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Trump will likely be choosing new fed chair within 2 weeks. Could be big deal

Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:11 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73542 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:11 pm
Trump is expected to announce his decision for next Fed Chair in the next 2 weeks, before he leaves for his Asian trip on November 3.

quote:

Yesterday, the USD and bond yields turmoiled briefly following news that Trump had warmed to the candidacy of San Fran professor John Taylor, father of the Taylor Rule and advocate of rules-based monetary policy, and who is widely perceived as a mega hawk. The news sent the USD surging and hit bonds.


LINK

quote:


YELLEN, WARSH, TAYLOR, POWELL AND COHN ALL CANDIDATES FOR FED CHAIR -WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL
FED CHAIR SEARCH NOW NARROWED TO FIVE FINAL CANDIDATES, WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL SAYS
AFTER YELLEN MEETING, TRUMP WILL HAVE DISCUSSED FED JOB WITH ALL FIVE FED CANDIDATES -WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL
TRUMP EXPECTED TO ANNOUNCE FED DECISION BEFORE HE LEAVES FOR ASIA TRIP NOV. 3 -WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL



John Taylor would be a risky pick, but I think his hawkish views on interest rates could be the best road to take thinking long term.
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5180 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:13 pm to
This is an extremely important pick. Whoever this ends up being has to finish winding down the Fed balance sheet at the correct pace while potentially accounting for an influx of cash and spending created by tax reform and repatriation.
Posted by HempHead
Big Sky Country
Member since Mar 2011
56596 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:14 pm to
Dr. Ronald Paul, please.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
470787 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Dr. Ronald Paul, please.

when did he work at Goldman?
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73542 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Dr. Ronald Paul, please.
Now that would cause a melt.
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:21 pm to
Posted by 9th life
birmingham
Member since Sep 2009
7310 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:23 pm to
he sure is making Gary work for it.
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
41432 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:23 pm to
Imagine the melt if it was Peter Schiff.

Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:25 pm to
i wonder why he's considering yellen
Posted by Man4others
Member since Aug 2017
2476 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:26 pm to
Fingers crossed for Neel Kashkari

He's been voting against rate hikes and wants the economy to "run hot"
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
139588 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

John Taylor would be a risky pick


All the nominees are barley different. That's the way it is for all Fed Chair picks.
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:29 pm to
Impossible. The Fed Chair has to be chosen from existing members of the Board of Governors.
Posted by bobby_3_sticks
Member since Oct 2017
245 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:32 pm to
This is going to be a big deal. I can't imagine Yellen will get renewed. Taylor might wreck markets though as he is going raise rates, but who knows if trump is aware of that particular linkage.

Just please don't be Cohn.
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:41 pm to
As long it's not Gary Cohn, I'm happy.

frick his open insubordination over Charlottesville. He was the front runner for fed chair before he pissed his boss off who only kept him around for tax reform.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
117068 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Impossible. The Fed Chair has to be chosen from existing members of the Board of Governors.


Well, then why not just shut the whole thing down?
Posted by Mike Honcho
North Dallas
Member since Oct 2007
2968 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

i wonder why he's considering yellen


He probably isn't. Keeping her name on the list is probably a strategy so he doesn't have to fight over replacing her until he has already made the decision.
Posted by funnystuff
Member since Nov 2012
9030 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 2:02 pm to
Few posts in this thread worth addressing:
quote:

Impossible. The Fed Chair has to be chosen from existing members of the Board of Governors.
There are currently 2 board vacancies, so Trump could fill 1 of those with whoever his choice for chair might be
quote:

All the nominees are barley different. That's the way it is for all Fed Chair picks.
That’s asinine. Taylor as all about a rules-based approach to minimize expectations disruptions whereas Yellen is about as pro-discretionary policy as we’ve seen. They are on opposite ends of the monetary policy spectrum
quote:

Taylor might wreck markets though as he is going raise rates, but who knows if trump is aware of that particular linkage.
There’s a strong argument to be made for rates currently being too low. Raising them might slow our growth, but it certainly won’t ‘wreck markets’. I wonder if you’re aware of this glaring flaw in your imagined ‘linkage’
quote:

Just please don't be Cohn.
But abso-fricking-lutely this
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 10/17/17 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

Well, then why not just shut the whole thing down?


I still don't even understand what the Fed really is tbh.
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