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Wisconsin flipped to Harris on Polymarket last night

Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:55 am
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29667 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:55 am



Trump still in the lead in PA, 57-43.
Harris leading MI 56-45.

For those who think Trump is making a play for VA, it’s 86-16 Harris.
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Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
18655 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:57 am to Jon Ham
What is informing the betting? Can’t be polling. Those changes are hourly.

TDS infected gamblers?
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 6:58 am
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Posted by REBEL5 AC
Member since Sep 2012
17100 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:59 am to BobBoucher
Trump was like -1600 in live betting during the election last year.
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Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29667 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:00 am to BobBoucher
quote:
What is informing the betting? Can’t be polling.


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Posted by Sweep Da Leg
Member since Sep 2013
2859 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:01 am to Jon Ham
CNN +6 is a joke and done on purpose to skew the averages. Trump is kicking arse there only behind Pennsylvania
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Posted by Great Plains Drifter
Flyover, U.S.A.
Member since Jul 2019
9604 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:02 am to Jon Ham
The differences are pretty stark and I can’t imagine too many Americans by this point that still remain so undecided they can flip back and forth depending on which way their eggs are scrambled.

Who are these people and do they generally suffer brain-lock trying to order from a restaurant menu?
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 7:04 am
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Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25679 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:02 am to Jon Ham
CNN- +6.
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Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
31659 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:02 am to Jon Ham
Nothing nefarious about the Cuck New Network with a +6 for Harris. +6 do they think it’s Illinois?
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Posted by Perfect Circle
S W Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
7857 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:02 am to Jon Ham
Trump will lose Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. The Democratic regimes in these states, and the apparatus for election irregularities were never removed.
I don't understand this board's confidence on Trump winning.
The governors of these states will come through for their Globalists overlords and they will be richly rewarded.
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Posted by JumpingTheShark
America
Member since Nov 2012
24808 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:06 am to BobBoucher
I’m guessing early voting numbers at this point
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Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29667 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:06 am to TDTOM
Throw out Harris’ best poll of +6 and Trump’s best poll of +2. The average after that is even. Then look at the 3 most recent polls to see if there’s a trend - tie, tie, Harris +2.

If these polls are underestimating Trump like they’ve done before then he’s in great shape. If not, the race is a coin toss.
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Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14637 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:08 am to Jon Ham
All betting sides put the house/money in the middle. It doesn’t mean they predict one way or the other. It just means that more money recently had gone to Harris winning WI.

Also since WI was favored for Trump in predictit. Her winning came with better returns on you money.

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Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
28408 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:09 am to BobBoucher
quote:
What is informing the betting? Can’t be polling. Those changes are hourly.



I assume the line moves based on betting volume just like in sports. The last thing the house wants is to take a side. They only want the vig. So if all the money is going to one side the line moves to encourage betting on the other side.
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Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
176620 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:39 am to Jon Ham
Garbage CNN poll then Marist dropped some hilariously shitty polls with Kamala +20 with Indys and tied with the White vote.
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Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
13460 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:41 am to Jon Ham
quote:
on Polymarket


Doesn’t mean shite. Didn’t mean shite when it had Trump up.
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Posted by Blast and Laugh
Texas
Member since Feb 2005
2171 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:41 am to The Boat
This race has been over since Oct 21. Trump with 306-312 ECV.
Replyreplies0...
Posted by geauxkoo
Member since Oct 2021
1637 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:44 am to Perfect Circle
Would you like to place a friendly wager??

Trump will win at least one of the states you just listed. That's all he needs to win the election.

If I lose, I will donate $1000.00 to the charity of your choosing, and the opposite if you lose.
Replyreplies0...
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
18948 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:44 am to Jon Ham
Like clockwork.
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Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
142841 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:45 am to Jon Ham
quote:
by Jon Ham


Oh look. DU poster and Ron Bot leader is pulling for Harris.
Replyreplies0...
Posted by Bottom9
Arsenal Til I Die
Member since Jul 2010
24892 posts
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:47 am to Jon Ham
It is gonna be really funny laughing at CNN when Trump overperforms there by 7 points.

They will lose their last shred of credibility
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