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Milton, most sensationalized Hurricane ever?
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:58 pm
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:58 pm
I never once understood the nature of the reporting on this storm given the data that existed.
The scientists had both path and intensity pretty much pegged.
It did power up quickly, but the conditions were always working against it and media still tried selling a doomsday narrative
Stout Cat 2, next
The scientists had both path and intensity pretty much pegged.
It did power up quickly, but the conditions were always working against it and media still tried selling a doomsday narrative
Stout Cat 2, next
31
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:01 pm to white beans
Given the fact that we cant control or predict with certainty (sorry poli board) where hurricanes are going, it's better than the alternative of "yeah this thing is going to weaken 4 hours before landfall, youre good to go about normal business" and then 1000 people die.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:01 pm to white beans
Not for those affected.
This post was edited on 10/10/24 at 1:02 pm
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:01 pm to white beans
I think if it went a little north or directly at Tampa like it was originally predicted to do, it was the surge that was the main worry. The track more than anything kept it from being as bad as it could have been.
This post was edited on 10/10/24 at 1:04 pm
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:02 pm to white beans
Maybe click/view driven media did this, but the NHC/pros didn't.
They all said it will bomb out in the Gulf and then expected it to decline ahead of landfall. Which is exactly what happened. I can't fault FL/NHC/etc. for being very very cautious with the idea that a Cat 5 monster would fall apart within 24 hours or so of hitting very populated stretches of FL.
They all said it will bomb out in the Gulf and then expected it to decline ahead of landfall. Which is exactly what happened. I can't fault FL/NHC/etc. for being very very cautious with the idea that a Cat 5 monster would fall apart within 24 hours or so of hitting very populated stretches of FL.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:03 pm to white beans
quote:
t did power up quickly
The media sucks but at the same time some people probably need that. No one could say with certainty it was going to lose all of that power and you need to get out of it's way
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:03 pm to white beans
yeah dude
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:04 pm to Funky Tide 8
do you not realize that if that thing had held together how devastating it would have been
the people in the path of that storm got very very very lucky
the people in the path of that storm got very very very lucky
This post was edited on 10/10/24 at 2:49 pm
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:05 pm to white beans
You’re an idiot. It was a strong cat 3 at landfall. You’ve never been thorough a cat 3 storm that’s almost certain. Very few have
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:05 pm to white beans
Any word on Lieutenant Dan?
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:07 pm to white beans
I'm down voting just because I had no idea that many tornadoes could spawn in a matter of 8 hours from a hurricane. Wasn't expecting a bad day weather wise yesterday on the East Coast of FL but it was like I was living in North Texas or Oklahoma in April/May.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:10 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
They all said it will bomb out in the Gulf and then expected it to decline ahead of landfall. Which is exactly what happened. I can't fault FL/NHC/etc. for being very very cautious with the idea that a Cat 5 monster would fall apart within 24 hours or so of hitting very populated stretches of FL.
Exactly.
What if they are wrong, and it doesn't? They know it was going to blow up. Better to be safe and give ample warning
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:10 pm to white beans
quote:
The scientists had both path and intensity pretty much pegged.
There was always multiple scenarios that could have occurred (such as hitting Tampa head on) due to late shifts. It's why they project a "cone" and not just a single dot on the map of where it will potentially make landfall.
Suggesting that because it shifted some and dropped some in intensity before it made landfall that it was the "most sensationalized" is just stupid when you consider the variable that predicting the exact location of a hurricane landfall can only be so precise.
This post was edited on 10/10/24 at 1:11 pm
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:13 pm to Bucktail1
Show me where sustained winds on land were measured in excess of 110mph.
It was a strong cat 2, still quite bad but NOT a leveler. It was never going to be a leveler.
Are you all really on board with fake news around these things?
It was a strong cat 2, still quite bad but NOT a leveler. It was never going to be a leveler.
Are you all really on board with fake news around these things?
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:14 pm to white beans
Are you really this fricking dense?
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:14 pm to CuseTiger
quote:
I'm down voting just because I had no idea that many tornadoes could spawn in a matter of 8 hours from a hurricane.
The twisters alone are enough not to play the "wasn't that bad" game.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:15 pm to Bucktail1
Does Katrina count to you?
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:15 pm to white beans
quote:
Show me where sustained winds on land were measured in excess of 110mph.
quote:
Hurricane Milton made landfall Wednesday night as a "dangerous Category 3" storm near Siesta Key, on Florida's central west coast, the National Hurricane Center said. Siesta Key is a barrier island located just south of Sarasota. Milton had sustained winds of 120 mph at landfall, but its strength diminished to Category 1 as it moved inland across the state.
CBS Article 2 hours ago
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:17 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
What if they are wrong, and it doesn't? They know it was going to blow up. Better to be safe and give ample warning
I just think it's hard to see them ever having enough faith the models to tell folks that high alert probably isn't needed because the 175MPH megastore is going to fall apart 30 hours from now right before it gets to a densely populated area.
I do think some progress could be made on the wind accuracy - Boat and Duke were both calling this a Cat 2 ahead of landfall and thought the wind ratings from NHC were clearly exaggerated (which was more or less confirmed by the landfall measurements/damage). That's an area where perhaps prognostication can be tightened up - I can't really remember a storm that came in with recorded winds particularly close to the max sustained estimate - and most often they're well below.
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:17 pm to white beans
quote:
Milton, most sensationalized Hurricane ever?
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