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End of the year CFP Hypothetical per the committee tonight. Chick said LSU means Chaos
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:38 pm
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:38 pm
How does it end up if the following scenario:
1. LSU wins out, SEC championship.
2. Georgia 1 loss, only in the SEC championship to LSU.
3. Tennesse wins remaining games.
4. 1 of Michigan or Ohio state 1 loss the other conference champ undefeated
5. Oregon wins out
6. TCU wins out
Would the keep out TCU again or a 1 loss oregon team/big 10 team to keep 2 SEC teams in.
LSU has ugly losses. Will they jump us in and keep the other 2 sec teams out?
1. LSU wins out, SEC championship.
2. Georgia 1 loss, only in the SEC championship to LSU.
3. Tennesse wins remaining games.
4. 1 of Michigan or Ohio state 1 loss the other conference champ undefeated
5. Oregon wins out
6. TCU wins out
Would the keep out TCU again or a 1 loss oregon team/big 10 team to keep 2 SEC teams in.
LSU has ugly losses. Will they jump us in and keep the other 2 sec teams out?
22
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:40 pm to Merchant Tiger
If that scenario plays out, we don’t sniff the playoffs.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:41 pm to Merchant Tiger
quote:
1. LSU wins out, SEC championship.
2. Georgia 1 loss, only in the SEC championship to LSU.
3. Tennesse wins remaining games.
4. 1 of Michigan or Ohio state 1 loss the other conference champ undefeated
5. Oregon wins out
6. TCU wins out
your playoff teams would be LSU, Big Ten Champ, TCU and Oregon...
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:42 pm to Merchant Tiger
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/8/22 at 10:21 pm
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:42 pm to Merchant Tiger
That is one of the worst case scenarios for LSU.
That being said I’m just happy where we are right now and hope we finish out the season with wins
That being said I’m just happy where we are right now and hope we finish out the season with wins
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:43 pm to Merchant Tiger
In that scenario, you leave out Oregon and Tennessee. Feel for Tennessee but they lost when it mattered most and got destroyed by Georgia. Oregon doesn’t have the top 10 wins like LSU would.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:44 pm to Merchant Tiger
quote:
How does it end up if the following scenario:
1. LSU wins out, SEC championship.
2. Georgia 1 loss, only in the SEC championship to LSU.
3. Tennesse wins remaining games.
4. 1 of Michigan or Ohio state 1 loss the other conference champ undefeated
5. Oregon wins out
6. TCU wins out
According to your scenario:
1. OSU/Mich (13-0) - B10 Champ
2. Georgia (12-1) - SEC Runner Up
3. TCU (13-0) - Big 12 Champ
4. LSU (11-2) - SEC Champ
5. Oregon (12-1) - PAC 12 Champ
6. Tennessee (11-1)
7. Michigan (11-1)
This post was edited on 11/9/22 at 9:35 am
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:45 pm to Merchant Tiger
IF LSU WINS OUT THEY ARE IN.........
PERIOD
PERIOD
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:46 pm to Merchant Tiger
quote:
How does it end up if the following scenario:
1. LSU wins out, SEC championship.
2. Georgia 1 loss, only in the SEC championship to LSU.
3. Tennesse wins remaining games.
4. 1 of Michigan or Ohio state 1 loss the other conference champ undefeated
5. Oregon wins out
6. TCU wins out
The results would be:
1. OSU/Mich undefeated winner
2. UGA
3. TCU
4. LSU
Tennessee's arse is sitting at home.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:48 pm to Merchant Tiger
No way if LSU beat #7 Ole Miss, #6 Alabama, and #1 Georgia they don't get at least a 4 seed.
That would be an upward trend in playing the best ball in the country when it mattered the most.
That would be an upward trend in playing the best ball in the country when it mattered the most.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:54 pm to Merchant Tiger
They take the 4 conference champs and move it along.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:57 pm to Merchant Tiger
Is all this talk really fun? Do we really think we will beat that UGA team in Atlanta?
Posted on 11/8/22 at 9:02 pm to Merchant Tiger
As it stands now a 12 team ply off game would be fun! I think we would get a play off game at home.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 9:05 pm to Merchant Tiger
Based on short term history(10 years), how do you keep SEC champion out of the final 4?
Posted on 11/8/22 at 9:50 pm to Merchant Tiger
quote:
LSU has ugly losses.
But would have tremendous wins.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:03 pm to Merchant Tiger
My dream scenario.... nightmare for the CFP
LSU wins out and wins the SEC.
UGA finishes 12-1 with sole loss to us in SECCG
UT finishes 11-1
Ole Miss finishes 11-1
TCU loses a game.
Oregon, UCLA, Clemson and USC all lose 1 more game.
Michigan loses to Nebraska beats OSU loses in Big 10 title game to Illinois
OSU loses to Michigan and Maryland
CFP playoff is LSU, Ole Miss, UGA, and UT. College football breaks.
LSU wins out and wins the SEC.
UGA finishes 12-1 with sole loss to us in SECCG
UT finishes 11-1
Ole Miss finishes 11-1
TCU loses a game.
Oregon, UCLA, Clemson and USC all lose 1 more game.
Michigan loses to Nebraska beats OSU loses in Big 10 title game to Illinois
OSU loses to Michigan and Maryland
CFP playoff is LSU, Ole Miss, UGA, and UT. College football breaks.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:06 pm to Merchant Tiger
Lsu
Osu
Org
TCU
This hype about UGA is overblown...they only played two ranked teams...one against an out of the gates Oregon and a tired Tennesse...remember they struggled againt unranked teams...I would put Tennesee before them if they dont win out.
Osu
Org
TCU
This hype about UGA is overblown...they only played two ranked teams...one against an out of the gates Oregon and a tired Tennesse...remember they struggled againt unranked teams...I would put Tennesee before them if they dont win out.
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:08 pm to Merchant Tiger
If LSU and Tenn win out, and UGA but for SECCG, but also TcU and Oregon, we sit at 5th. If all that but Oregon or TCU lose one, we're in.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:04 am to Merchant Tiger
All this hand wringing is pointless. If we win out, and I've repeated this phrase a number of times, but there is not a reality in the multiverse where the SEC champion is left out. I will not ever happen. The SEC Champion is always in, no matter what.
Posted on 11/9/22 at 2:06 am to Merchant Tiger
Just take it one week at a time and pull for the games that matter. This week, those games are:
LSU over Arkansas (convincingly)
Alabama over Ole Miss in a tight game
Texas over TCU, preferably in a blowout
Florida State over Syracuse
All of those help LSU's case and there is a great chance that this is how these games go this weekend. If so, LSU creeps up to #6. The Florida State game does not have a direct impact, but it helps make the opening loss look a little better. Now for a little lagniappe:
Washington over Oregon
Miss St over Georgia
Mizzou over Tennessee
If Oregon loses (plus a TCU loss), LSU should move up to #5, just one spot out of the playoffs with 3 more weeks (including the conference championship games) of potential chaos to move up to #4. Mizzou damn near beat Georgia earlier in the year, so anything is possible and another loss by Tennessee would remove them as a threat. Miss State can hang, but it is highly unlikely that they will and, frankly, a Georgia loss isn't vitally important. I have a feeling that if LSU were to beat them in Atlanta, the committee would have a hard time keeping out an SEC Champ LSU for the team that they just beat head to head.
LSU over Arkansas (convincingly)
Alabama over Ole Miss in a tight game
Texas over TCU, preferably in a blowout
Florida State over Syracuse
All of those help LSU's case and there is a great chance that this is how these games go this weekend. If so, LSU creeps up to #6. The Florida State game does not have a direct impact, but it helps make the opening loss look a little better. Now for a little lagniappe:
Washington over Oregon
Miss St over Georgia
Mizzou over Tennessee
If Oregon loses (plus a TCU loss), LSU should move up to #5, just one spot out of the playoffs with 3 more weeks (including the conference championship games) of potential chaos to move up to #4. Mizzou damn near beat Georgia earlier in the year, so anything is possible and another loss by Tennessee would remove them as a threat. Miss State can hang, but it is highly unlikely that they will and, frankly, a Georgia loss isn't vitally important. I have a feeling that if LSU were to beat them in Atlanta, the committee would have a hard time keeping out an SEC Champ LSU for the team that they just beat head to head.
This post was edited on 11/9/22 at 2:12 am
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