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Allan Lichtman says the electorate failed, NOT his "13 Keys"

Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:15 am
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
100500 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:15 am
I don't agree with Eric Daightery's headline here. Lichtman clearly blames the voters

This post was edited on 11/10/24 at 10:17 am
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
21988 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:16 am to
What a fricking idiot

He didn’t analyze his own keys correctly
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
77044 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:16 am to
It failed because he is completely out of touch like most Progs.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:16 am to
You’d figure with how much these idiots say misinformation they’d remove all the fiction books from their liberal libraries.
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
13366 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:17 am to
lol this dude is such a fricking loser
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76536 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:17 am to
It failed because he is suffering such an extreme case of TDS that he is unable to apply them honestly.
Posted by International_Aggie
Member since Oct 2012
1990 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:17 am to
quote:

Allan Lichtman


Licht my balls.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
100500 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:18 am to
Yah the irony is that his bullshite scam would still be in tact if not for his TDS-fueled dishonesty
Posted by Broadside Bob
Atlanta, GA
Member since Dec 2012
1615 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:18 am to
Good grief, for a man who claims to be smart, this guy is stubborn and stupid. I really don't care that he's a liberal, but when he refuses to see that his interpretation of his impartial model was skewed by his own partisanship, that's a problem.

I really don't think his model failed, just his interpretation.
Posted by Great Plains Drifter
Flyover, U.S.A.
Member since Jul 2019
8662 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:19 am to
Progressive arrogance example right there.

It’s not him, it’s literally everyone else, lol.

Smh.
Posted by GoldenGuy
Member since Oct 2015
12733 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:20 am to
His 13 keys were right!

He horribly misinterpreted them

ETA:

# Name Description[18]
1 Party mandate After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2 No primary contest There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3 Incumbent seeking re-election The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4 No third party There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5 Strong short-term economy The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6 Strong long-term economy Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7 Major policy change The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8 No social unrest There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9 No scandal The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10 No foreign or military failure The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11 Major foreign or military success The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12 Charismatic incumbent The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13 Uncharismatic challenger The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

His guide was that Dems had 2, 4-9, 11 and 13.

Most would say they obviously don’t have 5-7, 9, 11, or 13.
This post was edited on 11/10/24 at 11:00 am
Posted by Chrome
Chromeville
Member since Nov 2007
12610 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:20 am to
I actually wonder if any of their talking heads just simply fessed up, "Hey I was completely wrong, it's my fault". Just wondering.
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
85220 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:21 am to
Lolololololololol
That could be SFP’s dad.
Posted by thebigmuffaletta
Member since Aug 2017
15431 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:21 am to
quote:

pragmatic" "We've seen the explosion of some trends [...] Disinformation, Elon Musk..."


He’s right, disinformation cost her the election.

“Suxkers and losers” hoax

“Trump is going to enact a national abortion ban”

“Trump held a Nazi rally at Madison Square Garden”
This post was edited on 11/10/24 at 10:22 am
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
19367 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:22 am to
He applied his own keys incorrectly. He gave the advantage to Kamala on some of the keys when she did not have the advantage.
Posted by RAB
Member since Aug 2019
1597 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:22 am to
They are definitely still in the denial phase.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112307 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:22 am to
:PrincipalSkinner:
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79039 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:29 am to
No model is going to be right 100% of the time and Trump is one of a kind.
Posted by Major Dutch Schaefer
Location: Classified
Member since Nov 2011
38130 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:33 am to
Reason he says it failed:

1. Elon Musk spreading disinformation

2. Racism, misogyny and xenophobia
This post was edited on 11/10/24 at 10:35 am
Posted by Screaming Viking
Member since Jul 2013
5598 posts
Posted on 11/10/24 at 10:49 am to
What an arrogant prick. “…my keys depend upon a rational electorate…”

Sorry, but I thought he was an “expert” in reading the electorate? And, thus, he failed miserably. However, as it turns out, we have all gotten dumber in the last 4 years. You know, when we were smart and voted for his preferred candidate.

he also does not realize that we notice the dead animal on his head
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