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Started By
Message
Wisconsin flipped to Harris on Polymarket last night
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:55 am
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:55 am
Trump still in the lead in PA, 57-43.
Harris leading MI 56-45.
For those who think Trump is making a play for VA, it’s 86-16 Harris.
20
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:57 am to Jon Ham
What is informing the betting? Can’t be polling. Those changes are hourly.
TDS infected gamblers?
TDS infected gamblers?
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 6:58 am
Posted on 11/1/24 at 6:59 am to BobBoucher
Trump was like -1600 in live betting during the election last year.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:00 am to BobBoucher
quote:
What is informing the betting? Can’t be polling.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:01 am to Jon Ham
CNN +6 is a joke and done on purpose to skew the averages. Trump is kicking arse there only behind Pennsylvania
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:02 am to Jon Ham
The differences are pretty stark and I can’t imagine too many Americans by this point that still remain so undecided they can flip back and forth depending on which way their eggs are scrambled.
Who are these people and do they generally suffer brain-lock trying to order from a restaurant menu?
Who are these people and do they generally suffer brain-lock trying to order from a restaurant menu?
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 7:04 am
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:02 am to Jon Ham
Nothing nefarious about the Cuck New Network with a +6 for Harris. +6 
do they think it’s Illinois?
do they think it’s Illinois?
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:02 am to Jon Ham
Trump will lose Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. The Democratic regimes in these states, and the apparatus for election irregularities were never removed.
I don't understand this board's confidence on Trump winning.
The governors of these states will come through for their Globalists overlords and they will be richly rewarded.
I don't understand this board's confidence on Trump winning.
The governors of these states will come through for their Globalists overlords and they will be richly rewarded.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:06 am to BobBoucher
I’m guessing early voting numbers at this point
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:06 am to TDTOM
Throw out Harris’ best poll of +6 and Trump’s best poll of +2. The average after that is even. Then look at the 3 most recent polls to see if there’s a trend - tie, tie, Harris +2.
If these polls are underestimating Trump like they’ve done before then he’s in great shape. If not, the race is a coin toss.
If these polls are underestimating Trump like they’ve done before then he’s in great shape. If not, the race is a coin toss.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:08 am to Jon Ham
All betting sides put the house/money in the middle. It doesn’t mean they predict one way or the other. It just means that more money recently had gone to Harris winning WI.
Also since WI was favored for Trump in predictit. Her winning came with better returns on you money.
Also since WI was favored for Trump in predictit. Her winning came with better returns on you money.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:09 am to BobBoucher
quote:
What is informing the betting? Can’t be polling. Those changes are hourly.
I assume the line moves based on betting volume just like in sports. The last thing the house wants is to take a side. They only want the vig. So if all the money is going to one side the line moves to encourage betting on the other side.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:39 am to Jon Ham
Garbage CNN poll then Marist dropped some hilariously shitty polls with Kamala +20 with Indys and tied with the White vote.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:41 am to Jon Ham
quote:
on Polymarket
Doesn’t mean shite. Didn’t mean shite when it had Trump up.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:41 am to The Boat
This race has been over since Oct 21. Trump with 306-312 ECV.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:44 am to Perfect Circle
Would you like to place a friendly wager??
Trump will win at least one of the states you just listed. That's all he needs to win the election.
If I lose, I will donate $1000.00 to the charity of your choosing, and the opposite if you lose.
Trump will win at least one of the states you just listed. That's all he needs to win the election.
If I lose, I will donate $1000.00 to the charity of your choosing, and the opposite if you lose.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:44 am to Jon Ham
Like clockwork.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:45 am to Jon Ham
quote:
by Jon Ham
Oh look. DU poster and Ron Bot leader is pulling for Harris.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 7:47 am to Jon Ham
It is gonna be really funny laughing at CNN when Trump overperforms there by 7 points.
They will lose their last shred of credibility
They will lose their last shred of credibility
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