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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:00 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:00 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Brett Adair is in Tallahassee, Aaron Jayjack is east of Tallahassee, Reed should be in Florida at this point, he was in GA yesterday. Vince Waelti is down near Horshoe Beach. Mark Sudduth and the Hurricane Track team have been putting out remote cams/stations for a couple days now. No shortage of others heading down. Gonna be good live coverage.
That has to be an absolute shite area to "chase" a hurricane. Some of the more cautious chasers who just don't like chasing in a swamp have bowed out. A bunch of younger, less experienced people are headed down. It won't take a whole lot to get yourself in a bind with this one. There's not a whole lot in the way of high ground structures out there. Remote cams would be the way to go, for sure.
That has to be an absolute shite area to "chase" a hurricane. Some of the more cautious chasers who just don't like chasing in a swamp have bowed out. A bunch of younger, less experienced people are headed down. It won't take a whole lot to get yourself in a bind with this one. There's not a whole lot in the way of high ground structures out there. Remote cams would be the way to go, for sure.
3
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:00 am to Roll Tide Ravens
10AM CDT Advisory. Winds up to 85 mph, pressure is down to 976mb.
Hurricane Idalia Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023
...IDALIA STRENGTHENING...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 84.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM W OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
Hurricane Idalia Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023
...IDALIA STRENGTHENING...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 84.8W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM W OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
This post was edited on 8/29/23 at 10:01 am
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:00 am to LegendInMyMind
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/29/23 at 10:01 am
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:01 am to Funky Tide 8
quote:
The forgotten coast/big bend area is about as unpopulated as it gets on the Florida coast. A whole lot of undeveloped forest and estuary down there. Cedar Key is a colorful little village of about 700 people in a small group of islands. I fear that it could get wiped out if this thing is strong enough.
I stumbled across this site just now of cities and hurricanes (SIAP
See history at bottom of page of Cedar Keys
quote:
This areas hurricane past
1871 sept 6th a 80mph cane hits from the SW
1874 sept 28th 80mph
1880 bd hurricane regains hurricane strength on aug 30th with 80mph winds moving WNW
1880 Oct 8th 80mph from the SW just south
1882 Oct 10th 80mph just north by 24 miles from the SSW.
1886 july 18th 75mph
1888 a hurricane kills 9 people here oct 10th with 95mph winds.
1896 sept 29th 10ft storm surge 100 killed,moving at 46mph. Tremendous destruction occurred in a 50 mile wide swath from Cedar Key to Savannah. Winds est near 125mph north of Cedar Key. Damage photo | Hit Map
1935 sept 4th (labor day keys hurricane)3 killed heavy coastal damage winds of 90mph worst flooding since 1896
1945 June 24th 90 mph from the SW moves in just south of here by 23 miles.
1949 Aug 27th 75 mph just east from the south (hurdat2)
1950 EASY sept 5th a storm surge of 5.1 ft with a cat 3 at low tide 38 inches of rain areaflooded for several weeks, 120mph winds(hurdat) 2/3rds of homes destroyed press 28.30 many cars had strange spots on them as a result researches found low barometeric pressure caused air pockets under the paint which later dissapeared. weather map | hit map
1985 Hurricane Elena with 110 mph winds brushes by to the west by 45 miles while looping in the gulf causing some coastal flooding here. Hurricane force wind field affected area for several hours before turning away, Cedar Key,FL 3:30 pm 8/31 45 mph 60 mph S , Cedar Key, FL ___ Over the road debris newspaper article #1 | newspaper article #2
2017 Sept 11th,Hurricane Irma begins to weaken to tropical storm but still has 75mph while impacting the area. Area reported a 2.59 ft storm surge as Irma passed to the east. NHC report | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy)
LINK https://hurricanecity.com/city/cedarkey.htm
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:02 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Been a brutal stretch of storms starting with the letter "I" since Irma in 2017.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:13 am to SM1010
10-15 ft of surge now projected holy frick 
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:13 am to Roll Tide Ravens
is bermuda about to get a 1-2 punch?
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:14 am to jcaz
quote:
Very compact storm. Seems uncommon for GOM storms the last few years
Not sure why you’re catching some DVs - Idalia will not be a very large storm, which is a silver lining.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:15 am to MorbidTheClown
quote:
is bermuda about to get a 1-2 punch?
They should avoid a direct impact from both Franklin and Idalia.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:23 am to MorbidTheClown
quote:
is bermuda about to get a 1-2 punch?
The Bermudans ain't skurred. They have a 15mph speed limit. They have simply outlawed fast moving things, hurricanes included.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:24 am to Tigris
quote:
It's pouring down south of Tally now. Sigh.
OT: but this is one of the gayest things that people do on tigerdroppings
Y’all need to stop
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:25 am to rds dc
Still leaving BR around 1 o’clock tomorrow heading to Orlando. GEAUX TIGERS!
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:26 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
there are NO major hurricanes in the historical dataset going back to 1851 that have tracked into Apalachee Bay.
The last landfall of a Cat 2 or higher along the FL coast between the landfall point of Michael/Kate(1985) and landfall of Ian/Charley was in 1968.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:29 am to rds dc
Let me guess. There's gonna be a 32 foot storm surge
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:29 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
That has to be an absolute shite area to "chase" a hurricane. Some of the more cautious chasers who just don't like chasing in a swamp have bowed out. A bunch of younger, less experienced people are headed down. It won't take a whole lot to get yourself in a bind with this one. There's not a whole lot in the way of high ground structures out there. Remote cams would be the way to go, for sure.
i know nothing about this area of florida. Closest i've been is a music festival in Live Oak
is it just swamp? no beaches?
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:31 am to rds dc
Has the high pressure parked over SE LA. weakened? Is it going away?
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:31 am to Roll Tide Ravens
It’s getting super close to Tallahassee w/ the 10a numbers…i mean, last storm to hit Tallahassee was in 2016 and it was “barely” a hurricane when it hit shore ….so maybe they had gusts of 75mph - and they lost power for two weeks …
A Cat3 slamming into them is gonna leave a big mark for sure
A Cat3 slamming into them is gonna leave a big mark for sure
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:32 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
The last landfall of a Cat 2 or higher along the FL coast between the landfall point of Michael/Kate(1985) and landfall of Ian/Charley was in 1968.
Well, I guess there's a silver lining to this "heat dome". This bitch prolly comes up the river if the Bermuda high is in it's normal location.
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:32 am to Dire Wolf
More swamp looking- kinda like a bay and less like a beach-
It’s a big pine tree area for
Sure
It’s a big pine tree area for
Sure
This post was edited on 8/29/23 at 10:34 am
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:33 am to Dire Wolf
a lot of swamp, marsh, and inland water. A lot of forest, and trees.
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