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No debt or better your odds to win the lottery?

Posted on 10/24/18 at 7:57 am
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
23510 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 7:57 am
An obvious hypothetical being discussed on morning radio show. Would you rather take the option of getting all of your current debt wiped out guaranteed. Or have your odds of going to 1/10,000 to win 1.6B rather than 1/302 mil or whatever.

Which would you choose?

I'd go with the guarantee but they made good points about how you already have a plan to pay down that debt and you could go right back into debt shortly after. The odds are increasing by a large margin so its tempting.
This post was edited on 10/24/18 at 7:59 am
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 7:59 am to
Debt. That would pay off my mortgage and small student loans and I’d feel rich.

Posted by sgallo3
Lake Charles
Member since Sep 2008
25206 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:02 am to
Better lottery odds, take out the biggest loan i could get through legal and illegal means, then spend it all on tickets. If u buy 25,000 tickets at 1/10,000 odds you are most likely gonna wipe all debt plus never have to worry about going in it again.

Any other choice would be dumb
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:03 am to
quote:

Would you rather take the option of getting all of your current debt wiped out guaranteed.


Having my current debt wiped out would probably be the biggest stress reliever I've ever experienced.
Posted by Areddishfish
The Wild West
Member since Oct 2015
6431 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:07 am to
quote:

No debt or better your odds to win the lottery?


No debt and it isn't even close. Even with reduced odds, you have a .0001% chance to win.

I know with my wife's student debt and our house note gone, we'd be saving an extra $18k a year.

ETA: Lol at the downvotes for taking a responsible financial approach to this question. Downvotes probably drooling over all the boats and four wheelers they could buy.
This post was edited on 10/24/18 at 9:55 am
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
38816 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:13 am to
1/10,000 are still total garbage odds. What kind of question is this
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
29153 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:16 am to
I don't need a lot of money to be happy, so I'd wipe the debt. I'd kill myself with a billion dollars.
Posted by DeafJam73
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
19122 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:22 am to
No debt.
Posted by ctiger69
Member since May 2005
31030 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:25 am to
I have had zero debt for over 10 years.


No big deal.


Winning 1.6 billion dollars would be a big deal.
This post was edited on 10/24/18 at 8:25 am
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
103439 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:25 am to
quote:

Would you rather take the option of getting all of your current debt wiped out guaranteed. Or have your odds of going to 1/10,000 to win 1.6B rather than 1/302 mil or whatever.


Would I be able to change my odds by buying more tickets? Obviously I could theoretically cover all possibilities out of 1/10K with just $20K in cash, then I'm guaranteed $1.6B, or at least my share of it if the pot is split.

If we're just talking a theoretical my odds go to 1/10K regardless of how many tickets I have bought, then I take the guaranteed debt wiped out. And I spend a shite-ton on my credit cards beforehand on all sorts of fun things. Then no mortgage, no car note, that would free up a lot of spending money.
Posted by PortHudsonPlaya
Houston
Member since Jul 2017
3170 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:28 am to
Outside of my mortgage (which isn’t much), I have zero debt so I’d take the lottery.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89408 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:30 am to
Assuming mortgage is debt then anyone with a brain would take that option.
Posted by Steadyhands
Slightly above I-10
Member since May 2016
7118 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:30 am to
Stupid. I could literally get richer if I was debt free and had all that as disposable income...could buy up a few rentals and continue working my already good job.

So basically the question is would you rather win a half mil or increase odds on jackpot. I will take the half mil.
Posted by LSUBFA83
Member since May 2012
4039 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 8:46 am to
This is why 90% of poor people are poor.
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
23510 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 9:00 am to
I agree. I'm wiping out my debt. But they had a good point that probably about half the people would want the bigger house and go right back into debt within a year or two. Do y'all think that's true? I do. People just can't stand to not have the latest and greatest stuff.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
103439 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 9:03 am to
quote:

But they had a good point that probably about half the people would want the bigger house and go right back into debt within a year or two. Do y'all think that's true? I do.


I've read/heard that most jackpot winners blow it all and end up back in debt. Not sure how reliable that is or the exact numbers, but it wouldn't surprise me.
Posted by Snipe
Member since Nov 2015
15564 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 9:23 am to
Pick the guarantee 100 time out of 100.

Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5017 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 9:45 am to
Can I buy more than 10,000 lottery tickets? Or do I have 1 in 10,000 odds with 1 lottery ticket?

If every ticket you buy has a 1 in 10,000 chance at 1.6 Billion why would you not buy 10K or more lotto tickets?

If you only get 1 ticket with a 1 in 10,000 chance and actually have substantial debt why on earth would you take that chance?

The answer is blatantly obvious either way.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 10:21 am to
quote:

But they had a good point that probably about half the people would want the bigger house and go right back into debt within a year or two.


I would absolutely sell my house and put all the money into a larger house and have mortgage debt again.

However, the mortgage would be minuscule and it would be a "forever" type home instead of the "starter" home I'm in. I'd easily pay it off in a short time frame, especially with no student loans to worry about.

That is some serious equity I'd be getting from the debt wiping. Only an idiot wouldn't take that in my situation. I have 250k left on my mortgage

Posted by UncleRuckus
Member since Feb 2013
9581 posts
Posted on 10/24/18 at 10:25 am to
If my odds stay 1/10000 no matter how many tickets I get, I’m taking the guarantee. If each ticket has a 1/10000 chance I’m going with the lotto option
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