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Message

re: Low Gas Prices, People don't understand the Problems

Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:56 pm to
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Some ppl just don't understand the problems that low gas prices can cause

Well supposedly there's a shortage of engineers and skilled craft workers looming because of industrial expansions, so the smart ones (that aren't valuable/productive enough to be kept) should start looking to manufacturing and construction industries and away from O&G
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

tend to be the same people

They do?
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:57 pm to
Exactly jake
Posted by chryso
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
12010 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

The flooding of the market with outside oil


It seems to me that with the rise of fracking in the US we are the ones flooding the market.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

natural gas > Oil


yeah i've heard the impact here won't be that hard. sasol is all in still. some of the more minor expansions may be affected

but even if it hurts us like laffy, laffy is based more in the corporate and different portions of the process. petro still needs refining, regardless of the cost of oil. citgo's major refinery is here, and i believe they get most of their oil from venezuela, which is ridiculously cheap.

laffy also does whatever they can to expand/grow in their booms, which make their busts worse. LC is more about slow growth and long-term stability when our main industry is an unstable one.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:58 pm to
sucks for our state budget too...huge shortfall
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:58 pm to
sucks for our state budget too...huge shortfall
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
135220 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Well supposedly there's a shortage of engineers and skilled craft workers looming because of industrial expansions, so the smart ones (that aren't valuable/productive enough to be kept) should start looking to manufacturing and construction industries and away from O&G


Exactly. There's an extreme shortage of skilled labor but these idiots would rather chase fast cash then be out of work for a year rather than having a steady, lower paying job.
Posted by JOHNN
Prairieville
Member since Nov 2008
4363 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

where are they going? They are still pumping oil


The really big companies are still drilling but there are ALOT of the smaller companies having to shut production down bc it just isnt profitable.

Hell there are some companies that cant turn a profit if oil is below 80/barrel. Its not bc they dont know how to manage money but bc they are so low on the totem pole that there are 5 other companies who were subbed out above them for the job they are actually doing.
Posted by CJD4LSU
Ray-Vegas, La
Member since Sep 2006
3505 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:59 pm to
The company I work for has four jobs that are on hold right now.
Posted by lsucoonass
shreveport and east texas
Member since Nov 2003
68527 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 12:59 pm to
I will admit I don't understand the whole problem. Why can't gas just be back to 1.00 like it used to be? For it to go from 1-4 dollars a gallon wasn't good either in such a short time wasn't good either, was it?
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9963 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

They are keeping prices artificially low to squeeze out new exploration.


How are they keeping prices artificially low? By refusing to cut production? Why should they?

In other words your idea of OPEC "keeping prices artificially low" is essentially just SA refusing to keep them artifically high as they have done before with production cuts.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

They are still pumping oil


they have all but pretty much shut down the shelf
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
135220 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

yeah i've heard the impact here won't be that hard. sasol is all in still. some of the more minor expansions may be affected


I'm not so sure. These same products can be produced using oil and current refining facilities. With low oil prices, they may have to seriously scale back operations.
Posted by JOHNN
Prairieville
Member since Nov 2008
4363 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

It seems to me that with the rise of fracking in the US we are the ones flooding the market.


We are. Other countries are pissed that the US has upped their production and isnt buying as much oil as in previous years. So in turn the market is falling bc there is so much oil available. Its now basically a pissing match between the US and other oil producing countries to see who will back down first.
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

Why can't gas just be back to 1.00 like it used to be?

Everything has trade-offs. Cheap energy makes almost everything cheaper, and increases standard of living across the board

Downside: expensive energy yields bigger profits, which means high demand for production labor, which tend to be high-paying jobs even though they require relatively little in the way of education for the pay

So, everyone wins with a price plummet except for some energy companies & their shareholders, and the workers they jettison. This is offset by a small amount for them by more money to spend on other shite. But that means little both for rich equity-holders and unemployed blue-collar types. The much larger remainder of the population benefits unambiguously
This post was edited on 1/5/15 at 1:04 pm
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167886 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

yeah i've heard the impact here won't be that hard. sasol is all in still. some of the more minor expansions may be affected



Someone was telling me yesterday that one of the other proposed LNG deals here is now on very shaky ground because of this. Not sure how accurate that is.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:05 pm to
well the huge projects are natural gas, and they're going to be built eventually. if the big projects pull out they have to go through the regulatory/approval bullshite again and spend tens of millions of dollars, again
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Its now basically a pissing match between the US and other oil producing countries to see who will back down first.


thats why we need a war in the mid east and with Russia
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
135220 posts
Posted on 1/5/15 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

well the huge projects are natural gas, and they're going to be built eventually. if the big projects pull out they have to go through the regulatory/approval bullshite again and spend tens of millions of dollars, again


Eh, they usually work out "for the greater good" type deals with regulatory agencies. When Shaw built their nuclear fab facility down there, they got their massive wetland permit approved in a matter of months. I've seen wetland permits for 0.1 acres sit a the USACE for a year waiting approval. I'm sure existing permits will be easily and cheaply fast-tracked if needed.
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