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America’s Political Realignment Is Real. Trump assembled a coalition unlike any Nominee
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:10 pm
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:10 pm
By Matthew Continetti
LINK
quote:
If Donald Trump is elected president in November, he will have assembled a coalition unlike any Republican nominee in my lifetime.
For decades, GOP success has depended on support from college-educated white voters in the suburbs and non-college-educated white voters in manufacturing centers and rural areas. Republican candidates tried to maximize turnout among this electoral base, while adding a majority of independent voters to the GOP column. Presidents Nixon, Reagan, and the two Bushes used this strategy to great effect. Donald Trump did, too.
In 2016, at least. In 2020, according to the Fox News voter analysis, Trump lost white college-educated voters by seven points and independent voters by 15 points. Joe Biden became president. Republicans did better in 2022, but they still lost white college-educated voters by one point and independents by five points.
One might assume, then, that a Trump-led Republican Party will continue to struggle for as long as it repels college-educated white voters and independents.
Yet Donald Trump isn’t struggling. On the contrary: He’s been leading President Biden for months. Independents have returned to Trump’s column.
Trump’s gains among non-college-educated, non-white voters have compensated for his continued problems with college-educated white voters.
The realignment isn’t just real. It’s accelerating.
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My colleague at the American Enterprise Institute Ruy Teixeira, as well as GOP pollster Patrick Ruffini, have storehouses of data that show Democrats losing non-college-educated minority voters — Hispanic voters in particular — to Republicans. Each new survey confirms their findings. The evidence is overwhelming.
AEI researcher Nate Moore investigated Trump’s growing favorability rating and found that the former president is more popular now than at any point since he left office. The source of this newfound popularity is minority voters. “While his support has ticked up among white and black Americans, the share of Hispanic Americans who have a favorable view of Trump has doubled over the last year from around 20 percent to 40 percent.”
quote:
John Burn-Murdoch, chief data reporter for the Financial Times, analyzed election surveys going back to the 1950s. He found that the Democrats’ advantage among non-white voters is at its lowest point since JFK was president.
LINK
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:12 pm to BCreed1
Blacks and Hispanics don't play that LGBTQI+++ mess
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:15 pm to BCreed1
The democrats have become the party of groomers, freaks, academics, and the costal elite
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:21 pm to Bourre
quote:
The democrats have become the party of groomers, freaks, academics, and the costal elite
Lest not forget authoritarians and communists.
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:22 pm to BCreed1
This is one of the reasons a lot of old school republicans complain.
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:29 pm to YouKnowImRight
quote:
Blacks and Hispanics don't play that LGBTQI+++ mess
They don't like being replaced by lower cost illegals either.
I'd guess that is more of a driver for them than the gay/tranny shite.
This post was edited on 3/25/24 at 10:30 pm
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:29 pm to moneyg
quote:
This is one of the reasons a lot of old school republicans complain.
Yep.
Posted on 3/25/24 at 10:31 pm to BCreed1
quote:
The source of this newfound popularity is minority voters
This guarantees the white liberal vote in 2026.
Riiiiiiiight?
Posted on 3/25/24 at 11:12 pm to YouKnowImRight
quote:
Blacks and Hispanics don't play that LGBTQI+++ mess
Black voters will be 90+ percent for Biden. I guarantee it.
Every election we see some black men in right wing media talking about how things are changing "on the street". And then they always overwhelmingly vote for whoever the Democrat is. If you hold your breath waiting for a black GOP vote over 20 percent, you'll die.
Posted on 3/25/24 at 11:19 pm to BCreed1
quote:
Yet Donald Trump isn’t struggling. On the contrary: He’s been leading President Biden for months.
and this will continue until about 4 AM the morning after the election..
Posted on 3/26/24 at 7:10 am to tgerb8
quote:You are absolutely correct. They will cheat and they will believe it's justified because of Orange Man Bad. Until voter laws are changed where results can be audited, adopt Democratic voting tactics.
and this will continue until about 4 AM the morning after the election.
Posted on 3/26/24 at 9:26 am to BuckyCheese
quote:
They don't like being replaced by lower cost illegals either.
Replaced is the right word
Posted on 3/26/24 at 9:32 am to BCreed1
The Dums screwed things up soooo bad everyone is jumping on the Trump Train.
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