- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
A reality check on this stock market decline
Posted on 3/13/25 at 11:37 am
Posted on 3/13/25 at 11:37 am
Everyone needs to calm down, the media is very good at getting everyone upset. A simple Chat GPT inquiry shows that market corrections happen ALL THE TIME!
We are today at the level of September 12, 2024, a date where everyone was ecstatic about the market returns and would have not have been surprised at that time if there were a correction. Instead, the market went up another 12% before now correcting.
This is all normal…
The time to worry is when we go into a Bear Market of -20% to -40% and does not recover for several years. Bear markets are caused by prolonged recessions, a crisis event such as the 2008 financial crisis or a significant geopolitical event.
We are not in a crisis event, this is a normal correction to a market that advanced too rapidly.
Year Peak Date Trough Date Decline (%)
2010 Apr 23 Jul 2 -16.0%
2011 Apr 29 Oct 3 -19.4%
2015 May 21 Aug 25 -12.4%
2016 Nov 3 Feb 11 -13.3%
2018 Jan 26 Feb 8 -10.2%
2018 Sep 20 Dec 24 -19.8%
2020 Feb 19 Mar 23 -33.9% (COVID-19 Crash)
2022 Jan 3 Oct 12 -25.4% (Bear Market)
2023 Jul 27 Oct 27 -10.3%
We are today at the level of September 12, 2024, a date where everyone was ecstatic about the market returns and would have not have been surprised at that time if there were a correction. Instead, the market went up another 12% before now correcting.
This is all normal…
The time to worry is when we go into a Bear Market of -20% to -40% and does not recover for several years. Bear markets are caused by prolonged recessions, a crisis event such as the 2008 financial crisis or a significant geopolitical event.
We are not in a crisis event, this is a normal correction to a market that advanced too rapidly.
Year Peak Date Trough Date Decline (%)
2010 Apr 23 Jul 2 -16.0%
2011 Apr 29 Oct 3 -19.4%
2015 May 21 Aug 25 -12.4%
2016 Nov 3 Feb 11 -13.3%
2018 Jan 26 Feb 8 -10.2%
2018 Sep 20 Dec 24 -19.8%
2020 Feb 19 Mar 23 -33.9% (COVID-19 Crash)
2022 Jan 3 Oct 12 -25.4% (Bear Market)
2023 Jul 27 Oct 27 -10.3%
This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 11:46 am
9
Posted on 3/13/25 at 11:45 am to Skippy1013
I think the gripe I have is that it didn’t have to be this way. This was forced and that’s what’s frustrating
Posted on 3/13/25 at 11:52 am to fareplay
i agree. I would dump as much as I had if i had it. These are bargain prices.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 11:54 am to Skippy1013
Trump could have come in and sat on an economy and stock market that was humming along, instead he’s tanked it 10+% in 4 weeks.
Such a great business man (con-man)he is.
Such a great business man (con-man)he is.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 12:19 pm to dallastiger55
quote:
These are bargain prices.
By what measure? Certainly not P/E
I dont think sky is falling either, we are just back to prices from past Fall. Was that also a bargain? That's why I dont sit on sideline waiting.
This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 12:21 pm
Posted on 3/13/25 at 12:39 pm to Bonkers119
quote:
Trump could have come in and sat on an economy and stock market that was humming along
Yep, whistling past the graveyard is always a sound strategy.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 12:50 pm to Skippy1013
I'm consistently buying every day its down 
Have some cash on the side and 20yrs from needing the money, so let the decline continue.
Have some cash on the side and 20yrs from needing the money, so let the decline continue.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 12:50 pm to TorchtheFlyingTiger
quote:
By what measure? Certainly not P/E
Yeah, even after this correction stocks are still overvalued based on average historical valuations.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 1:03 pm to Bonkers119
quote:yeah it's all Trumps fault for the correction
instead he’s tanked it 10+% in 4 weeks.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 1:08 pm to Skippy1013
This is normal..? yes you have declines based on domestics and global economics or events..yes you have pullbacks..
No this is not any of those as op said
“this I think the gripe I have is that it didn’t have to be this way. This was forced and that’s what’s “
This is due to one bonehead..
Posted on 3/13/25 at 1:14 pm to SuperSaint
I don’t know if sarcasm but if he spent all day golfing this would never have happened
Posted on 3/13/25 at 1:25 pm to Lsut81
quote:
I'm consistently buying every day its down Have some cash on the side and 20yrs from needing the money, so let the decline continue.
Why are you buying everyday if you think the decline will continue? Typically I don’t buy things today if I think I can get a better price tomorrow.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 2:45 pm to Bonkers119
quote:
Trump could have come in and sat on an economy and stock market that was humming along, instead he’s tanked it 10+% in 4 weeks.
Such a great business man (con-man)he is.
This post is the very embodiment of quarterly profit over long term thinking, the favorite whipping boy topic of comparing American companies to all others around the world.
We are 30 years past due for a trade reset with the rest of the world. It is also a decade past time for Canada and Mexico to do a better job with border control and drug issues. This is short term pain for long term gain.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:11 pm to Skippy1013
quote:
A simple Chat GPT inquiry shows that market corrections happen ALL THE TIME!
Chat GPT is where you go for financial reassurance? And idiots in thise forum are criticitzing "Boomers" for their investing stategy.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:45 pm to Bonkers119
quote:
Such a great business man (con-man)he is
Lighten up Francis.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 3:54 pm to LSU82BILL
AI responses next year are going to be wild. Chatbots just need a chance to scrape the internet for all the newfound AI responses everyone now shares on social media.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 4:06 pm to Skippy1013
quote:
We are 30 years past due for a trade reset with the rest of the world. It is also a decade past time for Canada and Mexico to do a better job with border control and drug issues. This is short term pain for long term gain.
All true and I'd call the beginning of a tariff war a crisis event if that's what this is.
Posted on 3/13/25 at 5:17 pm to PetroBabich
Fwiw I think the European index is up 8 percent for the year?
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:12 pm to Skippy1013
quote:All I know is it sure was a whole lot more fun getting into this mess than it is getting out of it...
Everyone needs to calm down, the media is very good at getting everyone upset. A simple Chat GPT inquiry shows that market corrections happen ALL THE TIME!
Posted on 3/13/25 at 6:30 pm to Thecoz
Vanguard European index is up over 12%
VTIAX is up 6.6%. Only took 15 fricking years
I'm not bitter! Who's laughing now!
VTIAX is up 6.6%. Only took 15 fricking years
I'm not bitter! Who's laughing now!
This post was edited on 3/13/25 at 6:32 pm
Page 1 of 3
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News