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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread

Posted on 8/29/23 at 5:42 pm to
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
4430 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

pulls out his bifold wallet and flicks it and says “Beam me up Scotty”
. NGL, I gotta respect the commitment. If you can't be good, be entertaining.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45270 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 5:55 pm to
Surface pressure of 963 mb last pass. Think we see a Major Hurricane by next update?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42953 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 5:59 pm to
Still seeing lightning in the eye wall, which seems to be becoming more well defined and wrapping more completely around the eye.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35652 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Surface pressure of 963 mb last pass


Vortex msg or extrap?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25264 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Derrick Herndon
@DerrickHerndon2
Recon is reporting concentric eyewalls. This seems less like an ERC and more like a banding eye feature possibly due to some dry air entrainment seen earlier that has wrapped around the outer eyewall.


Posted by jfan244888
Soda City, SC
Member since Jul 2021
845 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

Recon is reporting concentric eyewalls. T


Well that's a new term. Add it to the bingo card.
Posted by Tigris
Mexican Home
Member since Jul 2005
12372 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:15 pm to
I'd try the Rotary club in Crawfordville. Or one of the larger churches. Or the Wakulla County Sheriff's office. But I really don't have contacts there per se.
Posted by LPLGTiger
Member since May 2013
1435 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:15 pm to


Looks like it makes a decent jump NE in this frame.

EDIT: NE. I’m dumb.
This post was edited on 8/29/23 at 6:18 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120435 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:17 pm to
I dont see it

Still going due north of east
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54915 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

Think we see a Major Hurricane by next update?

I don't think so. Has some work to do with wind to get there.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98351 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

I flew on P-3 Orion's in the Navy back in the 70's and early 80's....That plane was a workhorse and one of the toughest in the Navy fleet.


My BIL flew on the SIGINT version. He had a card in his wallet promising $20k in gold for his safe return if he was shot down.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
64236 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:24 pm to
What's the significance of lightning in the eyewall?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54915 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

What's the significance of lightning in the eyewall?

Deeper convection with storms building higher making them able to form ice crystals and thus produce lightning. Generally a sign of a strengthening storm.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
203541 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:28 pm to
It’s a good thing she is moving forward at a high speed. Less time to get stronger over those super warm gulf waters.
Posted by Bernie Bierman
Member since Mar 2019
1212 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:28 pm to
Pinellas and Hillsborough bros, are ya breathing a sigh of relief yet?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
25264 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:28 pm to
quote:


Dr. Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits

The last 2 hours of aircraft reconnaissance observations show #Idalia moving slightly east of north, close to the latest NHC forecast track. East of north motion is what you want to see if you are in #Franklin, #Wakulla, #Jefferson, or #Leon counties, but not so great for #Taylor County and #Dixie County. Hurricanes wobble, so short-term motions like this don't guarantee anything. Expect massive storm surge in the Apalachee Bay area and points southeast no matter what.


Posted by VCeagle2013
Member since Apr 2013
214 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:36 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
54915 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:38 pm to
Max wind on radar is ~105mph at ~17.5K feet. That's in the heaviest rain band on the SSE side. Not the end all, especially since we have planes in there. Just good to compare.
This post was edited on 8/29/23 at 6:40 pm
Posted by ColoradoTiger1987
Tampa
Member since Jan 2019
1613 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:38 pm to
quote:

Pinellas and Hillsborough bros, are ya breathing a sigh of relief yet?


The eye of Katrina missed NOLA. No sigh of relief until tomorrow.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120435 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

Dixie County



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