at 8:30 am to Hold That Tiger 10
I think Oregon St. is a lock, so there are 4 remaining spots.
LSU
Miami
UNC
Texas AM
These are in the best position to take the final 4 spots IMO. I think Ole Miss could unseat either LSU or Texas AM if they have a deeper tourney run though.
ETA: NC State, not UNC.
LSU
Miami
UNC
Texas AM
These are in the best position to take the final 4 spots IMO. I think Ole Miss could unseat either LSU or Texas AM if they have a deeper tourney run though.
ETA: NC State, not UNC.
This post was edited on 5/20/19 at 8:32 am
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