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re: Winter thread: 3.5" officially in BR on the 8th day of meteorological winter!!
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:27 pm to GEAUXmedic
Well shite, I hope Pluckers is still open tonight to watch the Saints game
2
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:28 pm to Duke
quote:
The HRRR is typically pretty damn good short range. Read the LIX discussion from this afternoon and they mention it as one of the competing solutions. I believe the moisture it's producing with a slowly strengthening low down in the gulf, it's really a question of how well it handles our "warm nose".
I do think if we do start getting frozen stuff overnight, the highs for tomorrow are probably overdone as the ice will push the surface temps down to or below freezing.
Makes for an interesting night tonight.
snow pants [ON] OFF
This post was edited on 12/7/17 at 5:29 pm
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:36 pm to Duke
Good. I'm stocked up on beer and cigars.
I agree about high temps dropping. WBRZ can eat shite.
I agree about high temps dropping. WBRZ can eat shite.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:44 pm to bayoubengals88
Best of luck to everyone during Snowpocalypse 2017. 
Just rain and temps in the 40s here.
Just rain and temps in the 40s here.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:49 pm to bayoubengals88
When will the hail start?
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:50 pm to Harry Caray
quote:
Well shite, I hope Pluckers is still open tonight to watch the Saints game
Sorry, but current conditions favor Matty Ice.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:51 pm to Harry Caray
quote:
Well shite, I hope Pluckers is still open tonight to watch the Saints game
So you don't have a TV?
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:51 pm to Mudminnow
LSU won’t cancel shite.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:51 pm to nateslu1
Snow flurries coming down in Austin now.
Y'all are fricked.
Y'all are fricked.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:51 pm to Mudminnow
What is your source?
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:56 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
Snow flurries coming down in Austin now.
Y'all are fricked.
Accurate. Models didn't show this happening this early.
This post was edited on 12/7/17 at 5:57 pm
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:57 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
Good. I'm stocked up on beer and cigars.
I agree about high temps dropping. WBRZ can eat shite.
All a matter of waiting for the precip to really get going. That'll signal the cold punch is rolling on in and squeezing a little heat out of the atmosphere. It doesn't look like we'll get much wet bulb help from model soundings, going to be all a game of getting that mid-level part of the column cooled off enough from cold air blowing in. (ETA: Flurries in Austin right now a good sign)
Wish I had a couple weather balloons of my own to send up.
And in terms of our local TV mets, I really only listen to Steve Caparotta on WAFB.
This post was edited on 12/7/17 at 5:58 pm
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:59 pm to Duke
Steve is the best in the baton Rouge area, although Jay is not far behind. I just like how Steve breaks it down for you with regards to the weather.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 5:59 pm to GEAUXmedic
College station reporting light snow. Temp dropped from 41 at 4:53 to 38 at 5:33.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 6:02 pm to Duke
quote:
The HRRR is typically pretty damn good short range. Read the LIX discussion from this afternoon and they mention it as one of the competing solutions. I believe the moisture it's producing with a slowly strengthening low down in the gulf, it's really a question of how well it handles our "warm nose".
I do think if we do start getting frozen stuff overnight, the highs for tomorrow are probably overdone as the ice will push the surface temps down to or below freezing.
Makes for an interesting night tonight.
The HRRR has a bit of a cold bias and can be too fast with change over from rain to snow. It also trends to linger precipitation too long in these setups.
If I lived down there these would be my concerns:
-elevated warm layer, models always struggle with this and someone between BR and New Orleans will probably get screwed
- surface temps, HRRR and NAM 3k are plenty cold for accumulation but the Euro and GFS are warmer (GFS is warmest), accumulations will be limited if surface temps bust warm
- timing of precipitation, if precipitation ends sooner than expected then some areas that the models show getting snow could be shut out and amounts reduced elsewhere
Overall, areas north of I12 look good with Kentwood being the spot I would setup for a chase. BR is tricky based on above and 3" wouldn't surprise me anymore than a bust.
Posted on 12/7/17 at 6:05 pm to rds dc
Why is wbrz so damn bitter? 
Posted on 12/7/17 at 6:07 pm to MrSmith
Damn. That baw is right though
Posted on 12/7/17 at 6:20 pm to rocket31
My kids are bouncing off the walls with the thought of snow going to fall.. Please snow...
Posted on 12/7/17 at 6:22 pm to Impotent Waffle
If you have Instagram you can search Austin Texas under places and watch it fall from the feed
It's coming down pretty good fwiw. Not sticking though
It's coming down pretty good fwiw. Not sticking though
Posted on 12/7/17 at 6:26 pm to rocket31
It actually is sticking on the grass in some areas now. Not on the roads though
Not sure what that means for BR
Not sure what that means for BR
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