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Started By
Message
DecisionDeskHQ - Trump has a 54% chance of winning
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:55 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:55 am
15
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:55 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:55 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:55 am to TDsngumbo
Michael Pruser doing work!
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:56 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:56 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:57 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:57 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
54% chance
1.17:1
Barely better than a coin flip.
How does that make any of you so ultra-confident?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:58 am to Big Scrub TX
I think it's a good sign because the ddhq has had harris for the whole process I belive
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:59 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:01 pm to lsufan0582
quote:I was clicking around that site and on Nov 3rd at 9:24p it had Trump at 60.6% chance.
I think it's a good sign because the ddhq has had harris for the whole process I belive
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:01 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
How does that make any of you so ultra-confident?
Most people believe either the polls are about right or they’ve underestimated Trump for the third time. So to them, at worst it’s a coin flip and at best Trump’s a big favorite.
What most aren’t considering, but I have because I’m such a smarty pants, is that it is possible the polls have overestimated Trump this time. I think the polls overestimating Trump is just as likely as them underestimating him, so to me, it truly is close to a coin flip with a slight edge to Trump.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:02 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
1.17:1
Barely better than a coin flip.
How does that make any of you so ultra-confident
Because in every other Trump election he had a very low probability to win.
Clinton 92%
Trump 8% comes to mind.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:02 pm to TDsngumbo
You have to love the trend on that graph for the last three weeks. No matter what actually happens, Trump could not have hoped for a better close to the campaign leading up to election day.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:03 pm to TDsngumbo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:26 pm to Jon Ham
quote:Well said
Most people believe either the polls are about right or they’ve underestimated Trump for the third time. So to them, at worst it’s a coin flip and at best Trump’s a big favorite.
What most aren’t considering, but I have because I’m such a smarty pants, is that it is possible the polls have overestimated Trump this time. I think the polls overestimating Trump is just as likely as them underestimating him, so to me, it truly is close to a coin flip with a slight edge to Trump.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:35 pm to Bunyan
The funniest thing about this meme is its accuracy. 2024 - get a lead and keep it. Harris gets the “found ballot” dumps, but still stays flat.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:36 pm to TDsngumbo
But all the democrats haven't gotten off work yet. 
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:37 pm to TDsngumbo
So 90% chance
What's gay Nate have to say about it?
What's gay Nate have to say about it?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:38 pm to TDsngumbo
Is this a reliable company?
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