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Playoff Prediction

Posted on 10/26/23 at 12:22 am
Posted by LLSSUU
New Orleans
Member since Dec 2007
260 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 12:22 am
This is what LSU would need to happen. We need a loss from Oklahoma, PAC 12 to do PAC 12 stuff where everyone somehow finishes with 2 loses, FSU and Ohio State to be undefeated.

#1 seed I Ohio’s State undefeated
#2 seed Florida State undefeated
#3 seed Georgia 1 loss to LSU in SEC championship game (no possible way they are leaving out the team that won the last two national championships with only one loss to a red hot / possible heisman trophy winning team. They are seeded third to avoid the Ohio State rematch and to avoid LSU and Florida state rematch in the semi finals.
#4 LSU- sec champion hottest team in the country

PAC 12- no dominate team, a lot of games left for several to have two losses. Was losses to USC, Oregon beats Utah . USC beats Oregon. All would have 2 losses. Utah beats Washington 2 losses now for them. Washington beasts Oregon state gives Oregon state two losses.

Big 12- Oklahoma would have to go undefeated to get in. where would the loss come from on the remaining schedule: need a bad loss here either from OSU or TCU which not impossible. Or a loss in the Big 12 championship game.

Posted by BanzaiBengal
Member since Sep 2023
725 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 12:28 am to
What the hell is it with this board and the word dominant.

It's dominant. Not dominate.

It's ONLY this board I see it on.

Posted by LSUTigresFan
Austin
Member since Mar 2013
790 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:18 am to
Can we at least wait until LSU beats Alabama in Tuscaloosa before we start getting carried away.

quote:

What the hell is it with this board and the word dominant. It's dominant. Not dominate. It's ONLY this board I see it on.


You making fun of our Louisiana edumacation boi?
This post was edited on 10/26/23 at 1:19 am
Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
30067 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 3:05 am to
Every year lsu fans are trying to figure out a scenario to make the playoffs with 2-3 losses
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
68514 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 3:19 am to
Face it, Daniels is a year early for the 12 team playoff.
Posted by Mats86
Member since Mar 2021
3729 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 4:21 am to
LSU would need a lot of help by teams in front of them having bad losses. Winning out isn’t close to enough. 1 loss big 10 and pac 12 champs would be in front of us. 1 loss Texas big 12 champion would very likely be in front of us. 1 loss Georgia would likely still be in front of us. I don’t blame you for dreaming up these scenarios, but the ole miss loss was likely too much to overcome with a down SEC.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
31089 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 5:56 am to
quote:

#3 seed Georgia 1 loss to LSU in SEC championship game (no possible way they are leaving out the team that won the last two national championships with only one loss to a red hot / possible heisman trophy winning team. They are seeded third to avoid the Ohio State rematch and to avoid LSU and Florida state rematch in the semi finals.


Not so sure considering the SEC fatigue we seem to be seeing.

From the ESPN CFP predictor
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
5151 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 6:40 am to
quote:

#4 LSU- sec champion hottest team in the country


Over a 1-loss Michigan? I guess all this negative publicity about them stealing signs could help
Posted by Yellajersey
Member since Aug 2023
62 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 7:15 am to
My brother, don't do this to yourself
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34965 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 7:44 am to
I just don't see the SEC getting two teams this year
Posted by BigTiger80
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2012
1180 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 8:11 am to
This is all for nothing if we don't beat Bama.

I'd be happy with a SEC title, NY6 bowl win and finish 12-2.
Posted by oldcharlie8
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2012
7808 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 8:53 am to
year in and year out, we should have only one goal: make it to atlanta.

most of the time, the seccg is more competitive than natty
Posted by TheJuicey
Arkansas
Member since Aug 2019
3520 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 11:08 am to
I think we need to see the first playoff ranking to understand better. I believe last week we should’ve been in the 15 range and we were 20.

I wouldn’t be shocked to see the committee rank us 10-12 initially.
Posted by SmoothBox
Member since May 2023
777 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 11:27 am to
Put the pipe down.

There’s almost ZERO chance 2 sec teams get in. And there’s no a way a 2 loss SEC team is getting in over a 1 loss pac12 or big10 team.

A 2 loss LSU team isn’t getting in without complete anarchy. The sec is having a down year, that paired with the sec fatigue, it just ain’t gonna happen.
Posted by Jay Quest
Once removed from Massachusetts
Member since Nov 2009
9821 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 11:35 am to
I honestly don't see two SEC teams getting in this year. The only way I see a path for LSU is for them to become the most attractive SEC team and that would require the SEC East champ coming into the game with a loss.

If Georgia goes to Atlanta unbeaten, even after losing the SEC championship game, a once-beaten Georgia team is still the SEC's most attractive team.



This post was edited on 10/26/23 at 11:37 am
Posted by WoodlandsTX_Tiger
Texas
Member since Dec 2015
37 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 11:38 am to
What needed to happen was to not lose to Ole Miss.
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
54043 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 11:43 am to
This playoff talk in October with two losses is absurd
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26738 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:46 pm to
The BCS didn't give a damn about 2 losses which is how LSU got in. Last year many people would have put LSU in with 2 losses because of how other teams fared. People used to love thinking up the scenarios for how LSU gets in the big game, now all they do is complain. We are not out of it with only 2 losses. If people don't like the scenarios, don't enter the thread. Simple as that.

Now with that out the way, let me take a crack at this.

quote:

#3 seed Georgia 1 loss to LSU in SEC championship game (no possible way they are leaving out the team that won the last two national championships with only one loss to a red hot / possible heisman trophy winning team. They are seeded third to avoid the Ohio State rematch and to avoid LSU and Florida state rematch in the semi finals.
I actually think LSU would have a better case for the playoff than UGA. Sure UGA will have played and beat Ole Miss and Mizzu who are both likely 9 or 10 win teams, but that's it. Their schedule will consist of 3 top 15-17 teams in LSU, Mizz, Ole Miss, but LSU will likely have the #2 FSU, #5 UGA, #10-12 Bama, and #15/#16 Mizzu/Ole Miss. LSU would likely have the heisman trophy winner QB. LSU would be the SEC champ.

quote:

PAC 12- no dominate team, a lot of games left for several to have two losses. Was losses to USC, Oregon beats Utah . USC beats Oregon. All would have 2 losses. Utah beats Washington 2 losses now for them. Washington beasts Oregon state gives Oregon state two losses.

I expect Washington to get upset by USC. USC is a wounded animal, and could upset Washington at home. Washington has a final four gauntlet with landmines all over. They lose 2 of those IMO.

Fingers crossed on Oregon St giving Oregon a goodbye loss. Don't know if they are keeping the rivalry yearly. Oregon also has to play Utah this week and have their own landmines

Utah has @ Washington and Arizona. They also play ASU, Colorado, and Oregon.

The whole Pac is going to defeat itself. That's what many are guessing.
quote:

Big 12- Oklahoma would have to go undefeated to get in. where would the loss come from on the remaining schedule: need a bad loss here either from OSU or TCU which not impossible. Or a loss in the Big 12 championship game.

Fingers crossed on Okie St beating Oklahoma and then losing to Texas in the Big 12 championship game. I feel like Texas is going to get upset. Whether by Iowa St on the road to end the regular season, or by Kansas St at home. We need them to lose and then beat Oklahoma in a rematch.



Final Thoughts

I'm not worried about the Pac, they'll cannibalize themselves. Michigan losing to Ohio St and not winning the championship puts them out even with one loss. Their schedule is horrendously weak and one ranked win vs Penn St might be it. FSU is in even with a loss. Texas, Oklahoma, and UGA are our real problems. I think Texas does get upset, but I'm not sure about Oklahoma. Even though I think they shouldn't, UGA will likely get in over us just because we have one more loss. If it comes down to UGA and LSU for the final spot, it is what it is. We did our best to turn it around.
This post was edited on 10/26/23 at 11:01 pm
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18181 posts
Posted on 10/26/23 at 1:54 pm to
even assuming a 2-loss team can get into the playoff, it's WAAAAAY to early to worry about this. Far too many games left, for all the teams.

Conference championship week (and maybe the week before) is when you can start to model out scenarios. Anything before then is just wasted energy.
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