bobby_3_sticks

quote:

---

Perfect From Now On
Keep it Like a Secret
Emergency and I
In the Aeroplane Over the Sea
Lonesome Crowded West
The Moon and Antarctica
OK Computer
Kid A
The Soft Bulletin
Yankee Hotel Foxtrot

---

This +
interpol
spoon
white stripes
the avalanches
the strokes
moby - play
massive attack
air
belle and sebastian

IMHO, music just has improved since 1990. While you have better years than others, it consisently has been on an upslope.

quote:

---

"he knew what he signed up for, but it still hurts"

It's equivalent to saying "death is a part of war, but it is still a tragedy".

Do you honestly think trump was trying to be a dick to his wife? Really? It's an out of context quote.

---

But is just a big old frick you in my opinion. Not just here, but everywhere.

Go about life without saying but, or its college cousin - however.

Instead, either outright agree or disagree.

quote:

---

Possibly, but only because it is a Special election.

---

its still an election.

I think it would be bad for the dems to win this seat, and I would like a democratically controlled senate. Why?
1) it might diminish the chance that bannon-ite primaries win next spring, which I think helps the dems

2) false sense of security

3) seat is only open for less than a year

quote:

---

Missouri is a definite bet and McCaskill is good as gone.

That state has swung crazy hard to the right the past few years.

---

Yeah, she has a tough fight ahead in MO. MO has always been a tad strange electorally though. And 2018 has the makings for an unusual election, either way.

quote:

---

Normally true. But 10 DNC states were won by trump. And DNC stand of no compromise combined with DNC leadership is not promising for these seats. Expect GOP gains in Senate. 11 Might be as unlikely as President Trump!

---

Yeah, we don't know what is going to happen here. this is what I love about politics.

The reality is the only thing working in the Rs favor right now is the map. And in 2016, we found out that maps don't always work the way they are supposed to.

The three big things that pop out to me are...
* What role will trump and congress's unpopularity play in the election?
* what will happen in the primary challenges? Will that provide a stronger or weaker candidate?
* What happens with tax reform? This is probably the biggest risk. It could make or break the election.

And while the map is favorable to Rs, the dems also have a few spots they think they might be able to pick off - AZ and NV, outside chance in nebraska.

My guess is that the Rs will pick up a seat or two. Probably winning 2-3 dem held seats (ND/MT/IN) and then lose a seat or two (AZ, NV).

Who knows though? The Rs really need a strong election this cycle though. 2020 map is almost all R, and with it being a presidential year it could be a big election. And then 2022, the map also has some states the Ds think they can pick off.

quote:

---

You don't know anything about which seats are open do you?

---

there is only one open seat in 2018.

the map definitely favors republicans. But history favors the democrats, both in terms of incumbent party losing seats plus unfavorable presidents losing a lot of seats.

And throw in primary challenges, and boom, it starts to get dicey for republicans.

We will have to wait and see though. Tax reform and russia will play into it. If I was a republican, I would be a bit nervous about how it plays out.

quote:

---

Everyone can agree that it is ripe for disruption. The profession will go the way of the taxi driver and I’m excited for it.

---

the profession will not go away anytime soon. Real estate agents provide all sorts of value to potential buyers. They provide opinions about locations or things to consider, they also can help with picking neighborhoods.

With that said, sellers agents are paid far too much to do far too little.

I would imagine the model will eventually be that sellers will pay an upfront fee for listing the house, and then a small commission to sellers agent (1%) and then sellers will have to fork over some $$ for help.

quote:

---

Geez, I must have missed where TWO fricking Senators can decide the fate of tax money and healthcare right by their lonesome.

---

well it might very well collapse, but if murray is signing up for it she can get most if not all the dems on board, Alexander will probably only to deliver 5-10 votes from Rs.

Its very doable fix.

quote:

---

Why is it always Trump who is supposed to back down, or compromise?

---

1) he never backs down, part of his success and failure
2) he usually picks the fight
3) he doesn't let the fight die

quote:

---

It's one thing for McCain to not like Trump, it's an entirely different matter when he goes out of his way to give someone a negative quote everytime they ask him for one about Trump.

---

this scenario is really unlikely, but if you end up with a ryan or hatch presidency, I wouldn't be surprised if they selected a moderate dem as their VP.