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Which active players will hit 500+ HRs by the time they retire. Here’s the Top 10

Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:17 pm
Posted by ZZTIGERS
Member since Dec 2007
17370 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:17 pm
*Age in parentheses

Stanton-421(34)
Goldschmidt-358(36)
Freeman-338(34)
Arenado-336(33)
Harper-332(31)
Machado-331(32)
JD Martinez-327(36)
Carlos Santana-316(38)
McCutchen-313(37)
Judge-298(32)
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
107515 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:27 pm to

Arendado
Harper
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
18668 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:27 pm to
Staton if he can stay healthy enough to play might.
Harper
Machado
Judge also if he can stay healthy.
Posted by West Palm Tiger561
Palm Beach County
Member since Dec 2018
1733 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:34 pm to
No way Stanton doesn't reach 500. He hits 20 every year playing 60 games.
Posted by littleavery1948
Member since Oct 2014
5459 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:37 pm to
Judge is at 299. >600 if he stays healthy
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
36406 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

Judge is at 299. >600 if he stays healthy


Considering his age I shudder to think about how much HGH it will take to have him hit 600 and stay healthy
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
12832 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 10:56 pm to
Arenado hasn’t hit a ton this year.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
51340 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 11:07 pm to
Harper seems like the only one imo
Posted by A Menace to Sobriety
Member since Jun 2018
32094 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 11:19 pm to
I'll say Stanton, Harper, and Judge do.
Posted by Clark14
Earth
Member since Dec 2014
26156 posts
Posted on 8/11/24 at 11:27 pm to
I’m more into base hits and rbis. But homers get the attention.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30599 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 6:09 am to
stanton might be only one

nolan a has lost his power, harper might be only one.out of the rest
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
17671 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 6:22 am to
Harper and Judge, maybe Stanton.
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
41194 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 6:36 am to
Trout has 378 and has a long time left on his contract.

Olson has 250 at age 30 and is averaging 42 a year over the last 4 full seasons.

Alonso has 217 at age 29 and is averaging 44 a a year over the last 4 full seasons.

Those 2 have a better chance than most in the OP.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
18668 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 6:39 am to
quote:

stanton might be only one nolan a has lost his power, harper might be only one.out of the rest


Does Stanton make the Hall if he hits 500?
This post was edited on 8/12/24 at 6:40 am
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
17671 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 6:50 am to
quote:

Trout has 378 and has a long time left on his contract.


Dude hasn't played a full season in a while and guys who start getting hurt a lot typically keep getting hurt alot.

quote:

Olson has 250 at age 30 and is averaging 42 a year over the last 4 full seasons.
He's not coming close to 44 this year and I don't think he'll get close to it going forward now that he's hit his 30's.

quote:

Alonso has 217 at age 29 and is averaging 44 a a year over the last 4 full seasons.


I don't see his bat aging well.
Posted by Hawgnsincebirth55
Gods country
Member since Sep 2016
18176 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 7:20 am to
People keep saying Harper but the only way that happens is if he stays healthy and averages over 34 home runs past the age of 35. Seems like a tall task to me. I think Harper comes up just short and finishes in the 470s-490s
This post was edited on 8/12/24 at 7:22 am
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
41194 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 8:09 am to
Trout still has 7 full seasons left before he’s 40 and he only needs 120 homers. Very doable. Probably only needs one semi full season and then can hit 12-15 a year the other years. I would bet strongly he’ll get there.

Olson and Alonso not probable but much more likely than most in the OP. Plenty of 1B have hit 200+ homers in their 30s. Both will have a lot of guaranteed PT with long big money deals.
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16104 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 8:16 am to
Pujols hit his last HR at 42.

Guys who obviously should get there:
Stanton
Harper
Trout
Machado

Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
62997 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 8:18 am to
Soto should have 200ish by the end of the year and is 25 and extremely durable. I think I might bet on him over anyone in the OP to reach it
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
16104 posts
Posted on 8/12/24 at 8:28 am to
Soto looking like a 600+ guy if he stays healthy.
There are a lot of younger guys that should be in the mix too.

Schwarber & Betts aren’t that far behind Judge & a year younger.
Matt Olson is halfway there at 30.

Pete Alonso (29) at 217 in his 6th season.
Ohtani at 206

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