How long is Paul Skenes arm going to hold up?

Clemens, Ryan and RJ held up just fine

Given his size and his frame, he may not be putting excess stress on his arm.

He may just be a fricking monster who can throw the same ball harder than dudes who aren’t built like him.

quote:

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TJ surgery seems inevitable

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based on what? modern fairytales?

Yeah, I remember when I had to have rotator cuff surgery because I threw the ball so hard that I basically threw my arm out. ??. But I was young when I did that, around 23 I believe and I was small, nowhere around Paul Skene's size. But I was constantly throwing a ball whether it was baseball or football as a QB, I was always throwing and not just throwing, but throwing hard. I didn't want to be rocked out the park by the opposing teams I faced, so I threw my fastballs really hard.

The maintained velo tells me that he’s not over throwing, it’s just what he naturally generates. He may eventually have arm issues, but I don’t think it’s a given.

Aldronis Chapman 2 TJ surgeries.

He’s a tank. He’ll be ok. He has the same odds of getting injured as any other pitcher.

I think it all depends on how much his arm was used growing up. IMO all these injuries over the last few years is from overuse from a young age. The older guys Ryan, Clemens, Petitte etc didn’t have travel ball year round like players do now a days.