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I’m trying to figure out the betting line with LSU +3
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:37 pm
I’ve been betting since back in the crappy 90’s. I have learned one thing during my time…you never beat on the Tigers or against.
I do know how books work but damn why are they begging you to bet A&M!
Is something afoot? Smells like a fishy line. I’m thinking it should be near double digits.
I doubt BK even knows how to prepare this horrible O-Line or how to stop Reed!
I do know how books work but damn why are they begging you to bet A&M!
Is something afoot? Smells like a fishy line. I’m thinking it should be near double digits.
I doubt BK even knows how to prepare this horrible O-Line or how to stop Reed!
14
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:39 pm to firstandtiger
quote:
I have learned one thing during my time…you never beat on the Tigers or against.
One thing I’ve learned in my time betting is literally every fan says this about their own team (with the exception of maybe Bama)
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:39 pm to firstandtiger
Tiger Stadium at night is the only reason Aggy isn't at least a TD favorite. Weird shite happens in that place.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:46 pm to firstandtiger
Because the books know that A&M will inevitably crash and burn like they've done every season for the past 15 or so years
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:46 pm to firstandtiger
quote:
how to stop Reed
LSU hasn’t been able to stop any running qbs yet. Expect nothing to change.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:50 pm to firstandtiger
Take A&M first half -0.5
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:53 pm to how333
quote:
Take A&M first half -0.5
I don’t think this is a bad play at all.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:53 pm to firstandtiger
quote:
I doubt BK even knows how to prepare this horrible O-Line or how to stop Reed!
Yeah no shite.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:54 pm to Corner Pocket
quote:all the books care about is trying to get equal money on both sides of the bet, and they pocket the vig. That's all.
Because the books know that A&M will inevitably crash and burn like they've done every season for the past 15 or so years
Posted on 10/21/25 at 12:58 pm to firstandtiger
A&M is on the road, weather may play a role, and it’s had a lot of close battles.
And as bad as LSU has played, it’s still one of the most talented teams in the country. It has the potential to beat anyone. So I don’t think it’s a bad line or sucker bet by any means.
And as bad as LSU has played, it’s still one of the most talented teams in the country. It has the potential to beat anyone. So I don’t think it’s a bad line or sucker bet by any means.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:03 pm to Corner Pocket
I think the books realize that A&M probably isn’t the 3rd best team in the country and is a product of their weak SEC schedule. That and playing at night at LSU is the reason this line smells fishy. They are begging you to take A&M imo
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:05 pm to firstandtiger
quote:
I’m trying to figure out the betting line with LSU +3
Any other CFB game and I would have already bet this because I feel like they are begging you to take A&M. The line makes no sense.
But because I'm an LSU fan and have zero faith in BK to fix these issues, theres no shot I'm betting it.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:07 pm to firstandtiger
Easy… lsu at home, make people really hammer A&M, lsu wins.
I personally believe with everyone hating on lsu (rightfully so) it’s a prime spot to take the tigers and the points.
I personally believe with everyone hating on lsu (rightfully so) it’s a prime spot to take the tigers and the points.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:08 pm to firstandtiger
Four things working for LSU:
1. A&M has played an extremely easy schedule. First three SEC games were at home and against Auburn, Miss State, and Florida. They then went on the road to Arkansas.
2. They’re playing back to back road SEC games. I don’t remember the win percentage for teams playing back to back road games but it isn’t good. LSU was in the same scenario last year when we played at A&M
3. Death Valley at night is magical.
4. They are a homosexual cult.
LSU wins this game somehow
1. A&M has played an extremely easy schedule. First three SEC games were at home and against Auburn, Miss State, and Florida. They then went on the road to Arkansas.
2. They’re playing back to back road SEC games. I don’t remember the win percentage for teams playing back to back road games but it isn’t good. LSU was in the same scenario last year when we played at A&M
3. Death Valley at night is magical.
4. They are a homosexual cult.
LSU wins this game somehow
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:09 pm to how333
quote:
Take A&M first half -0.5
Seems like easy money given how slow BK's LSU teams have started.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:09 pm to grizzlylongcut
I agree!
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:51 pm to firstandtiger
Like the sharps on Vandy last week, they tend to know something the general public doesn’t.
Right now, I see about 75% of the bets are on A&M, and 75% of the money is on A&M. Pretty even with no major standout in heavy money yet.
Vegas puts the line out for a reason. This to me is more of a fade A&M. Probably won’t touch it because I can see it going either way.
Right now, I see about 75% of the bets are on A&M, and 75% of the money is on A&M. Pretty even with no major standout in heavy money yet.
Vegas puts the line out for a reason. This to me is more of a fade A&M. Probably won’t touch it because I can see it going either way.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 1:56 pm to burreauxsballz
Took Vandy and the over. Didn’t bother me at all, But this at home, at night, backed into a corner, leaning Tigers. Have seen this played out many , many times. Just when you think stick a fork, shite happens. Line will go up.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:13 pm to firstandtiger
quote:
I’m thinking it should be near double digits.
nope. night game at home. will most likely be another close game. win or lose.
Posted on 10/21/25 at 2:14 pm to firstandtiger
If the opposing team has a true dual threat QB on a decent team I’m betting on them 100% of the time until proven otherwise
Hell if Sellers had anybody to throw to we probably lose that game too
Hell if Sellers had anybody to throw to we probably lose that game too
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