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Lottery - Pels draft odds at each spot

Posted on 5/12/25 at 10:53 am
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
6688 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 10:53 am
Here are New Orleans’ odds for each potential first-round pick in the 2025 lottery, which will take place Monday in Chicago at 6 p.m. Central:

No. 1 pick: 12.5 percent
No. 2 pick: 12.2 percent
No. 3 pick: 11.9 percent
No. 4 pick: 11.5 percent
No. 5 pick: 7.2 percent
No. 6 pick: 25.7 percent
No. 7 pick: 16.8 percent
No. 8 pick: 2.2 percent


Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
124102 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 10:54 am to
I hate these new lotto odds so much. 4th worst record but by far the best chance of picking 6th or 7th
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
172396 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 10:54 am to
quote:

No. 6 pick: 25.7 percent
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
24266 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:00 am to
quote:

I hate these new lotto odds so much. 4th worst record but by far the best chance of picking 6th or 7th



Thats not how cumulative odds work.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
124102 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:01 am to
Ok, you are right, but the best odds for a singular spot are the highest at 6th or 7th. That's what I was trying to imply but did a poor job
Posted by AOC4PREZ2028
Member since Apr 2025
79 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:12 am to
48.5% chance of landing in the top 4. Its not that complicated.
Posted by SportsGuyNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since May 2014
20093 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:14 am to
quote:

I hate these new lotto odds so much. 4th worst record but by far the best chance of picking 6th or 7th


This idiotic franchise doesn’t even know how to tank correctly
Posted by Galactic Inquisitor
An Incredibly Distant Star
Member since Dec 2013
17540 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:16 am to
quote:

48.5% chance of landing in the top 4. Its not that complicated.


44.7% chance we fall out of the top 5.
Posted by WaltWhite504
Member since Sep 2021
1922 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:31 am to
quote:

44.7% chance we fall out of the top 5.


40% chance Zion breaks the chair at the lotto and will be evaluated in two weeks.

Posted by Geauxldilocks
Member since Aug 2018
4124 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:33 am to
quote:

hate these new lotto odds so much. 4th worst record but by far the best chance of picking 6th or 7th


Basically it’s 50% 1-4, and 50% 5-8 where it should be.

I’m tired of the top 3 picks as history shows they’ll quit on us or not even begin to try to be a professional.
Posted by Bottom9
Arsenal Til I Die
Member since Jul 2010
23981 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:39 am to
I will fricking cry if we got Cooper Flagg. We need the Maine Event in the Blender
Posted by WaltWhite504
Member since Sep 2021
1922 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

I’m tired of the top 3 picks as history shows they’ll quit on us or not even begin to try to be a professional.


If history is showing Chet Holmgren (#2 2022) or Anthony Edwards (#1 2020) to be unprofessional quitters - sign me up.

Like any draft - its a dice roll. There are winners and losers. A top three can change your franchise or not, but saying you don't want to even take a chance is foolish.
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
38544 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

No. 6 pick: 25.7 percent


Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
29465 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 1:27 pm to
Hopefully we get more 1st round studs like Jaxson Hayes, NAW and Kira Lewis.
Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
7153 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:28 pm to
Well that all but seals it. We have zero luck so naturally we will have the 6th or 7th pick which won’t be worth much in trade. Yay.
Posted by jamal
Places Unknown
Member since Jan 2013
12072 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:59 pm to
Anybody have a live stream link?
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
6688 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 6:02 pm to
They just show all the transcendent lottery winners - a bunch of champs, league MVPs, perennial all-stars, and Zion….
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21841 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

We have zero luck


Lol...we've won the lottery twice in the last 12 years with pretty long odds.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
20015 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 6:42 pm to
Yep and he’s 7 another wasted pick
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