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re: Major Louisiana Flood Event

Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:13 pm to
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
38881 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:13 pm to
Now it's gotten out of hand.

Posted by Hammertime
Will trade dowsing rod for titties
Member since Jan 2012
43030 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:14 pm to
So I'm supposed to get 12" of rain and it isn't even raining here?
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83695 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:15 pm to
you know there is such a thing as tomorrow and the next day, right?

and Shreveport got 10" from like 3pm to midnight yesterday

so yeah...its possible
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67602 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:16 pm to
with the way people talk about Johnny's on here I am surprised the entire community wasn't out there sand bagging
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
20745 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:17 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19847 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

quote:
How the frick does the NWS miss this forecast by 200 miles? All this rain we were supposed to get in LC ended up in Shreveport. I could understand if it were an hour away or whatnot, but 200 miles?

This is one of NWS's all time busts events here. Thays an understatement.


This has been a very hard system to forecast. The models have really struggled with it and there aren't many analogs for such a highly unusual setup.

Deep tropical moisture is streaming north out of the Gulf resulting in record PWAT across Texas, Louisiana and Arkansas. So one of the main ingredients is in place for extreme rainfall but the triggers have been very hard to get a handle on. Numerous waves of energy have been rotating around the base of the system and kicking out across Texas. Each of these waves of energy sets off rounds of thunderstorms. Forecasting convective evolution is still extremely hard and that is making it hard to nail down who gets the most rain and when.

Trends this morning certainly point to SE Texas and SW Louisiana getting in on the action today


Here is a graphic from NWS Houston touching on why this has been so tricky

Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
38881 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:32 pm to
Caddo back under Flash Flood warning.
Posted by Polar Pop
Member since Feb 2012
10753 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:40 pm to
is that johnnys on barksdale?
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
38881 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:43 pm to
It just said Bossier.
Posted by Polar Pop
Member since Feb 2012
10753 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:44 pm to
Looks like the one in front of Krogers on Barksdale. That whole shady grove area floods like a bitch.
Posted by arn
Member since Nov 2015
562 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:46 pm to


Shreveport getting the shaft
Posted by Polar Pop
Member since Feb 2012
10753 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:48 pm to
This reminds me of the 2009 levee break in Dogwood.
Posted by spslayto
Member since Feb 2004
19758 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Update, 1:20 p.m.: The latest forecast from the National Weather Service increases to amount of rain expected over the next three days in south Louisiana. The forecast now calls for around 10 inches in the New Orleans area and 4-5 inches in the Baton Rouge area.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8349 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 3:01 pm to
Just saw I-49 now has water issues south of shreveport. I-20 has the two spots at least between bossier and ruston closed. Saw a couple of y'all post about traveling through here today/tom.

Edit: sherif says highway 80 also closed near bossier so there isn't an open route through that area. Maybe highway 2 is open further north.
This post was edited on 3/9/16 at 3:09 pm
Posted by Bistineaubengal
Member since Aug 2008
809 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

with the way people talk about Johnny's on here I am surprised the entire community wasn't out there sand bagging


Johnny's? No. Franks? Yes.
This post was edited on 3/9/16 at 3:04 pm
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
68513 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

Looks like the one in front of Krogers on Barksdale. That whole shady grove area floods like a bitch.





Old parkway high school is being used as a shelter for evacuees
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85496 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

10 inches in the New Orleans area and 4-5 inches in the Baton Rouge area.


Pretty safe bet that, BR posters will lambast the NWS for not getting as much rain as NOLA.
Posted by Bistineaubengal
Member since Aug 2008
809 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

This reminds me of the 2009 levee break in Dogwood.


This reminds me of 1991.
Posted by Polar Pop
Member since Feb 2012
10753 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 3:09 pm to
I was still shitting my pants in 91 but I vaugely remember my mom rolling through floodwaters in the Accord to get me from daycare, my dad was overseas.
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
68513 posts
Posted on 3/9/16 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

This reminds me of 1991.





I was in middle school. My dad ran out of gas near ockley/fern. Had to walk, well wade, through ankle deep water.

First and last time he ran out of gas.
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