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re: When will oil come back?

Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:30 pm to
Posted by Turftoe
Denver
Member since Mar 2016
3940 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:30 pm to
Permian Basin Baws got some work in the pipeline.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59907 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:33 pm to
It's back for me.

Just give me 10-12 more years
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47192 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:40 pm to
The more we drill, the more oil prices will stay sub $60 unless there is some major event that disrupts worldwide production.
Posted by kjp811
Denver, CO
Member since Apr 2017
863 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:43 pm to
Oil will get over $100 once we forget about all that oil under our feet. Don't see that happening. I think $60 is a good price in this day and age.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19666 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:45 pm to
Unless a war happens not anytime soon, like I am looking for another industry to have a career in soon.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
38693 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:12 pm to
There's too much supply. We saw a small uptick in activity in Q2 and expect it to basically stay flat rest of 2017. Only small growth in 2018 with the industry somewhat stabilizing. Expect it to stay this way for 2-3 years. Better get accustomed to the status quo.
Posted by DeafJam73
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
18645 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:15 pm to
Oil is back. It just went somewhere else.
Posted by MadtownTiger
Texas
Member since Sep 2010
4215 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:25 pm to
Upstream has increased in certain basins obviously, ND seems weak, Permian/Eagle Ford moving up. Offshore projects take a while but are still rolling a little.

Offshore companies are starting to bring their costs down with subsea tieback being more common as well as more accurate/efficient drilling practices. Offshore will stay in the game cause of this and be able to operate around 30-40 a barrel at breakeven. The main thing in this downturn is for them to go after the ideal (big money/lower risk) objectives and same reservoir step out wells.

Another big thing for offshore is standardizing equipment like shale...these custom rigs for each project kill companies.

quote:

Is trump helping the oil come back in the gulf?


At the end of the day opening up new areas will only keep options open for producing at lower prices if they are there. From geologists I've worked with before, they say the rock over on the Atlantic coast is garbage. But not enough research has been done to my knowledge. Especially no seismic to any extent has been shot out there. Now Eastern Gulf could be pretty awesome, as Florida is a huge carbonate platform similar to what's in the Permian and the ME.

Prices have to stabilize, which means the stockpiles have to come down and stabilize. The only way that is coming down is if refineries run at over 95% for the summer and most of the fall while the US uses an obscene amount product (gasoline and distillates). Another option is OPEC continues there cuts and US Shale production stalls or drops off (won't happen probably unless pipelines max out transportation capacity.) Realistically, OPEC may extend their cuts, shale will continue to increase. Global supplies will decrease, US supplies will decrease a little over the summer like it normally does.

$50 dollars is here to stay for another year or two unless someone bombs the wrong person.
This post was edited on 5/3/17 at 3:28 pm
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
19535 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:49 pm to
One of my friends started an oil field service company and got everyone who would listen to invest.

This downfall caused him to have a heart attack and die

And all the investors were left screwed when they found out he owed uncle Sam 90K

Posted by nola000
Lacombe, LA
Member since Dec 2014
13139 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

Oil baws, what are you heating about upstream oil? My towns economy pretty much is dependent on it coming back. Is trump helping the oil come back in the gulf?


Sounds like your town needs to diversify. Yall got the peak oil blues?
Posted by PhilipMarlowe
Member since Mar 2013
20600 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Is trump helping the oil come back in the gulf?


putting your hopes in trumpkin has me like ...
Posted by The Midnight Rider
Where the River Empties
Member since May 2015
1576 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

When will oil come back?



Hopefully never.

quote:

Is trump helping the oil come back in the gulf?



He won't do shyte to help it come back, and all of you people that voted for him will still find excuses for having done so I'm sure.
Posted by LSUpetro
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2007
532 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 5:14 pm to
have to admit i secretly wanted Hillary to win, ban fracking, so prices would skyrocket
Posted by SOLA
There
Member since Mar 2014
3361 posts
Posted on 5/16/17 at 6:19 am to
It's gonna be a good while before deep water comes back
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119970 posts
Posted on 5/16/17 at 6:53 am to
Gas is over $2 a gallon, that's plenty high enough for everyone to make a mountain of money.
Posted by hubreb
Member since Nov 2008
1857 posts
Posted on 5/16/17 at 9:43 am to
When the dollar plunges - there is a direct correlation between the strength of the US dollar and Oil / DXY is around 98 at the moment...Crude was at $100 barrel when the DXY was at $80 / so you need lower rates causing the dollar to fall which in turn will cause oil prices to go up
Posted by MadDoggyStyle
Member since Feb 2012
3857 posts
Posted on 5/16/17 at 10:33 am to
The monopoly of OPEC is over. Fracking transformed the industry much like Amazon did to brick and mortar.
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