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Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:32 pm
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:32 pm
150
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:33 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:33 pm to rds dc
Peeej is god
This post was edited on 9/8/18 at 8:13 pm
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:34 pm to rds dc
I thought all that African dust was killing the hurricanes this year.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:36 pm to rds dc
Cantore has probably been working his hurricane voodoo doll hard. Quiet season thus far.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:37 pm to rds dc
none of the reliable models do anything with it.
Just for fun here are the intensity from some global models I believe they are.
Just for fun here are the intensity from some global models I believe they are.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:47 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/15/18 at 8:57 pm to rds dc
75 pages
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:02 pm to rds dc
Good time to post this chart:
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:06 pm to rds dc
I just bought a pallet of bottled water and twelve cases of beanie weenies.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:07 pm to rds dc
First page
I predict a Cat 5 hitting NOLA
I predict a Cat 5 hitting NOLA
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:12 pm to rds dc
Just starting to have a little roll to it...
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:15 pm to rds dc
Scary I was actually looking up dog friendly hotels earlier this week in the Alexandria/Natchitoches area just in case we get a scare this season.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:16 pm to rds dc
I was hoping to see none of these threads.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:29 pm to rds dc
It's always interesting when something like this is rolling along but has basically no model support. So what are the models seeing? What are they missing? CIMSS analysis is showing some healthy low level vort (spin) with the 00z analysis, so that might shift the 00z global models some.
One thing we can look at now, is the old fashioned SHIPS model, it wasn't run at 18z but the 00z just published.
So a couple of things jump out, it shows steady strengthening, it shows shear being a "positive" (it is seeing a low shear environment) and dry air being a negative.
The global models are also seeing low shear and dry air. Without doing a deep dive, the global models are probably keeping this from developing because of dry air. Just a real quick and not very extensive look at things
One thing we can look at now, is the old fashioned SHIPS model, it wasn't run at 18z but the 00z just published.
So a couple of things jump out, it shows steady strengthening, it shows shear being a "positive" (it is seeing a low shear environment) and dry air being a negative.
The global models are also seeing low shear and dry air. Without doing a deep dive, the global models are probably keeping this from developing because of dry air. Just a real quick and not very extensive look at things
Posted on 8/16/18 at 6:54 am to rds dc
TRopical Depression 3 formed 26 years ago today.
It became Hurricane Andrew.
It became Hurricane Andrew.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 7:32 am to rds dc
what's the pacific looking like? We will be in Cabo marlin fishing September 1-8
Posted on 8/16/18 at 8:03 am to rds dc
Will there be waves in Orange Beach for Labor Day and will this delay the opening of Bucees?
Posted on 8/22/18 at 6:27 pm to rds dc
quote:
We’re all gonna die!!!
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