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Started By
Message
Someone just made a very large wager on Kiffin to be the next HC
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:09 pm
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:09 pm
On Kalshi (I know I know) Kiffin has been the leader at a steady 20-30% chance since the beginning. 5 minutes ago that chance jumped up to 87%.
11
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:13 pm to PP7 for heisman
I assume that any large wager on something like that drastically affects the odds
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:13 pm to PP7 for heisman
These markets are extremely illiquid. It might take only a couple of dollars to move these percentages wildly.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:15 pm to PP7 for heisman
quote:
Someone just made a very large wager on Kiffin to be the next HC
Probably Coach Lane.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:16 pm to RidiculousHype
Yes to both of the responses above. Someone took a no position apparently after I posted this because it's now back down to 48% for Kiffin 
Shouldn't have even brought this to the board. I knew they were volatile but I didn't realize how volatile this one was.
There's a very small overall volume of bets ($341k) so all it probably took was one ~$5k wager on Kiffin to flip things upside down.
Shouldn't have even brought this to the board. I knew they were volatile but I didn't realize how volatile this one was.
There's a very small overall volume of bets ($341k) so all it probably took was one ~$5k wager on Kiffin to flip things upside down.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:20 pm to PP7 for heisman
Saban jumped to 70+% on that website at one point as well. I wouldn’t put any stock into that shite.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:21 pm to PP7 for heisman
For LSU or Florida or for which spot?
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:22 pm to PP7 for heisman
The owner of the gambling site is in on it. This makes others bet thinking they ha e inside info. Then when he dont go to Lsu, the dude gets his money back but everyone else loses their money.
"shite guys , he made a huge bet, he knows something."
Elementary mind tricks.
"shite guys , he made a huge bet, he knows something."
Elementary mind tricks.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:28 pm to sharkfhin
quote:
sharkfhin
Who do you think LSU ends up hiring ?
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:32 pm to Tigersfan3000
quote:To be fair, the timeline of the Saban bump lines up with when I was told something about Saban.
Saban jumped to 70+% on that website at one point as well.
From what I understand Saban was a very very very real possibility but unless you hear some news about admin changes, that ship has sailed.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:34 pm to sharkfhin
quote:I doubt Kalshi is jucing the lines on markets with sub $500k activity lol. There is $26 million on whether or not the government shutdown goes another day. The LSU coaching search market amounts to less than a percentage of a rounding error for them.
The owner of the gambling site is in on it. This makes others bet thinking they ha e inside info. Then when he dont go to Lsu, the dude gets his money back but everyone else loses their money.
"shite guys , he made a huge bet, he knows something."
Elementary mind tricks.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:46 pm to PP7 for heisman
It was LSU. LSU is now paying for smoke screens in addition to coaches not coaching and players playing like crap.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 2:49 pm to PP7 for heisman
quote:
There's a very small overall volume of bets ($341k)
Imagine what kind of degenerate gambler you gotta be to be betting on this kind of shite.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 3:18 pm to GeauxldMember
Haha I do it. It’s a pretty easy 10% per week gain to your portfolio.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 3:28 pm to PP7 for heisman
Kalshi still has Kiffin favored to florida
Posted on 11/10/25 at 4:04 pm to PP7 for heisman
It’s always been Kiffin.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 4:08 pm to PP7 for heisman
quote:
From what I understand Saban was a very very very real possibility but unless you hear some news about admin changes, that ship has sailed.
I mean, we went and hired Dalton from Bama as our Chancellor.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 6:03 pm to PP7 for heisman
Someone on this site trying to wish this into happening
Posted on 11/10/25 at 6:10 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
Haha I do it. It’s a pretty easy 10% per week gain to your portfolio.
What's an easy 10% per week?
What are you betting on every week?
Posted on 11/10/25 at 6:17 pm to Chalkywhite84
I had Saban NO shares I got at 71 cents over the weekend and sold them at 90 cents this morning. I now have Kiffin NO shares at a 53 cent average. I have some lotto tickets on YES shares on Sheppard, Golesh, Stein, and Brady at 2 cents.
Beyond the LSU coach markets, I trade the SpaceX launch markets and some college football games. Most times the underdogs in SEC games are a good bet at least in the first half to get a quick 20-30% on your money.
Beyond the LSU coach markets, I trade the SpaceX launch markets and some college football games. Most times the underdogs in SEC games are a good bet at least in the first half to get a quick 20-30% on your money.
This post was edited on 11/10/25 at 6:20 pm
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